| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | |
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 18 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:17 | Alex Iafallo (4) Adam Lowry (2), Dylan DeMelo (7) · tip-in xG 0.36 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 15:15 | Kaapo Kakko (1) Jaden Schwartz (7), Vince Dunn (8) · tip-in xG 0.05 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:18 | Mark Scheifele (10) Neal Pionk (3) · wrist xG 0.16 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 7:27 | Vince Dunn (3) Ryan Winterton (2), Adam Larsson (4) · wrist xG 0.26 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 18:50 | Kyle Connor (10)PP Josh Morrissey (14), Mark Scheifele (13) · slap xG 0.12 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:11 | Eeli Tolvanen (2)PP Vince Dunn (9), Chandler Stephenson (5) · slap xG 0.05 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 7:21 | Jordan Eberle (6) Matty Beniers (8), Mason Marchment (5) · deflected xG 0.11 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 18:25 | Jordan Eberle (7)EN Matty Beniers (9), Mason Marchment (6) · wrist xG 0.83 | 3–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WPG | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.26 | Expected goals | 2.99 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.41 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.38 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 47 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 34 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 18 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:30 | SEA | No shift | No shift · Kakko, 35:14 on the bench
No shift after 16:26 of the 1st; 7 shifts (3:51) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:35 | WPG | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Hellebuyck, down 4–3
With 2:25 left; SEA scored at 18:25 of the 3rd (3–5) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 81 | Kyle Connor | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 7 | 0.61 | 1 | 0 | 22:04 |
| 55 | Mark Scheifele | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 21:17 |
| 13 | Gabriel Vilardi | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 6 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 18:59 |
| 91 | Cole Perfetti | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 17:59 |
| 9 | Alex Iafallo | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.39 | 1 | 1 | 15:31 |
| 19 | Jonathan Toews | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 |
| 17 | Adam Lowry | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 14:17 |
| 7 | Vladislav Namestnikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 13:46 |
| 62 | Nino Niederreiter | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 13:09 |
| 70 | Tanner Pearson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 09:38 |
| 14 | Gustav Nyquist | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 08:59 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Josh Morrissey | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 5 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 25:17 |
| 4 | Neal Pionk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 3 | 23:38 |
| 54 | Dylan Samberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 23:04 |
| 2 | Dylan DeMelo | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 4 | 0 | 18:04 |
| 8 | Logan Stanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 13:49 |
| 6 | Colin Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 13:17 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | 17 | 4 | 13 | .765 | 2.16 | -1.84 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 24:07 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 1.10 | 0 | 2 | 20:33 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 18:11 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.22 | 0 | 2 | 17:38 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 17:10 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | 3 | 0 | 15:46 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | 1 | 0 | 14:37 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 13:56 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 12:13 |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 11:50 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 11:06 |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 03:51 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 22:42 |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 1 | 2 | 21:06 |
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 19:35 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 18:12 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 17:58 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 15:26 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Grubauer | 26 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 2.26 | -0.74 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Alex Iafallo L | +1.66 | +0.75 | +0.25 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 15:31 |
| 55 Mark Scheifele C | +1.37 | +1.30 | +0.16 | -0.24 | +0.15 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 21:17 |
| 17 Adam Lowry C | +1.30 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.08 | — | 14:17 |
| 4 Neal Pionk D | +1.09 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 23:38 |
| 81 Kyle Connor L | +0.70 | +0.75 | +0.40 | -0.59 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:04 |
| 44 Josh Morrissey D | +0.56 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 25:17 |
| 2 Dylan DeMelo D | +0.44 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:04 |
| 70 Tanner Pearson L | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:38 |
| 62 Nino Niederreiter R | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.50 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:09 |
| 54 Dylan Samberg D | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 23:04 |
| 14 Gustav Nyquist R | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.29 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 8:59 |
| 6 Colin Miller D | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:17 |
| 25 Parker Ford C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 7:59 |
| 64 Logan Stanley D | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:49 |
| 19 Jonathan Toews C | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:25 |
| 91 Cole Perfetti C | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:59 |
| 7 Vladislav Namestnikov C | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.35 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:46 |
| 13 Gabriel Vilardi C | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:59 |
| 37 Connor Hellebuyck G | -1.99 | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | — | — | -1.84 | 58:04 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +2.77 | +1.50 | +0.72 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:33 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +2.12 | +1.40 | 0.00 | +0.49 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 24:07 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | +1.90 | +2.00 | +0.19 | -0.24 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:06 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | +1.79 | +1.10 | +0.13 | +0.42 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:11 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | +1.62 | +0.70 | +0.14 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 17:38 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | +1.06 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.41 | +0.15 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 17:10 |
| 84 Kaapo Kakko R | +1.05 | +0.75 | +0.04 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 3:51 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | +0.74 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:46 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:58 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | +0.47 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:42 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | +0.30 | +0.70 | +0.08 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:06 |
| 77 Berkly Catton C | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:13 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:35 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.23 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:26 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 14:37 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:12 |
| 31 Philipp Grubauer G | -0.74 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.74 | 60:00 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:56 |
| 59 Ben Meyers C | -0.97 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -1.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:50 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.