| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:03 | Emil Heineman (7) Bo Horvat (9), Tony DeAngelo (5) · snap xG 0.06 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 17:59 | Matthew Schaefer (6)PP Jonathan Drouin (10), Bo Horvat (10) · snap xG 0.05 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 18:56 | Shea Theodore (1) Keegan Kolesar (3) · wrist xG 0.20 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:23 | Tomas Hertl (7) Jeremy Lauzon (4), Jack Eichel (15) · wrist xG 0.27 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 10:45 | Reilly Smith (2) Brandon Saad (3), Brett Howden (1) · snap xG 0.03 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 17:23 | Mathew Barzal (5) Matthew Schaefer (8), Jonathan Drouin (11) · slap xG 0.12 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 3:02 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau (6)SH Unassisted · snap xG 0.06 | 4–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.03 | Expected goals | 4.59 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.08 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.08 |
| 55 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 42 | Unblocked attempts | 49 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 29 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:30 | NYI | Goalie | Goalie · Sorokin +2.2 goals saved
0 goals on 2.24 xG, 15 shots on goal |
| 7:00 | VGK | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.66–0.19
In xG over 10 minutes, 2:50 to 12:50 of the 2nd; neither team scored |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:49 | NYI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 3–2
With 3:11 left; NYI scored at 17:23 of the 3rd (3–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.75 | 0 | 2 | 24:27 |
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.35 | 0 | 2 | 22:19 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 21:10 |
| 21 | Kyle Palmieri | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 19:20 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 19:09 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 18:03 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 14:11 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 09:15 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 09:08 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 07:30 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 06:47 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.26 | 2 | 2 | 25:59 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 22:50 |
| 28 | Alexander Romanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 20:37 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 4 | 19:47 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 15:38 |
| 34 | Adam Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 29 | 3 | 26 | .897 | 4.59 | +1.59 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Jack Eichel | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 24:35 |
| 93 | Mitch Marner | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 20:59 |
| 48 | Tomas Hertl | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 9 | 1.00 | 0 | 1 | 20:00 |
| 16 | Pavel Dorofeyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 19:10 |
| 49 | Ivan Barbashev | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.07 | 2 | 3 | 16:54 |
| 42 | Braeden Bowman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.85 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 |
| 19 | Reilly Smith | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 13:50 |
| 21 | Brett Howden | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:35 |
| 15 | Colton Sissons | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.24 | 2 | 0 | 13:19 |
| 20 | Brandon Saad | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 |
| 55 | Keegan Kolesar | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 6 | 0 | 09:07 |
| 29 | Cole Reinhardt | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 06:26 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Shea Theodore | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.66 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 |
| 15 | Noah Hanifin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 22:06 |
| 3 | Brayden McNabb | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 3 | 21:21 |
| 28 | Zach Whitecloud | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 20:28 |
| 5 | Jeremy Lauzon | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.22 | 3 | 2 | 16:04 |
| 6 | Kaedan Korczak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 11:21 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid | 24 | 4 | 20 | .833 | 3.03 | -0.97 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +1.75 | +1.25 | +0.20 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:10 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +1.59 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.59 | 61:46 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +1.55 | +0.75 | +0.49 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 24:27 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +0.85 | +1.25 | +0.23 | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 22:19 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +0.83 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:38 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.53 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.22 | — | 19:47 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:08 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:11 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.18 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:03 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.14 | +1.45 | +0.17 | -1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 25:59 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:47 |
| 7 Maxim Tsyplakov R | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:30 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | +0.01 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.88 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 14:57 |
| 34 Adam Boqvist D | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:15 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:50 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.78 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:09 |
| 21 Kyle Palmieri C | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:20 |
| 28 Alexander Romanov D | -0.82 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.08 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:37 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | -0.91 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:15 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Tomas Hertl C | +2.70 | +0.75 | +0.65 | +1.15 | +0.15 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 20:00 |
| 27 Shea Theodore D | +2.68 | +0.75 | +0.43 | +1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 22:19 |
| 9 Jack Eichel C | +2.06 | +0.55 | +0.35 | +1.23 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | 24:35 |
| 42 Braeden Bowman R | +1.28 | 0.00 | +0.55 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:45 |
| 3 Brayden McNabb D | +1.12 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 21:21 |
| 55 Keegan Kolesar R | +0.99 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:07 |
| 93 Mitch Marner R | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.84 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:59 |
| 16 Pavel Dorofeyev R | +0.83 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:10 |
| 20 Brandon Saad L | +0.69 | +0.70 | +0.13 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:46 |
| 19 Reilly Smith R | +0.60 | +0.75 | +0.14 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:50 |
| 49 Ivan Barbashev L | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 16:54 |
| 5 Jeremy Lauzon D | +0.43 | +0.70 | +0.14 | -0.34 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:04 |
| 21 Brett Howden C | +0.41 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:35 |
| 10 Colton Sissons C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:19 |
| 23 Cole Reinhardt L | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 6:26 |
| 2 Zach Whitecloud D | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:28 |
| 15 Noah Hanifin D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:06 |
| 6 Kaedan Korczak D | -0.74 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:21 |
| 40 Akira Schmid G | -0.97 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.97 | 62:31 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.