| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
 |
1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 25 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:36 | |
Mathieu Olivier (2) Charlie Coyle (8), Zach Werenski (8) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:44 | |
Charlie Coyle (3) Mathieu Olivier (5) · snap xG 0.24 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 8:09 | |
Matt Savoie (2) Evan Bouchard (10), Connor McDavid (19) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 9:49 | |
Leon Draisaitl (11) Evan Bouchard (11) · slap xG 0.08 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 10:19 | |
Denton Mateychuk (4) Sean Monahan (7), Luca Del Bel Belluz (1) · snap xG 0.23 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 18:20 | |
Adam Fantilli (5) Kirill Marchenko (11), Damon Severson (4) · wrist xG 0.16 | 2–4 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:30 | |
Mathieu Olivier (3) Charlie Coyle (9), Cole Sillinger (5) · snap xG 0.21 | 2–5 ▶ |
| 7:57 | |
Vasily Podkolzin (3) Jack Roslovic (7) · wrist xG 0.17 | 3–5 ▶ |
| 11:27 | |
Leon Draisaitl (12) Evan Bouchard (12), Connor McDavid (20) · wrist xG 0.03 | 4–5 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.29 | Expected goals | 3.74 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.88 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.97 |
| 64 | Shot attempts | 52 |
| 49 | Unblocked attempts | 40 |
| 29 | Shots on goal | 25 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:10 | EDM | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.35–0.28
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:10 of the 2nd to 9:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–1 |
| 18:06 | EDM | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Pickard, down 5–4
With 1:54 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 9 | 0.51 | 0 | 1 | 24:25 |
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.66 | 0 | 1 | 24:18 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 20:21 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 19:44 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 17:31 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.17 | 3 | 0 | 15:24 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 11:18 |
| 15 | Noah Philp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 10:43 |
| 13 | Mattias Janmark | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 09:48 |
| 20 | Curtis Lazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 4 | 0 | 09:34 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 09:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 11 | 0.41 | 0 | 1 | 24:59 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 0.27 | 1 | 2 | 21:26 |
| 96 | Jake Walman | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 20:29 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 20:09 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 16:09 |
| 75 | Alec Regula | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 13:49 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | 25 | 5 | 20 | .800 | 3.74 | -1.26 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.64 | 0 | 0 | 19:20 |
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 17:59 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 0.63 | 0 | 1 | 17:39 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 0.53 | 2 | 2 | 17:16 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 17:02 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 1 | 15:58 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 15:22 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 12:22 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:05 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:03 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 09:04 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.23 | 1 | 3 | 26:17 |
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 24:21 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.24 | 1 | 3 | 21:25 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 20:04 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 15:11 |
| 2 | Jake Christiansen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 11:03 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 29 | 4 | 25 | .862 | 3.29 | -0.71 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +2.97 | +1.50 | +0.33 | +1.00 | +0.15 | -0.06 | +0.05 | — | 24:25 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | +2.87 | +2.10 | +0.26 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:59 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +1.41 | +1.10 | +0.43 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 24:18 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +1.23 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.38 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:24 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | +1.21 | +0.70 | +0.21 | +0.45 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:21 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:26 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | +0.67 | +0.75 | +0.21 | -0.41 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:44 |
| 20 Curtis Lazar C | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:34 |
| 48 Noah Philp C | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 10:43 |
| 86 David Tomasek R | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.40 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 8:34 |
| 75 Alec Regula D | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:49 |
| 13 Mattias Janmark C | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:48 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.78 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 17:31 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:09 |
| 27 Brett Kulak D | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:09 |
| 30 Calvin Pickard G | -1.26 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.26 | 57:58 |
| 96 Jake Walman D | -1.34 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:29 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | -1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.42 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 9:21 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | -1.76 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:18 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +3.22 | +2.15 | +0.41 | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 17:39 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +3.02 | +2.20 | +0.35 | +0.52 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:16 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +1.75 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 24:21 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +1.60 | +0.75 | +0.42 | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 19:20 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | +1.51 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.84 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.04 | — | 17:02 |
| 65 Luca Del Bel Belluz C | +1.42 | +0.55 | +0.24 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:29 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +1.33 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 26:17 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +1.22 | +0.55 | +0.23 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 20:04 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +1.19 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:59 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +1.17 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 15:22 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +1.10 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 21:25 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:03 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 15:58 |
| 2 Jake Christiansen D | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:03 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.12 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 15:11 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 9:04 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:22 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.22 | -0.15 | +0.03 | -0.04 | — | 11:05 |
| 73 Jet Greaves G | -0.71 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.71 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.