hockeystats.io

Florida PanthersFLA 3–2 Final Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

Monday, November 10, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Florida PanthersFLA 111 3 20
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 002 2 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
14:47 FLA Jesper Boqvist (2) Donovan Sebrango (1), Jeff Petry (5) · slap xG 0.05 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
10:54 FLA Brad Marchand (11) Gustav Forsling (7), Donovan Sebrango (2) · backhand xG 0.09 2–0 ▶
3rd Period
1:25 VGK Tomas Hertl (6) Shea Theodore (6) · wrist xG 0.40 2–1 ▶
4:54 FLA Sam Reinhart (8)PP Seth Jones (7), Brad Marchand (7) · tip-in xG 0.09 3–1 ▶
9:04 VGK Ivan Barbashev (7) Brayden McNabb (1), Mitch Marner (15) · snap xG 0.13 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

FLA 27%Deserve to win73% VGK
FLAVGK
2.05Expected goals3.18
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.23Expected goals, 5 on 52.61
52Shot attempts58
37Unblocked attempts45
20Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
1:20 VGK No shift No shift · Holtz, 12:07 on the bench
No shift from 11:18 of the 1st to 3:25 of the 2nd; 3 shifts (3:05) before that
1:20 VGK No shift No shift · Reinhardt, 12:00 on the bench
No shift from 11:18 of the 1st to 3:18 of the 2nd; 3 shifts (2:59) before that
10:27 FLA Goalie Goalie · Bobrovsky +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.04 xG, 19 shots on goal
3rd Period
15:40 VGK Shortened bench Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Holtz and Reinhardt: last shifts between 4:09 and 5:40 of the 3rd
18:29 VGK Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Lindbom, down 3–2
With 1:31 left

Shot map

FLA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VGK shoots
Reilly Smith: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 0:14) Brett Howden: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.29 (P1 0:16) Jack Eichel: wrist, 83 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:15) Jeff Petry: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:59) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:14) A.J. Greer: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:07) Sam Reinhart: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:33) Sam Reinhart: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:46) Seth Jones: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:52) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:00) Carter Verhaeghe: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:06) Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:49) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:06) A.J. Greer: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:09) Niko Mikkola: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:35) Anton Lundell: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:02) Jack Eichel: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:24) Sam Bennett: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 8:49) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 170 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:53) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:46) Cole Reinhardt: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:23) Evan Rodrigues: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:55) Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:16) Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 82 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:19) Shea Theodore: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:40) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 12:56) Mitch Marner: wrist, 3 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 13:07) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:25) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:34) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:04) Tomas Hertl: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 16:06) Pavel Dorofeyev: slap, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:26) Reilly Smith: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:59) Seth Jones: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:24) Sam Bennett: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:45) Eetu Luostarinen: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:33) Evan Rodrigues: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:20) Noah Hanifin: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:44) Ivan Barbashev: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:57) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 2:20) Sam Reinhart: deflected, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:37) Brad Marchand: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:53) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 5:58) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 6:19) Shea Theodore: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:58) Noah Hanifin: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:55) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:12) Ivan Barbashev: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:27) Colton Sissons: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:22) Anton Lundell: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:55) Niko Mikkola: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 16:50) Brett Howden: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:03) Niko Mikkola: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:00) Anton Lundell: backhand, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:19) Sam Reinhart: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:26) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:56) Gustav Forsling: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:22) Shea Theodore: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:22) Seth Jones: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:40) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:10) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 5:36) Eetu Luostarinen: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:09) Tomas Hertl: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:33) Noah Hanifin: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:42) Noah Hanifin: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:46) Seth Jones: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:07) Mitch Marner: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:37) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:05) Shea Theodore: wrist, 147 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 13:11) Brayden McNabb: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 13:43) Kaedan Korczak: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:14) Brayden McNabb: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:32) Sam Bennett: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 16:50) Jesper Boqvist: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 17:32) Eetu Luostarinen: wrist, 136 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 18:32) Shea Theodore: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 19:26) Jack Eichel: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:53) Jesper Boqvist: GOAL, slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:47) Brad Marchand: GOAL, backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:54) Tomas Hertl: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.40 (P3 1:25) Sam Reinhart: GOAL, tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:54) Ivan Barbashev: GOAL, snap, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 9:04)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
15 Anton Lundell 000 +1 30.20 0020:53
13 Sam Reinhart 101 -2 50.33 1019:04
17 Evan Rodrigues 000 -2 40.30 0118:53
63 Brad Marchand 112 +1 30.19 0018:52
27 Eetu Luostarinen 000 +1 40.20 1116:53
23 Carter Verhaeghe 000 -2 10.07 1015:56
11 Mackie Samoskevich 000 +1 20.03 3213:57
9 Sam Bennett 000 +1 50.33 0013:26
70 Jesper Boqvist 101 +1 20.11 2012:47
18 A.J. Greer 000 0 20.04 2008:57
79 Cole Schwindt 000 0 00.00 1008:12
71 Luke Kunin 000 0 00.00 3108:01
Defense
42 Gustav Forsling 011 0 20.02 0124:14
3 Seth Jones 011 -1 90.08 0223:23
5 Aaron Ekblad 000 -1 20.02 2021:44
77 Niko Mikkola 000 0 50.12 3120:26
2 Jeff Petry 011 0 30.02 0314:04
73 Donovan Sebrango 022 +2 00.00 2112:18
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky 32230 .938 3.18 +1.18

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mitch Marner 011 +1 40.24 0122:47
9 Jack Eichel 000 +1 40.07 0122:30
48 Tomas Hertl 101 +1 71.14 3120:42
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 000 +1 60.28 1020:11
49 Ivan Barbashev 101 0 40.28 0116:48
20 Brandon Saad 000 +1 10.00 0015:49
21 Brett Howden 000 -1 20.30 1014:53
19 Reilly Smith 000 -1 40.13 0212:05
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 -2 10.01 3011:57
15 Colton Sissons 000 -1 10.04 4109:57
10 Alexander Holtz 000 0 00.00 0007:45
29 Cole Reinhardt 000 0 10.01 1005:41
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 011 +2 80.25 0023:48
15 Noah Hanifin 000 0 50.08 0123:35
3 Brayden McNabb 011 +1 50.32 1420:28
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 -1 10.01 3017:32
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 -1 10.00 1014:49
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 -1 30.01 4113:29
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Carl Lindbom 20317 .850 1.91 -1.09

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
63 Brad Marchand L +1.53 +1.30 +0.12 -0.02 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 18:52
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G +1.18 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.18 60:00
3 Seth Jones D +0.89 +0.70 +0.05 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 23:23
70 Jesper Boqvist C +0.78 +0.75 +0.07 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:47
6 Donovan Sebrango D +0.71 +1.25 0.00 -0.57 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:18
9 Sam Bennett C +0.50 0.00 +0.22 +0.24 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 13:26
77 Niko Mikkola D +0.41 0.00 +0.08 +0.47 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 20:26
11 Mackie Samoskevich R +0.29 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 13:57
42 Gustav Forsling D +0.20 +0.70 +0.01 -0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 24:14
27 Eetu Luostarinen C +0.15 0.00 +0.13 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 16:53
79 Cole Schwindt R -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 8:12
15 Anton Lundell C -0.12 0.00 +0.13 -0.38 +0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 20:53
10 A.J. Greer L -0.12 0.00 +0.03 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:57
71 Luke Kunin C -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 8:01
13 Sam Reinhart C -0.40 +0.75 +0.21 -1.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:04
2 Jeff Petry D -0.82 +0.55 +0.01 -1.36 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 14:04
17 Evan Rodrigues C -1.13 0.00 +0.19 -1.38 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:53
5 Aaron Ekblad D -1.17 0.00 +0.01 -1.04 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 21:44
23 Carter Verhaeghe C -1.27 0.00 +0.04 -1.30 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 15:56

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
48 Tomas Hertl C +2.98 +0.75 +0.74 +1.38 0.00 +0.04 +0.07 — 20:42
27 Shea Theodore D +2.65 +0.70 +0.16 +1.81 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:48
3 Brayden McNabb D +2.56 +0.70 +0.21 +1.45 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 20:28
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +1.65 0.00 +0.19 +1.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:11
49 Ivan Barbashev L +1.56 +0.75 +0.18 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 16:48
93 Mitch Marner R +1.36 +0.55 +0.15 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 22:47
20 Brandon Saad L +0.95 0.00 0.00 +0.99 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:49
9 Jack Eichel C +0.89 0.00 +0.05 +0.68 +0.15 -0.01 +0.03 — 22:30
21 Brett Howden C +0.36 0.00 +0.20 +0.03 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 14:53
15 Noah Hanifin D +0.20 0.00 +0.05 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:35
19 Reilly Smith R +0.09 0.00 +0.09 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 12:05
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +0.02 0.00 +0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:29
6 Kaedan Korczak D -0.04 0.00 +0.01 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:32
23 Cole Reinhardt L -0.12 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 5:41
26 Alexander Holtz R -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 7:45
55 Keegan Kolesar R -0.33 0.00 +0.01 -0.30 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 11:57
2 Zach Whitecloud D -0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.30 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:49
10 Colton Sissons C -0.54 0.00 +0.02 -0.56 0.00 -0.02 +0.01 — 9:57
30 Carl Lindbom G -1.09 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.09 58:29

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.