| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 |
 |
1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 24 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:42 | |
Ivan Provorov (3) Damon Severson (3), Adam Fantilli (7) · snap xG 0.04 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 17:28 | |
Jake Walman (2) Vasily Podkolzin (5), Jack Roslovic (6) · snap xG 0.02 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:39 | |
Sean Monahan (2) Kent Johnson (3), Boone Jenner (7) · backhand xG 0.16 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 18:02 | |
Boone Jenner (3) Dante Fabbro (3), Zach Werenski (7) · tip-in xG 0.11 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:58 | |
Connor McDavid (6) Mattias Ekholm (6) · backhand xG 0.03 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 4:19 | |
Adam Fantilli (3) Kirill Marchenko (9) · snap xG 0.16 | 4–2 ▶ |
| 13:39 | |
Connor McDavid (7) Evan Bouchard (9) · wrist xG 0.45 | 4–3 ▶ |
| 19:02 | |
Jake Walman (3)SH Unassisted · wrist xG 0.05 | 4–4 ▶ |
| Overtime | |||
| 0:56 | |
Jack Roslovic (4) Jake Walman (7) · backhand xG 0.26 | 4–5 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CBJ | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.03 | Expected goals | 2.81 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 2.23 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.66 |
| 72 | Shot attempts | 51 |
| 45 | Unblocked attempts | 36 |
| 22 | Shots on goal | 24 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:51 | CBJ | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 60–40%
EDM had led since 8:24 of the 1st, by as much as 65% |
| Overtime | |||
| 0:56 | CBJ | Goalie | Goalie · Greaves −2.2 goals saved
5 goals on 2.81 xG, 24 shots on goal |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 11 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 | 19:42 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 18:59 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 18:40 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.35 | 2 | 0 | 18:16 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 0.33 | 0 | 2 | 17:31 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 15:49 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 13:46 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 13:18 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:24 |
| 21 | Zachary Aston-Reese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.31 | 2 | 0 | 09:19 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 12 | 0.31 | 1 | 1 | 27:39 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 26:26 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 19:41 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 3 | 18:47 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:30 |
| 2 | Jake Christiansen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 12:07 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 24 | 5 | 19 | .792 | 2.81 | -2.19 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4 | 0.29 | 2 | 0 | 23:51 |
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.77 | 1 | 0 | 23:32 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 0.60 | 0 | 1 | 21:50 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.17 | 5 | 0 | 16:52 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 14:24 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 14:16 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 14:00 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.34 | 1 | 1 | 11:38 |
| 13 | Mattias Janmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 09:59 |
| 53 | Isaac Howard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 08:57 |
| 15 | Noah Philp | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 08:29 |
| 20 | Curtis Lazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 08:02 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 96 | Jake Walman | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 0.11 | 2 | 1 | 22:13 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.09 | 1 | 3 | 20:39 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 19:59 |
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 19:51 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 6 | 19:25 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 6 | 16:58 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | 22 | 4 | 18 | .818 | 3.03 | -0.97 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +2.19 | +1.30 | +0.21 | +0.34 | +0.15 | +0.08 | +0.10 | — | 17:31 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | +1.78 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:30 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | +1.39 | +1.30 | +0.12 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:59 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +1.07 | +0.70 | +0.43 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:42 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +0.89 | +0.55 | +0.20 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 27:39 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +0.84 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 18:47 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +0.72 | +0.75 | +0.02 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | — | 26:26 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +0.66 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 18:40 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:46 |
| 27 Zachary Aston-Reese C | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:19 |
| 65 Luca Del Bel Belluz C | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.38 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.15 | — | 8:17 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.10 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:16 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.34 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:49 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +0.39 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:18 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:24 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 12:37 |
| 2 Jake Christiansen D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:07 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:41 |
| 73 Jet Greaves G | -2.19 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.19 | 60:56 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96 Jake Walman D | +2.76 | +2.20 | +0.07 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:13 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +2.21 | +1.50 | +0.50 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 23:32 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | +1.49 | +1.30 | +0.39 | -0.07 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 21:50 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | +1.06 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 19:59 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +1.01 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:52 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +0.84 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 19:51 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 23:51 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 20:39 |
| 20 Curtis Lazar C | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.24 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:02 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:38 |
| 53 Isaac Howard L | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:57 |
| 13 Mattias Janmark C | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:59 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.35 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.11 | — | 14:24 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:16 |
| 48 Noah Philp C | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 8:29 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | -0.72 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:00 |
| 27 Brett Kulak D | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.32 | — | 19:25 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.26 | — | 16:58 |
| 74 Stuart Skinner G | -0.97 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.97 | 60:49 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.