Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 3–5 Final Boston BruinsBOS

Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Toronto Maple LeafsTOR	1	1	1	3	33
Boston BruinsBOS	3	1	1	5	32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:27	BOS	Pavel Zacha (5)PP David Pastrnak (12), Charlie McAvoy (13) · deflected xG 0.11	0–1 ▶
6:41	TOR	Steven Lorentz (1)SH Unassisted · wrist xG 0.03	1–1 ▶
9:32	BOS	Hampus Lindholm (1)PP Mason Lohrei (8), Michael Eyssimont (5) · snap xG 0.03	1–2 ▶
17:23	BOS	Alex Steeves (1) Hampus Lindholm (4) · snap xG 0.04	1–3 ▶
2nd Period
0:49	BOS	David Pastrnak (9) Morgan Geekie (5), Charlie McAvoy (14) · wrist xG 0.17	1–4 ▶
18:58	TOR	Bobby McMann (4)PP Max Domi (3), Morgan Rielly (12) · backhand xG 0.09	2–4 ▶
3rd Period
3:32	TOR	Oliver Ekman-Larsson (2) Nick Robertson (6), William Nylander (16) · snap xG 0.03	3–4 ▶
9:48	BOS	David Pastrnak (10)PP Mark Kastelic (3), Tanner Jeannot (5) · wrist xG 0.09	3–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

TOR 46%Deserve to win54% BOS

TOR		BOS
3.66	Expected goals	4.02
3	Goals (no shootout)	5
1.96	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.52
64	Shot attempts	73
51	Unblocked attempts	56
33	Shots on goal	32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:00	BOS	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced TOR 1.26–0.03 In xG over 10 minutes, 2:20 to 12:20 of the 1st; goals 2–1
20:00	TOR	Goalie change	Goalie change · Hildeby in for Stolarz The start of the 2nd; Stolarz had allowed 3 goals on 11 shots (1.50 xG)
2nd Period
9:30	TOR	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.42–0.23 In xG over 10 minutes, 19:40 of the 1st to 9:40 of the 2nd; goals 0–1
3rd Period
7:30	TOR	No shift	No shift · Matthews, 13:48 on the bench No shift after 9:00 of the 2nd; 12 shifts (10:51) before that
17:15	TOR	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Hildeby, down 5–3 With 2:45 left
19:18	TOR	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Hildeby, down 5–3 With 0:42 left

Shot map

TOR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BOS shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
89	Matthew Knies	0	0	0	0	9	0.99	3	0	22:11
88	William Nylander	0	1	1	0	9	0.38	0	0	21:32
91	John Tavares	0	0	0	-1	5	0.24	2	0	20:41
10	Nicolas Roy	0	0	0	0	4	0.35	0	0	16:35
11	Max Domi	0	1	1	+1	5	0.30	0	1	16:19
74	Bobby McMann	1	0	1	-1	6	0.29	3	2	13:48
14	Nick Robertson	0	1	1	0	1	0.16	0	1	12:40
63	Matias Maccelli	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	12:22
18	Steven Lorentz	1	0	1	+1	2	0.20	3	0	11:49
81	Dakota Joshua	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	11:26
34	Auston Matthews	0	0	0	0	2	0.19	1	0	10:51
0	Sammy Blais	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	5	0	08:34
Defense
44	Morgan Rielly	0	1	1	0	3	0.00	2	0	22:29
95	Oliver Ekman-Larsson	1	0	1	+1	6	0.31	1	3	21:22
22	Jake McCabe	0	0	0	-2	3	0.02	1	4	21:19
25	Brandon Carlo	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	2	3	20:48
44	Simon Benoit	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	4	0	15:48
51	Philippe Myers	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	1	10:31

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Anthony Stolarz	11	3	8	.727	1.50	-1.50
Dennis Hildeby	21	2	19	.905	2.41	+0.41

Boston Bruins

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
88	David Pastrnak	2	1	3	0	14	0.95	1	0	23:45
39	Morgan Geekie	0	1	1	0	6	0.20	1	2	20:21
18	Pavel Zacha	1	0	1	-1	7	1.07	0	1	19:16
33	Viktor Arvidsson	0	0	0	0	8	0.72	0	0	15:19
92	Marat Khusnutdinov	0	0	0	0	2	0.23	0	1	14:59
47	Mark Kastelic	0	1	1	-1	2	0.04	2	0	14:09
52	Sean Kuraly	0	0	0	0	4	0.21	1	0	13:33
93	Fraser Minten	0	0	0	+2	1	0.04	2	0	13:04
84	Tanner Jeannot	0	1	1	-1	4	0.13	2	2	13:03
21	Alex Steeves	1	0	1	0	4	0.11	5	1	11:01
81	Michael Eyssimont	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	0	10:08
25	Jeffrey Viel	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	07:39
Defense
73	Charlie McAvoy	0	2	2	0	7	0.13	0	2	26:11
27	Hampus Lindholm	1	1	2	0	6	0.10	0	1	21:34
91	Nikita Zadorov	0	0	0	+1	3	0.05	3	0	19:44
20	Andrew Peeke	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	0	1	19:41
6	Mason Lohrei	0	1	1	0	3	0.01	0	0	14:35
20	Henri Jokiharju	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	11:06

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jeremy Swayman	33	3	30	.909	3.66	+0.66

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
18 Steven Lorentz C	+1.61	+0.75	+0.13	+0.59	+0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	11:49
11 Max Domi C	+1.58	+0.70	+0.20	+0.85	-0.22	+0.03	+0.03	—	16:19
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson D	+1.55	+0.75	+0.20	+0.34	+0.15	0.00	+0.11	—	21:22
44 Morgan Rielly D	+1.02	+0.55	0.00	+0.47	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	22:29
88 William Nylander R	+0.94	+0.55	+0.24	+0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:32
74 Bobby McMann C	+0.83	+0.75	+0.19	-0.13	-0.08	0.00	+0.10	—	13:48
79 Sammy Blais L	+0.73	0.00	+0.08	+0.65	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:34
25 Brandon Carlo D	+0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	20:48
89 Nick Robertson L	+0.41	+0.70	+0.10	-0.42	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	12:40
35 Dennis Hildeby G	+0.41	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.41	37:20
63 Matias Maccelli L	+0.40	0.00	+0.05	+0.22	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	12:22
51 Philippe Myers D	+0.38	0.00	+0.02	+0.46	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	10:31
91 John Tavares C	+0.30	0.00	+0.16	+0.01	0.00	+0.13	0.00	—	20:41
23 Matthew Knies L	+0.22	0.00	+0.64	-0.38	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	22:11
34 Auston Matthews C	+0.04	0.00	+0.12	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	10:51
55 Nicolas Roy C	-0.12	0.00	+0.22	-0.34	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	16:35
2 Simon Benoit D	-0.18	0.00	0.00	-0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:48
81 Dakota Joshua C	-0.27	0.00	0.00	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	11:26
22 Jake McCabe D	-0.67	0.00	+0.01	-0.73	-0.15	0.00	+0.20	—	21:19
41 Anthony Stolarz G	-1.50	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.50	20:00

Boston Bruins

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
88 David Pastrnak R	+2.95	+2.20	+0.62	+0.30	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	23:45
73 Charlie McAvoy D	+1.98	+1.10	+0.08	+0.72	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	26:11
18 Pavel Zacha C	+1.17	+0.75	+0.69	-0.31	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	19:16
39 Morgan Geekie C	+1.11	+0.70	+0.13	+0.21	0.00	-0.05	+0.12	—	20:21
27 Hampus Lindholm D	+0.96	+1.45	+0.07	-0.68	+0.08	0.00	+0.05	—	21:34
91 Nikita Zadorov D	+0.77	0.00	+0.03	+0.58	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	19:44
21 Alex Steeves C	+0.72	+0.75	+0.07	-0.28	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	11:01
1 Jeremy Swayman G	+0.66	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.66	59:53
81 Michael Eyssimont C	+0.55	+0.55	0.00	+0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	10:08
71 Viktor Arvidsson L	+0.47	0.00	+0.47	-0.14	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	15:19
6 Mason Lohrei D	+0.46	+0.70	+0.01	-0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:35
93 Fraser Minten C	+0.45	0.00	+0.03	+0.43	0.00	-0.02	+0.02	—	13:04
84 Tanner Jeannot L	+0.29	+0.55	+0.09	-0.60	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	13:03
52 Sean Kuraly C	+0.13	0.00	+0.13	+0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	13:33
92 Marat Khusnutdinov C	+0.02	0.00	+0.15	-0.24	+0.08	-0.02	+0.05	—	14:59
48 Jeffrey Viel L	-0.04	0.00	0.00	+0.11	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	7:39
47 Mark Kastelic C	-0.11	+0.70	+0.03	-0.54	-0.30	+0.01	0.00	—	14:09
20 Henri Jokiharju D	-0.35	0.00	+0.01	-0.36	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:06
26 Andrew Peeke D	-0.65	0.00	+0.01	-0.71	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	19:41

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.