| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:28 | Claude Giroux (4)PP Tim Stützle (9), Dylan Cozens (7) · snap xG 0.18 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 19:03 | Dylan Cozens (7) Fabian Zetterlund (3), Ridly Greig (6) · snap xG 0.14 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 11:49 | Morgan Geekie (12) David Pastrnak (13), Marat Khusnutdinov (3) · slap xG 0.18 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:06 | Shane Pinto (9) Michael Amadio (3), Jake Sanderson (10) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 3:49 | David Pastrnak (11)PP Morgan Geekie (6), Viktor Arvidsson (4) · wrist xG 0.46 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 5:15 | Mark Kastelic (4) Tanner Jeannot (6) · wrist xG 0.23 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 14:17 | Tim Stützle (9) Drake Batherson (12), Artem Zub (8) · wrist xG 0.09 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 19:42 | Tim Stützle (10)EN Claude Giroux (10), Nikolas Matinpalo (2) · wrist xG 0.92 | 3–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.29 | Expected goals | 2.89 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.21 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.00 |
| 51 | Shot attempts | 50 |
| 32 | Unblocked attempts | 31 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 22 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:49 | BOS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · BOS takes the lead, 67–33%
OTT had led since 1:28 of the 1st, by as much as 76% |
| 8:20 | OTT | No shift | No shift · Jensen, 19:35 on the bench
No shift after 16:39 of the 2nd; 16 shifts (12:02) before that |
| 12:40 | OTT | No shift | No shift · MacDermid, 16:34 on the bench
No shift from 14:40 of the 2nd to 19:42 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (4:03) before that |
| 14:17 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Korpisalo −2.7 goals saved
4 goals on 1.34 xG, 20 shots on goal |
| 17:52 | BOS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Korpisalo, down 4–3
With 2:08 left; OTT scored at 19:42 of the 3rd (3–5) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.60 | 3 | 1 | 20:05 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 19:10 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.18 | 2 | 2 | 18:58 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.15 | 0 | 2 | 17:39 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:36 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 2 | 15:45 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.23 | 5 | 0 | 15:31 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.09 | 4 | 2 | 13:43 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 13:08 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 11:57 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 11:11 |
| 25 | Jeffrey Viel | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.10 | 3 | 0 | 10:19 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.10 | 1 | 1 | 25:05 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 22:27 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 20:22 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 18:57 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 14:28 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 13:41 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo | 21 | 4 | 17 | .810 | 1.39 | -2.61 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 18 | Tim Stützle | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 7 | 1.69 | 2 | 2 | 18:52 |
| 12 | Shane Pinto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 18:47 |
| 20 | Fabian Zetterlund | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.18 | 2 | 1 | 18:33 |
| 19 | Drake Batherson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.03 | 3 | 1 | 17:25 |
| 71 | Ridly Greig | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.12 | 1 | 1 | 17:23 |
| 28 | Claude Giroux | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.19 | 4 | 0 | 15:57 |
| 22 | Michael Amadio | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 14:57 |
| 24 | Dylan Cozens | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 3 | 0 | 14:57 |
| 16 | David Perron | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 |
| 21 | Nick Cousins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 12:35 |
| 20 | Lars Eller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 |
| 23 | Kurtis MacDermid | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 04:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 85 | Jake Sanderson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 3 | 23:33 |
| 2 | Artem Zub | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 2 | 3 | 23:07 |
| 43 | Tyler Kleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 20:38 |
| 33 | Nikolas Matinpalo | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.03 | 2 | 4 | 20:16 |
| 10 | Jordan Spence | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 18:28 |
| 4 | Nick Jensen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 12:02 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leevi Meriläinen | 21 | 3 | 18 | .857 | 2.29 | -0.71 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +2.07 | +1.45 | +0.39 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:05 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +1.95 | +1.45 | +0.24 | +0.18 | +0.15 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 19:10 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +1.26 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.04 | — | 15:31 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +1.18 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 13:08 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +1.01 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.22 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 15:45 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 25:05 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +0.65 | +0.55 | +0.10 | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 | — | 17:39 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:57 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:36 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:22 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.02 | — | 11:11 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:43 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:57 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.32 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.08 | — | 18:58 |
| 48 Jeffrey Viel L | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:19 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 13:41 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.45 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 14:28 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:27 |
| 70 Joonas Korpisalo G | -2.61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.61 | 58:10 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Tim Stützle C | +3.37 | +2.20 | +1.10 | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.10 | — | 18:52 |
| 24 Dylan Cozens C | +1.45 | +1.30 | +0.16 | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 14:57 |
| 19 Drake Batherson R | +1.41 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.49 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:25 |
| 28 Claude Giroux R | +1.33 | +1.45 | +0.12 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.02 | — | 15:57 |
| 85 Jake Sanderson D | +1.17 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 23:33 |
| 33 Nikolas Matinpalo D | +1.11 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 20:16 |
| 12 Shane Pinto C | +0.93 | +0.75 | +0.06 | +0.07 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 18:47 |
| 22 Michael Amadio R | +0.84 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:57 |
| 71 Ridly Greig C | +0.71 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +0.06 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 17:23 |
| 20 Fabian Zetterlund L | +0.44 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:33 |
| 2 Artem Zub D | +0.34 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.04 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 23:07 |
| 57 David Perron L | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:19 |
| 10 Jordan Spence D | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:28 |
| 23 Kurtis MacDermid L | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 4:21 |
| 89 Lars Eller C | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:12 |
| 21 Nick Cousins C | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.27 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:35 |
| 43 Tyler Kleven D | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 20:38 |
| 3 Nick Jensen D | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:02 |
| 1 Leevi Meriläinen G | -0.71 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.71 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.