Nashville PredatorsNSH 3–6 Final New York RangersNYR

Monday, November 10, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Nashville PredatorsNSH 102 3 30
New York RangersNYR 231 6 18

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
10:39 NYR Mika Zibanejad (5) Adam Fox (9), Vladislav Gavrikov (3) · wrist xG 0.16 0–1 ▶
16:16 NSH Matthew Wood (4)PP Michael Bunting (6), Brady Skjei (5) · wrist xG 0.52 1–1 ▶
18:07 NYR Vladislav Gavrikov (2) Vincent Trocheck (2), Adam Fox (10) · wrist xG 0.05 1–2 ▶
2nd Period
1:23 NYR Alexis Lafrenière (3)PP Gabe Perreault (1), Vincent Trocheck (3) · backhand xG 0.15 1–3 ▶
7:51 NYR Artemi Panarin (4) Alexis Lafrenière (7), Urho Vaakanainen (2) · slap xG 0.04 1–4 ▶
19:50 NYR Will Cuylle (4) Noah Laba (3), Alexis Lafrenière (8) · snap xG 0.20 1–5 ▶
3rd Period
12:48 NSH Matthew Wood (5)PP Luke Evangelista (8), Erik Haula (7) · slap xG 0.09 2–5 ▶
13:30 NYR Artemi Panarin (5) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.09 2–6 ▶
19:15 NSH Matthew Wood (6) Filip Forsberg (7), Ryan O'Reilly (7) · snap xG 0.18 3–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NSH 70%Deserve to win30% NYR
NSHNYR
3.05Expected goals1.97
3Goals (no shootout)6
1.57Expected goals, 5 on 51.55
58Shot attempts35
46Unblocked attempts29
30Shots on goal18

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
16:16 NSH Deserve to win Deserve to win · NSH takes the lead, 65–35%
NYR had led since 13:23 of the 1st, by as much as 62%
2nd Period
1:23 NSH Goalie Goalie · Saros −2.2 goals saved
3 goals on 0.82 xG, 9 shots on goal
18:00 NSH No shift No shift · Wiesblatt, 10:15 on the bench
No shift from 7:51 to 18:06 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (6:30) before that
20:00 NSH Goalie change Goalie change · Annunen in for Saros
The start of the 3rd; Saros had allowed 5 goals on 12 shots (1.25 xG)

Shot map

NSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Artemi Panarin: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:47) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 0:54) Matthew Wood: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 2:18) Matthew Wood: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:19) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:51) Matthew Wood: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:29) Nicolas Hague: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:40) Conor Sheary: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:50) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:07) Taylor Raddysh: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:55) Mika Zibanejad: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 13:22) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:23) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:40) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:03) Spencer Stastney: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:09) Steven Stamkos: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:29) Brady Skjei: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:12) Michael Bunting: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:13) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:36) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:06) Erik Haula: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:45) Urho Vaakanainen: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:38) Braden Schneider: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:49) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:02) Filip Forsberg: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 8:01) Braden Schneider: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:30) Conor Sheary: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:34) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:58) Erik Haula: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 12:31) Michael McCarron: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:39) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 17:22) Steven Stamkos: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:36) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:32) Tyson Jost: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:13) Spencer Stastney: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:40) Conor Sheary: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 2:22) Nick Perbix: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:58) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:02) Ryan O'Reilly: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:14) Ryan O'Reilly: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:25) Adam Wilsby: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:55) Tyson Jost: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:50) Brady Skjei: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:52) Nick Perbix: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:13) Will Cuylle: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 6:55) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 7:15) Braden Schneider: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 8:45) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:15) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:02) Nick Blankenburg: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 10:25) Steven Stamkos: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:43) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:29) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 12:11) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:12) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:13) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:26) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:46) Will Cuylle: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:50) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:01) Matthew Wood: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:41) Matthew Wood: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:46) Will Cuylle: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:26) Tyson Jost: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:54) Artemi Panarin: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 18:53) Nicolas Hague: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:46) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:51) Mika Zibanejad: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 10:39) Matthew Wood: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.52 (P1 16:16) Vladislav Gavrikov: GOAL, wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:07) Alexis Lafrenière: GOAL, backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 1:23) Artemi Panarin: GOAL, slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:51) Will Cuylle: GOAL, snap, 28 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 19:50) Matthew Wood: GOAL, slap, 39 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:48) Artemi Panarin: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 13:30) Matthew Wood: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 19:15)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Jonathan Marchessault 000 -1 30.08 1018:03
91 Steven Stamkos 000 -1 30.30 1018:03
90 Ryan O'Reilly 011 0 20.21 0017:22
71 Matthew Wood 303 0 101.06 0117:09
77 Luke Evangelista 011 -1 40.18 0016:53
9 Filip Forsberg 011 0 80.31 2016:23
56 Erik Haula 011 -1 30.12 2116:17
17 Tyson Jost 000 -3 30.12 1014:02
58 Michael Bunting 011 0 20.03 1013:52
47 Michael McCarron 000 -2 10.02 4013:31
9 Fedor Svechkov 000 -1 00.00 1111:37
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt 000 -2 00.00 2009:24
Defense
48 Nick Perbix 000 -2 20.04 0221:50
76 Brady Skjei 011 -1 30.08 0021:46
3 Nick Blankenburg 000 -1 90.43 0020:36
41 Nicolas Hague 000 -1 20.02 0018:39
24 Spencer Stastney 000 -1 20.02 0016:07
2 Adam Wilsby 000 -2 10.02 0115:59
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Juuse Saros 1257 .583 1.25 -3.75
Justus Annunen 615 .833 0.72 -0.28

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mika Zibanejad 101 +1 40.41 3018:20
10 J.T. Miller 000 +1 00.00 4017:54
10 Artemi Panarin 202 +2 60.32 0017:48
16 Vincent Trocheck 022 +2 20.08 6117:26
50 Will Cuylle 101 +1 50.34 6117:06
13 Alexis Lafrenière 123 +3 20.26 1115:09
14 Taylor Raddysh 000 0 10.08 0014:28
94 Gabe Perreault 011 +1 20.11 0114:08
42 Noah Laba 011 +1 00.00 0014:05
43 Conor Sheary 000 0 30.25 1010:04
84 Adam Edstrom 000 0 00.00 3110:02
10 Sam Carrick 000 0 00.00 3009:25
Defense
23 Adam Fox 022 +2 00.00 0220:24
4 Braden Schneider 000 +2 40.02 0120:12
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 112 +2 40.09 0120:10
7 Carson Soucy 000 0 10.00 3319:54
18 Urho Vaakanainen 011 +2 10.01 1018:31
17 Will Borgen 000 0 00.00 0018:14
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Igor Shesterkin 30327 .900 3.05 +0.05

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Matthew Wood R +3.04 +2.25 +0.69 -0.09 +0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 17:09
9 Filip Forsberg L +1.46 +0.70 +0.20 +0.44 +0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 16:23
77 Luke Evangelista R +1.11 +0.70 +0.11 +0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:53
90 Ryan O'Reilly C +1.08 +0.55 +0.14 +0.42 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 17:22
76 Brady Skjei D +0.82 +0.55 +0.05 +0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 21:46
58 Michael Bunting L +0.63 +0.70 +0.02 -0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:52
56 Erik Haula L +0.25 +0.55 +0.08 -0.48 0.00 +0.05 +0.05 — 16:17
37 Nick Blankenburg D +0.10 0.00 +0.28 -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:36
48 Nick Perbix D -0.01 0.00 +0.03 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 21:50
40 Fedor Svechkov C -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.11 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 11:37
91 Steven Stamkos C -0.14 0.00 +0.19 -0.32 0.00 +0.03 -0.04 — 18:03
41 Nicolas Hague D -0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:39
29 Justus Annunen G -0.28 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.28 19:53
81 Jonathan Marchessault R -0.33 0.00 +0.05 -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:03
24 Spencer Stastney D -0.36 0.00 +0.01 -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:07
47 Michael McCarron C -0.40 0.00 +0.01 -0.41 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 13:31
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:24
17 Tyson Jost C -0.54 0.00 +0.08 -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:02
83 Adam Wilsby D -0.55 0.00 +0.02 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:59
74 Juuse Saros G -3.75 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -3.75 39:57

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Alexis Lafrenière L +2.93 +2.00 +0.17 +0.76 0.00 -0.01 +0.01 — 15:09
10 Artemi Panarin L +2.25 +1.50 +0.21 +0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:48
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D +1.89 +1.30 +0.06 +0.54 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 20:10
23 Adam Fox D +1.84 +1.25 0.00 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 20:24
16 Vincent Trocheck C +1.57 +1.25 +0.05 +0.51 -0.30 -0.01 +0.07 — 17:26
93 Mika Zibanejad C +1.12 +0.75 +0.27 +0.08 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 18:20
50 Will Cuylle L +1.04 +0.75 +0.22 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:06
94 Gabe Perreault R +0.89 +0.70 +0.07 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:08
18 Urho Vaakanainen D +0.74 +0.55 +0.01 +0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:31
42 Noah Laba C +0.70 +0.70 0.00 +0.06 0.00 -0.06 0.00 — 14:05
8 J.T. Miller C +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.10 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 17:54
4 Braden Schneider D +0.22 0.00 +0.02 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 20:12
43 Conor Sheary L +0.11 0.00 +0.16 -0.07 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 10:04
31 Igor Shesterkin G +0.05 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.05 59:57
84 Adam Edstrom C -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 10:02
39 Sam Carrick C -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.07 0.00 +0.06 0.00 — 9:25
24 Carson Soucy D -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 19:54
14 Taylor Raddysh R -0.18 0.00 +0.05 -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:28
17 Will Borgen D -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.17 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:14

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.