Tuesday, November 11, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
SJS 34%Deserve to win 66% MIN
SJS MIN
2.01 Expected goals 2.91
2 Goals (no shootout) 1
1.37 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.04
49 Shot attempts 58
31 Unblocked attempts 45
18 Shots on goal 29
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
2nd Period
18:10
MIN
xG swing
xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.26–0.03
In xG over 10 minutes, 8:30 to 18:30 of the 2nd; neither team scored
Shot map
SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → MIN shoots
Zeev Buium: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:23)
Matt Boldy: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 3:14)
Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 4:05)
Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 4:31)
Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 4:37)
Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:05)
Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 5:22)
David Jiricek: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:25)
Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 8:51)
William Eklund: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:03)
Marcus Johansson: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:31)
Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:41)
John Klingberg: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:02)
John Klingberg: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:12)
Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:44)
Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:45)
Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:04)
Collin Graf: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:13)
Marcus Foligno: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:16)
Yakov Trenin: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:35)
Vincent Desharnais: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:56)
Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:06)
Mario Ferraro: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:27)
Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:55)
Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:27)
Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:47)
David Jiricek: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:01)
Jeff Skinner: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:57)
Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:05)
Brock Faber: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:08)
William Eklund: tip-in, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:08)
Philipp Kurashev: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:17)
Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 8:25)
Marcus Foligno: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:08)
Zeev Buium: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:10)
Matt Boldy: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 9:23)
Jonas Brodin: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:24)
Philipp Kurashev: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:50)
Matt Boldy: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:04)
Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:31)
Jared Spurgeon: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 15:05)
Marcus Foligno: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.31 (P2 15:08)
Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:32)
Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:15)
Zeev Buium: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 16:17)
Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 18:03)
Zeev Buium: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:02)
Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:08)
William Eklund: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:43)
John Klingberg: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:33)
John Klingberg: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:44)
David Jiricek: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:21)
Daemon Hunt: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:29)
Daemon Hunt: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 2:54)
Jeff Skinner: wrist, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:07)
Mats Zuccarello: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:59)
William Eklund: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 4:28)
Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:39)
Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:55)
Matt Boldy: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 9:15)
Jonas Brodin: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:21)
Matt Boldy: backhand, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:18)
Jeff Skinner: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:06)
Shakir Mukhamadullin: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:41)
Dmitry Orlov: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:12)
Matt Boldy: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:34)
William Eklund: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 15:15)
Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:31)
Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:50)
Danila Yurov: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:59)
Sam Dickinson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:13)
Matt Boldy: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:42)
Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 18:16)
Matt Boldy: GOAL, snap, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 5:02)
Will Smith: GOAL, snap, 13 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 11:57)
Collin Graf: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 2:41)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
San Jose Sharks
Minnesota Wild
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
San Jose Sharks
Minnesota Wild
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
12 Matt Boldy L
+2.55
+0.75
+0.46
+1.17
+0.15
+0.01
+0.02
—
23:15
46 Jared Spurgeon D
+1.56
0.00
+0.08
+1.25
+0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
21:33
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C
+1.45
0.00
+0.31
+1.24
-0.15
+0.05
0.00
—
21:52
17 Marcus Foligno L
+1.03
0.00
+0.24
+0.73
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
12:47
25 Jonas Brodin D
+0.96
0.00
+0.05
+0.76
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
21:56
90 Marcus Johansson L
+0.63
0.00
0.00
+0.63
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:00
13 Yakov Trenin C
+0.62
0.00
+0.11
+0.47
0.00
+0.01
+0.03
—
13:03
38 Ryan Hartman R
+0.40
0.00
+0.02
+0.34
0.00
-0.06
+0.10
—
11:28
8 Zeev Buium D
+0.40
+0.55
+0.17
-0.42
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
26:08
48 Daemon Hunt D
+0.34
0.00
+0.05
-0.09
+0.30
0.00
+0.07
—
11:27
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C
+0.24
0.00
+0.14
+0.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
8:42
22 Danila Yurov R
+0.16
0.00
+0.01
+0.19
0.00
-0.02
-0.02
—
9:43
55 David Jiricek D
+0.03
0.00
+0.05
+0.05
-0.15
0.00
+0.07
—
9:47
32 Filip Gustavsson G
+0.01
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.01
62:41
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R
-0.07
0.00
0.00
-0.03
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
11:51
36 Mats Zuccarello R
-0.09
+0.70
+0.05
-0.85
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:17
7 Brock Faber D
-0.14
0.00
0.00
-0.12
-0.15
0.00
+0.13
—
24:55
97 Kirill Kaprizov L
-0.59
0.00
+0.13
-0.72
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
24:31
23 Marco Rossi C
-1.00
0.00
0.00
-1.03
0.00
+0.01
+0.02
—
17:59
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.