| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 |
 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:12 | |
Timo Meier (5)PP Jesper Bratt (10), Luke Hughes (8) · snap xG 0.22 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:55 | |
Bo Horvat (12) Kyle Palmieri (8) · wrist xG 0.20 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:07 | |
Kyle Palmieri (5)PP Matthew Schaefer (7), Bo Horvat (8) · poke xG 0.11 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 19:55 | |
Simon Nemec (1) Jesper Bratt (11), Timo Meier (8) · slap xG 0.05 | 2–2 ▶ |
| Overtime | |||
| 1:17 | |
Mathew Barzal (4) Jonathan Drouin (9), Ryan Pulock (7) · snap xG 0.29 | 3–2 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.82 | Expected goals | 3.73 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.36 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.98 |
| 39 | Shot attempts | 75 |
| 27 | Unblocked attempts | 53 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 35 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | NJD | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.16–0.06
In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:06 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.01 xG, 26 shots on goal |
| 17:13 | NJD | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Markstrom, down 2–1
With 2:47 left; NJD scored at 19:55 of the 3rd (2–2) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 2 | 18:18 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 18:17 |
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.23 | 3 | 0 | 17:45 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 17:35 |
| 21 | Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.16 | 3 | 0 | 16:55 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | 16:53 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 4 | 2 | 16:30 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 13:07 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 11:27 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 10:12 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 09:33 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 09:27 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 3 | 23:25 |
| 28 | Alexander Romanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 22:01 |
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.06 | 1 | 3 | 21:26 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 21:16 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 18:47 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 13:28 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 35 | 2 | 33 | .943 | 3.73 | +1.73 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 24:58 |
| 86 | Jack Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1.10 | 0 | 0 | 24:00 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0.66 | 1 | 0 | 22:07 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 21:55 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 19:08 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 14:46 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 14:29 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | 0 | 2 | 13:34 |
| 11 | Stefan Noesen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 10:57 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 09:41 |
| 19 | Zack MacEwen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | 4 | 0 | 09:35 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 08:40 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 9 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 27:24 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 22:06 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 19:28 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 3 | 2 | 17:09 |
| 44 | Dennis Cholowski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 13:39 |
| 6 | Colton White | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | 24 | 3 | 21 | .875 | 1.82 | -1.18 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +1.95 | +1.30 | +0.15 | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 17:45 |
| 21 Kyle Palmieri C | +1.82 | +1.45 | +0.11 | +0.41 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:55 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +1.73 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.73 | 61:17 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +0.87 | +0.70 | +0.31 | -0.11 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 16:53 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.84 | +0.75 | +0.19 | -0.01 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:35 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 18:47 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +0.53 | +0.55 | +0.06 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 23:25 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.52 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 21:26 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:28 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 18:18 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:30 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 13:07 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 9:27 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:27 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:17 |
| 7 Maxim Tsyplakov R | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:12 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.64 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:16 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.55 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 9:33 |
| 28 Alexander Romanov D | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:01 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Timo Meier R | +1.87 | +1.30 | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 22:07 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +1.48 | +1.40 | +0.06 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:55 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | +1.34 | +0.55 | +0.21 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 27:24 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | +0.90 | +0.75 | +0.04 | -0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:06 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:09 |
| 86 Jack Hughes C | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.72 | +0.03 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 24:00 |
| 15 Zack MacEwen R | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.48 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:35 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.29 | +0.05 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 24:58 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:34 |
| 14 Luke Glendening C | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.35 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:40 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.39 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:41 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:46 |
| 11 Stefan Noesen R | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 10:57 |
| 44 Dennis Cholowski D | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:39 |
| 45 Colton White D | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:01 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:08 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 19:28 |
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:29 |
| 25 Jacob Markstrom G | -1.18 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.18 | 58:23 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.