| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 34 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:43 | Ryan Winterton (2) Ben Meyers (3), Jamie Oleksiak (1) · snap xG 0.17 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 18:22 | Adam Fantilli (4)PP Kirill Marchenko (10), Sean Monahan (6) · snap xG 0.22 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Mason Marchment vs Jet Greaves | Saved | ||
| Adam Fantilli vs Matt Murray | Saved | ||
| Jordan Eberle vs Jet Greaves | Saved | ||
| Kirill Marchenko vs Matt Murray | Goal | ||
| Eeli Tolvanen vs Jet Greaves | Goal | ||
| Sean Monahan vs Matt Murray | Saved | ||
| Kaapo Kakko vs Jet Greaves | Saved | ||
| Charlie Coyle vs Matt Murray | Goal | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CBJ | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.05 | Expected goals | 2.14 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.90 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.63 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 62 |
| 53 | Unblocked attempts | 41 |
| 34 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:20 | CBJ | No shift | No shift · Jenner, 26:48 on the bench
No shift after 2:04 of the 2nd; 7 shifts (7:21) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:40 | CBJ | No shift | No shift · Christiansen, 20:23 on the bench
No shift after 10:37 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (7:14) before that |
| Overtime | |||
| 4:24 | SEA | Goalie | Goalie · Murray +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.05 xG, 34 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 | 22:54 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.34 | 2 | 1 | 21:19 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 21:11 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.32 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 18:07 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 17:13 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.30 | 1 | 1 | 14:30 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:49 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.46 | 3 | 1 | 13:32 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 12:06 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.20 | 0 | 2 | 07:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.12 | 1 | 2 | 31:13 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 28:10 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 19:44 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.04 | 0 | 3 | 16:45 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 15:58 |
| 2 | Jake Christiansen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 07:14 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 23 | 1 | 22 | .957 | 2.14 | +1.14 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 23:07 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 20:52 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.41 | 1 | 0 | 19:45 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 16:35 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 14:11 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.43 | 2 | 0 | 12:35 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 12:34 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 12:34 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:57 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 08:18 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.19 | 0 | 2 | 21:13 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 21:09 |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 20:19 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 18:33 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Murray | 34 | 1 | 33 | .971 | 3.05 | +2.05 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Jet Greaves G | +1.44 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.30 | — | — | +1.14 | 65:00 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +1.16 | +0.75 | +0.36 | -0.03 | +0.15 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 22:54 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:32 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 19:44 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 7:21 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +0.60 | +0.70 | +0.22 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:19 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +0.58 | +0.55 | +0.21 | -0.09 | -0.15 | +0.08 | -0.02 | — | 21:11 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.03 | — | 17:13 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 18:07 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:58 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:06 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 31:13 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 16:45 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:30 |
| 2 Jake Christiansen D | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 7:14 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 28:10 |
| 65 Luca Del Bel Belluz C | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 11:40 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:14 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.44 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 13:49 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Matt Murray G | +2.05 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.05 | 64:54 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | +1.71 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:34 |
| 59 Ben Meyers C | +1.54 | +0.70 | +0.28 | +0.74 | -0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 12:35 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | +0.88 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:19 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:57 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.44 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:09 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:13 |
| 77 Berkly Catton C | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:18 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 12:34 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:32 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.26 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:45 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.35 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:55 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:35 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 20:52 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.33 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 20:10 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.36 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 18:33 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | -0.47 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:11 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.56 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.04 | — | 23:07 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:11 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.