hockeystats.io

Edmonton OilersEDM 2–1 Final/OT Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Wednesday, November 12, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Edmonton OilersEDM 1001 2 31
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0100 1 21

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
19:05 EDM Evan Bouchard (3) Connor McDavid (18), Matt Savoie (2) · slap xG 0.08 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
15:38 PHI Matvei Michkov (4)PP Cam York (9), Travis Konecny (9) · snap xG 0.06 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
1:19 EDM Jack Roslovic (5) Matt Savoie (3) · wrist xG 0.23 2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

EDM 55%Deserve to win45% PHI
EDMPHI
2.52Expected goals2.28
2Goals (no shootout)1
1.75Expected goals, 5 on 51.44
55Shot attempts44
41Unblocked attempts34
31Shots on goal21

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
0:45 EDM Deserve to win Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 60–40%
PHI had led since 2:06 of the 1st, by as much as 65%

Shot map

EDM shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Bobby Brink: backhand, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:18) Noah Cates: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:27) Jake Walman: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:42) Noah Cates: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:51) Owen Tippett: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:14) Noah Juulsen: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:06) Mattias Ekholm: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:11) Nick Seeler: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:02) Cam York: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 4:37) Vasily Podkolzin: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 4:48) Emil Andrae: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:06) Noah Juulsen: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:12) Ty Emberson: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:49) Matt Savoie: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:50) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 10:58) Sean Couturier: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:19) Mattias Janmark: wrist, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:32) Jack Roslovic: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 14:03) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:43) Noah Philp: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:51) Darnell Nurse: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:56) Andrew Mangiapane: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 16:37) Vasily Podkolzin: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:06) Brett Kulak: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:33) Connor McDavid: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:00) Noah Philp: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:57) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:23) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:45) Darnell Nurse: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:57) Adam Henrique: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:37) Isaac Howard: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:34) Darnell Nurse: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:43) Jake Walman: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:04) Connor McDavid: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:22) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:37) Isaac Howard: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 8:02) Emil Andrae: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:43) Tyson Foerster: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:08) Ty Emberson: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:56) Adam Henrique: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:34) Darnell Nurse: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:02) Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:24) Nick Seeler: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:06) Travis Konecny: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:10) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 15:07) Christian Dvorak: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 16:53) Sean Couturier: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:54) Jack Roslovic: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:41) Vasily Podkolzin: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:56) Cam York: wrist, 149 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:28) Evan Bouchard: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:38) Isaac Howard: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:56) Matt Savoie: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 2:02) Isaac Howard: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:11) Tyson Foerster: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 3:27) Evan Bouchard: wrist, 178 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:15) Tyson Foerster: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:00) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:22) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:10) Garnet Hathaway: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:45) Rodrigo Abols: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:21) Bobby Brink: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 11:28) Nick Seeler: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:09) Noah Cates: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:33) Adam Henrique: backhand, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:21) Noah Cates: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:34) Noah Cates: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:05) Noah Cates: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:06) Connor McDavid: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 18:33) Noah Cates: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:49) Sean Couturier: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.24 (OT 0:36) Jack Roslovic: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:05) Evan Bouchard: GOAL, slap, 39 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:05) Matvei Michkov: GOAL, snap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:38) Jack Roslovic: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.23 (OT 1:19)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
29 Leon Draisaitl 000 0 00.00 0022:07
97 Connor McDavid 011 +1 40.15 1021:34
96 Jack Roslovic 101 +1 50.53 0020:59
19 Adam Henrique 000 0 60.15 0017:25
92 Vasily Podkolzin 000 0 50.36 3017:00
22 Matt Savoie 022 +2 20.17 0016:05
13 Mattias Janmark 000 0 10.00 1014:53
26 Andrew Mangiapane 000 +1 10.10 0012:45
20 Curtis Lazar 000 0 00.00 2211:10
10 Trent Frederic 000 0 10.00 1010:00
15 Noah Philp 000 0 20.04 1009:07
53 Isaac Howard 000 0 40.43 0007:38
Defense
2 Evan Bouchard 101 +1 80.24 0123:45
96 Jake Walman 000 +1 20.05 0122:39
25 Darnell Nurse 000 0 60.09 0220:54
14 Mattias Ekholm 000 +1 40.08 0118:51
49 Ty Emberson 000 0 30.10 1116:30
27 Brett Kulak 000 0 10.01 0215:35
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Stuart Skinner 21120 .952 2.28 +1.28

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Travis Konecny 011 0 20.18 4120:19
14 Sean Couturier 000 0 40.31 0019:51
71 Tyson Foerster 000 -1 40.23 0019:26
46 Trevor Zegras 000 -1 20.04 0019:12
27 Noah Cates 000 -1 80.64 0119:07
10 Bobby Brink 000 -1 40.15 1117:04
39 Matvei Michkov 101 -1 20.06 1016:05
74 Owen Tippett 000 0 10.12 2115:36
22 Christian Dvorak 000 0 20.21 0115:28
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 10.01 0007:50
44 Nicolas Deslauriers 000 0 00.00 8006:59
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 0 20.02 1006:21
Defense
8 Cam York 011 -2 20.12 0224:44
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 0 10.00 1224:37
6 Travis Sanheim 000 -1 10.00 0324:09
24 Nick Seeler 000 0 30.03 2020:57
36 Emil Andrae 000 0 30.06 0111:22
47 Noah Juulsen 000 0 20.08 1010:50
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 31229 .935 2.52 +0.52

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
22 Matt Savoie C +1.82 +1.25 +0.11 +0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:05
2 Evan Bouchard D +1.35 +0.75 +0.16 +0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 23:45
74 Stuart Skinner G +1.28 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.28 61:19
97 Connor McDavid C +1.21 +0.70 +0.10 +0.32 +0.15 +0.01 -0.06 — 21:34
28 Jack Roslovic C +1.02 +0.75 +0.35 -0.06 0.00 +0.04 -0.06 — 20:59
14 Mattias Ekholm D +0.62 0.00 +0.05 +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:51
53 Isaac Howard L +0.49 0.00 +0.28 +0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 7:38
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +0.36 0.00 +0.23 0.00 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 17:00
25 Darnell Nurse D +0.34 0.00 +0.06 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:54
19 Adam Henrique C +0.34 0.00 +0.10 +0.21 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 17:25
48 Noah Philp C +0.28 0.00 +0.02 +0.20 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 9:07
88 Andrew Mangiapane L +0.21 0.00 +0.06 +0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:45
10 Trent Frederic C +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.24 -0.08 0.00 0.00 — 10:00
20 Curtis Lazar C +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.04 0.00 +0.02 +0.10 — 11:10
96 Jake Walman D +0.12 0.00 +0.04 +0.22 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 22:39
27 Brett Kulak D -0.01 0.00 +0.01 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:35
29 Leon Draisaitl C -0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.11 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 — 22:07
49 Ty Emberson D -0.29 0.00 +0.07 -0.21 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 16:30
13 Mattias Janmark C -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.24 -0.08 0.00 0.00 — 14:53

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
39 Matvei Michkov R +0.92 +0.75 +0.04 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:05
80 Dan Vladar G +0.60 0.00 — — +0.08 — — +0.52 61:19
11 Travis Konecny R +0.54 +0.55 +0.12 -0.30 +0.15 -0.01 +0.03 — 20:19
74 Owen Tippett R +0.40 0.00 +0.08 +0.14 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 15:36
8 Cam York D +0.32 +0.70 +0.08 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 24:44
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 24:37
14 Sean Couturier C +0.22 0.00 +0.20 +0.11 0.00 -0.05 -0.04 — 19:51
46 Trevor Zegras C +0.22 0.00 +0.03 +0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:12
22 Christian Dvorak C +0.19 0.00 +0.13 +0.03 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 15:28
24 Nick Seeler D +0.07 0.00 +0.02 +0.22 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 20:57
47 Noah Juulsen D +0.04 0.00 +0.05 -0.07 +0.08 0.00 -0.02 — 10:50
10 Bobby Brink R +0.01 0.00 +0.10 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:04
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.04 0.00 +0.01 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:50
27 Noah Cates L -0.14 0.00 +0.42 -0.39 -0.15 -0.05 +0.03 — 19:07
36 Emil Andrae D -0.23 0.00 +0.04 -0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:22
71 Tyson Foerster R -0.28 0.00 +0.15 -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:26
44 Nicolas Deslauriers L -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:59
6 Travis Sanheim D -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 24:09
18 Rodrigo Abols C -0.48 0.00 +0.01 -0.44 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 6:21

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.