San Jose SharksSJS 2–1 Final/OT Minnesota WildMIN

Tuesday, November 11, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
San Jose SharksSJS 0011 2 18
Minnesota WildMIN 0100 1 29

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
5:02 MIN Matt Boldy (9)PP Mats Zuccarello (2), Zeev Buium (7) · snap xG 0.13 0–1 ▶
3rd Period
11:57 SJS Will Smith (7)PP Macklin Celebrini (15), Tyler Toffoli (6) · snap xG 0.16 1–1 ▶
Overtime
2:41 SJS Collin Graf (2) Macklin Celebrini (16), Sam Dickinson (1) · backhand xG 0.18 2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SJS 34%Deserve to win66% MIN
SJSMIN
2.01Expected goals2.91
2Goals (no shootout)1
1.37Expected goals, 5 on 52.04
49Shot attempts58
31Unblocked attempts45
18Shots on goal29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
18:10 MIN xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.26–0.03
In xG over 10 minutes, 8:30 to 18:30 of the 2nd; neither team scored

Shot map

SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
Zeev Buium: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:23) Matt Boldy: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 3:14) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 4:05) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 4:31) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 4:37) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:05) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 5:22) David Jiricek: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:25) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 8:51) William Eklund: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:03) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:31) Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:41) John Klingberg: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:02) John Klingberg: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:12) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:44) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:45) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:04) Collin Graf: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:13) Marcus Foligno: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:16) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:35) Vincent Desharnais: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:56) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:06) Mario Ferraro: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:27) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:55) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:27) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:47) David Jiricek: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:01) Jeff Skinner: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:57) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:05) Brock Faber: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:08) William Eklund: tip-in, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:08) Philipp Kurashev: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:17) Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:25) Marcus Foligno: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:08) Zeev Buium: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:10) Matt Boldy: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 9:23) Jonas Brodin: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:24) Philipp Kurashev: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:50) Matt Boldy: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:04) Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:31) Jared Spurgeon: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 15:05) Marcus Foligno: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.31 (P2 15:08) Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:32) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:15) Zeev Buium: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 16:17) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 18:03) Zeev Buium: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:02) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:08) William Eklund: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:43) John Klingberg: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:33) John Klingberg: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:44) David Jiricek: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:21) Daemon Hunt: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:29) Daemon Hunt: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 2:54) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:07) Mats Zuccarello: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:59) William Eklund: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:28) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:39) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:55) Matt Boldy: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 9:15) Jonas Brodin: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:21) Matt Boldy: backhand, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:18) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:06) Shakir Mukhamadullin: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:41) Dmitry Orlov: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:12) Matt Boldy: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:34) William Eklund: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 15:15) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:31) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:50) Danila Yurov: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:59) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:13) Matt Boldy: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:42) Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 18:16) Matt Boldy: GOAL, snap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 5:02) Will Smith: GOAL, snap, 13 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 11:57) Collin Graf: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 2:41)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
21 Alexander Wennberg 000 0 20.20 0121:02
27 William Eklund 000 0 70.53 2119:15
71 Macklin Celebrini 022 +1 40.07 0119:03
2 Will Smith 101 0 20.16 1018:31
96 Philipp Kurashev 000 0 50.26 0118:00
73 Tyler Toffoli 011 0 30.17 1115:53
10 Ty Dellandrea 000 0 10.02 5014:54
53 Jeff Skinner 000 0 50.06 2013:54
51 Collin Graf 101 +1 20.26 0013:53
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 0 00.00 2011:10
81 Adam Gaudette 000 0 00.00 0209:49
75 Ryan Reaves 000 0 00.00 4107:58
Defense
9 Dmitry Orlov 000 0 30.05 1027:40
3 John Klingberg 000 0 70.16 0322:56
38 Mario Ferraro 000 0 10.01 0119:17
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin 000 0 30.02 0018:32
73 Vincent Desharnais 000 0 30.02 2016:01
6 Sam Dickinson 011 +1 10.03 2113:45
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Yaroslav Askarov 29128 .966 2.91 +1.91

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 000 -1 40.20 1024:31
12 Matt Boldy 101 0 90.70 0023:15
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 000 0 90.48 3021:52
36 Mats Zuccarello 011 -1 10.08 0018:17
23 Marco Rossi 000 0 00.00 0017:59
90 Marcus Johansson 000 0 10.01 0014:00
13 Yakov Trenin 000 0 30.16 1113:03
17 Marcus Foligno 000 0 40.38 4112:47
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 000 0 00.00 0011:51
38 Ryan Hartman 000 0 10.04 1211:28
22 Danila Yurov 000 0 10.01 1009:43
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 0 30.22 1008:42
Defense
8 Zeev Buium 011 0 50.26 0226:08
7 Brock Faber 000 0 30.01 1324:55
25 Jonas Brodin 000 -1 40.08 1321:56
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 0 20.12 1221:33
48 Daemon Hunt 000 0 30.08 1111:27
5 David Jiricek 000 0 50.08 0109:47
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 18216 .889 2.01 +0.01

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
30 Yaroslav Askarov G +1.91 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.91 62:14
72 William Eklund L +1.43 0.00 +0.34 +1.06 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:15
96 Philipp Kurashev C +1.27 0.00 +0.17 +0.94 +0.15 -0.01 +0.03 — 18:00
21 Alexander Wennberg C +1.08 0.00 +0.13 +1.02 -0.15 +0.02 +0.05 — 21:02
51 Collin Graf R +0.71 +0.75 +0.17 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:53
5 Vincent Desharnais D +0.50 0.00 +0.01 +0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:01
6 Sam Dickinson D +0.28 +0.55 +0.02 -0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:45
53 Jeff Skinner L +0.13 0.00 +0.04 +0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:54
10 Ty Dellandrea C +0.11 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 14:54
71 Macklin Celebrini C +0.06 +1.40 +0.04 -1.57 +0.15 -0.02 +0.05 — 19:03
75 Ryan Reaves R -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 7:58
81 Adam Gaudette R -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.24 0.00 -0.03 +0.10 — 9:49
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D -0.28 0.00 +0.01 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:32
3 John Klingberg D -0.31 0.00 +0.10 -0.24 -0.30 0.00 +0.13 — 22:56
23 Barclay Goodrow C -0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.28 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 11:10
38 Mario Ferraro D -0.51 0.00 +0.01 -0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 19:17
73 Tyler Toffoli C -0.56 +0.55 +0.11 -1.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:53
9 Dmitry Orlov D -0.57 0.00 +0.03 -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 27:40
2 Will Smith C -0.59 +0.75 +0.11 -1.57 +0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 18:31

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
12 Matt Boldy L +2.55 +0.75 +0.46 +1.17 +0.15 +0.01 +0.02 — 23:15
46 Jared Spurgeon D +1.56 0.00 +0.08 +1.25 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 21:33
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +1.45 0.00 +0.31 +1.24 -0.15 +0.05 0.00 — 21:52
17 Marcus Foligno L +1.03 0.00 +0.24 +0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:47
25 Jonas Brodin D +0.96 0.00 +0.05 +0.76 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 21:56
90 Marcus Johansson L +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:00
13 Yakov Trenin C +0.62 0.00 +0.11 +0.47 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 13:03
38 Ryan Hartman R +0.40 0.00 +0.02 +0.34 0.00 -0.06 +0.10 — 11:28
8 Zeev Buium D +0.40 +0.55 +0.17 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 26:08
48 Daemon Hunt D +0.34 0.00 +0.05 -0.09 +0.30 0.00 +0.07 — 11:27
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C +0.24 0.00 +0.14 +0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:42
22 Danila Yurov R +0.16 0.00 +0.01 +0.19 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 9:43
55 David Jiricek D +0.03 0.00 +0.05 +0.05 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 9:47
32 Filip Gustavsson G +0.01 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.01 62:41
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 11:51
36 Mats Zuccarello R -0.09 +0.70 +0.05 -0.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:17
7 Brock Faber D -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.12 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 24:55
97 Kirill Kaprizov L -0.59 0.00 +0.13 -0.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:31
23 Marco Rossi C -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.03 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 17:59

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.