| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 30 | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:39 | Mika Zibanejad (5) Adam Fox (9), Vladislav Gavrikov (3) · wrist xG 0.16 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 16:16 | Matthew Wood (4)PP Michael Bunting (6), Brady Skjei (5) · wrist xG 0.52 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 18:07 | Vladislav Gavrikov (2) Vincent Trocheck (2), Adam Fox (10) · wrist xG 0.05 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:23 | Alexis Lafrenière (3)PP Gabe Perreault (1), Vincent Trocheck (3) · backhand xG 0.15 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 7:51 | Artemi Panarin (4) Alexis Lafrenière (7), Urho Vaakanainen (2) · slap xG 0.04 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 19:50 | Will Cuylle (4) Noah Laba (3), Alexis Lafrenière (8) · snap xG 0.20 | 1–5 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:48 | Matthew Wood (5)PP Luke Evangelista (8), Erik Haula (7) · slap xG 0.09 | 2–5 ▶ | |
| 13:30 | Artemi Panarin (5) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.09 | 2–6 ▶ | |
| 19:15 | Matthew Wood (6) Filip Forsberg (7), Ryan O'Reilly (7) · snap xG 0.18 | 3–6 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NSH | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.05 | Expected goals | 1.97 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 1.57 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.55 |
| 58 | Shot attempts | 35 |
| 46 | Unblocked attempts | 29 |
| 30 | Shots on goal | 18 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:16 | NSH | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NSH takes the lead, 65–35%
NYR had led since 13:23 of the 1st, by as much as 62% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:23 | NSH | Goalie | Goalie · Saros −2.2 goals saved
3 goals on 0.82 xG, 9 shots on goal |
| 18:00 | NSH | No shift | No shift · Wiesblatt, 10:15 on the bench
No shift from 7:51 to 18:06 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (6:30) before that |
| 20:00 | NSH | Goalie change | Goalie change · Annunen in for Saros
The start of the 3rd; Saros had allowed 5 goals on 12 shots (1.25 xG) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 81 | Jonathan Marchessault | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 18:03 |
| 91 | Steven Stamkos | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 18:03 |
| 90 | Ryan O'Reilly | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 17:22 |
| 71 | Matthew Wood | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 1.06 | 0 | 1 | 17:09 |
| 77 | Luke Evangelista | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 16:53 |
| 9 | Filip Forsberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.31 | 2 | 0 | 16:23 |
| 56 | Erik Haula | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.12 | 2 | 1 | 16:17 |
| 17 | Tyson Jost | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 14:02 |
| 58 | Michael Bunting | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 13:52 |
| 47 | Michael McCarron | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.02 | 4 | 0 | 13:31 |
| 9 | Fedor Svechkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:37 |
| 89 | Ozzy Wiesblatt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:24 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Nick Perbix | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 21:50 |
| 76 | Brady Skjei | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 21:46 |
| 3 | Nick Blankenburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 9 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 20:36 |
| 41 | Nicolas Hague | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 18:39 |
| 24 | Spencer Stastney | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 |
| 2 | Adam Wilsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 15:59 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | 12 | 5 | 7 | .583 | 1.25 | -3.75 |
| Justus Annunen | 6 | 1 | 5 | .833 | 0.72 | -0.28 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.41 | 3 | 0 | 18:20 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 17:54 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 17:48 |
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.08 | 6 | 1 | 17:26 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.34 | 6 | 1 | 17:06 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 0.26 | 1 | 1 | 15:09 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 14:28 |
| 94 | Gabe Perreault | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 14:08 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 10:04 |
| 84 | Adam Edstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 10:02 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 09:25 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 23 | Adam Fox | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 20:24 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 20:12 |
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 3 | 19:54 |
| 18 | Urho Vaakanainen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 18:31 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 18:14 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 30 | 3 | 27 | .900 | 3.05 | +0.05 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Matthew Wood R | +3.04 | +2.25 | +0.69 | -0.09 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:09 |
| 9 Filip Forsberg L | +1.46 | +0.70 | +0.20 | +0.44 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:23 |
| 77 Luke Evangelista R | +1.11 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:53 |
| 90 Ryan O'Reilly C | +1.08 | +0.55 | +0.14 | +0.42 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 17:22 |
| 76 Brady Skjei D | +0.82 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 21:46 |
| 58 Michael Bunting L | +0.63 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:52 |
| 56 Erik Haula L | +0.25 | +0.55 | +0.08 | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 16:17 |
| 37 Nick Blankenburg D | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:36 |
| 48 Nick Perbix D | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 21:50 |
| 40 Fedor Svechkov C | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.11 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 11:37 |
| 91 Steven Stamkos C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.04 | — | 18:03 |
| 41 Nicolas Hague D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:39 |
| 29 Justus Annunen G | -0.28 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.28 | 19:53 |
| 81 Jonathan Marchessault R | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:03 |
| 24 Spencer Stastney D | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:07 |
| 47 Michael McCarron C | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.41 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 13:31 |
| 89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:24 |
| 17 Tyson Jost C | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:02 |
| 83 Adam Wilsby D | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:59 |
| 74 Juuse Saros G | -3.75 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.75 | 39:57 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +2.93 | +2.00 | +0.17 | +0.76 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 15:09 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +2.25 | +1.50 | +0.21 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:48 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +1.89 | +1.30 | +0.06 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 20:10 |
| 23 Adam Fox D | +1.84 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 20:24 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +1.57 | +1.25 | +0.05 | +0.51 | -0.30 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 17:26 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +1.12 | +0.75 | +0.27 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:20 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +1.04 | +0.75 | +0.22 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:06 |
| 94 Gabe Perreault R | +0.89 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:08 |
| 18 Urho Vaakanainen D | +0.74 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:31 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +0.70 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 14:05 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:54 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:12 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 10:04 |
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.05 | 59:57 |
| 84 Adam Edstrom C | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 10:02 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 9:25 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 19:54 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:28 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:14 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.