Winnipeg JetsWPG 3–5 Final Seattle KrakenSEA

Thursday, November 13, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Winnipeg JetsWPG 120 3 26
Seattle KrakenSEA 113 5 18

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
10:17 WPG Alex Iafallo (4) Adam Lowry (2), Dylan DeMelo (7) · tip-in xG 0.36 1–0 ▶
15:15 SEA Kaapo Kakko (1) Jaden Schwartz (7), Vince Dunn (8) · tip-in xG 0.05 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
3:18 WPG Mark Scheifele (10) Neal Pionk (3) · wrist xG 0.16 2–1 ▶
7:27 SEA Vince Dunn (3) Ryan Winterton (2), Adam Larsson (4) · wrist xG 0.26 2–2 ▶
18:50 WPG Kyle Connor (10)PP Josh Morrissey (14), Mark Scheifele (13) · slap xG 0.12 3–2 ▶
3rd Period
4:11 SEA Eeli Tolvanen (2)PP Vince Dunn (9), Chandler Stephenson (5) · slap xG 0.05 3–3 ▶
7:21 SEA Jordan Eberle (6) Matty Beniers (8), Mason Marchment (5) · deflected xG 0.11 3–4 ▶
18:25 SEA Jordan Eberle (7)EN Matty Beniers (9), Mason Marchment (6) · wrist xG 0.83 3–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WPG 52%Deserve to win48% SEA
WPGSEA
2.26Expected goals2.99
3Goals (no shootout)5
1.41Expected goals, 5 on 51.38
52Shot attempts47
40Unblocked attempts34
26Shots on goal18

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
6:30 SEA No shift No shift · Kakko, 35:14 on the bench
No shift after 16:26 of the 1st; 7 shifts (3:51) before that
3rd Period
17:35 WPG Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Hellebuyck, down 4–3
With 2:25 left; SEA scored at 18:25 of the 3rd (3–5)

Shot map

WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SEA shoots
Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:18) Vince Dunn: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:57) Logan Stanley: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:20) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:53) Alex Iafallo: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:09) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:58) Eeli Tolvanen: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:16) Brandon Montour: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 6:39) Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 6:53) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:39) Ben Meyers: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:21) Brandon Montour: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:28) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:50) Berkly Catton: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:45) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:32) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:05) Adam Larsson: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:50) Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 19:00) Kyle Connor: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:56) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:25) Ryan Winterton: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:41) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:31) Parker Ford: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:37) Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:46) Josh Morrissey: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:55) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:59) Adam Larsson: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:18) Ryan Winterton: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:23) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:12) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:22) Nino Niederreiter: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:47) Parker Ford: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:21) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:49) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:54) Shane Wright: bat, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:57) Shane Wright: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:58) Colin Miller: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:14) Colin Miller: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:33) Logan Stanley: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:42) Neal Pionk: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:09) Eeli Tolvanen: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 14:28) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:56) Vince Dunn: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:49) Kyle Connor: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 17:11) Colin Miller: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:39) Gabriel Vilardi: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:19) Kyle Connor: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:12) Mason Marchment: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:04) Mason Marchment: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:29) Shane Wright: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 3:40) Logan Stanley: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:23) Ben Meyers: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:46) Dylan DeMelo: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:14) Gustav Nyquist: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:36) Parker Ford: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:37) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:19) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 172 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 8:47) Tanner Pearson: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:19) Vladislav Namestnikov: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:17) Gabriel Vilardi: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:48) Josh Morrissey: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:03) Neal Pionk: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:17) Jonathan Toews: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:05) Kyle Connor: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:03) Gabriel Vilardi: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 19:22) Kyle Connor: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:55) Alex Iafallo: GOAL, tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.36 (P1 10:17) Kaapo Kakko: GOAL, tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:15) Mark Scheifele: GOAL, wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:18) Vince Dunn: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 7:27) Kyle Connor: GOAL, slap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:50) Eeli Tolvanen: GOAL, slap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:11) Jordan Eberle: GOAL, deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 7:21) Jordan Eberle: GOAL, wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.83 (P3 18:25)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Kyle Connor 101 -3 70.61 1022:04
55 Mark Scheifele 112 -2 30.25 0021:17
13 Gabriel Vilardi 000 -3 60.41 0018:59
91 Cole Perfetti 000 -2 20.03 1017:59
9 Alex Iafallo 101 +1 20.39 1115:31
19 Jonathan Toews 000 -1 10.08 0015:25
17 Adam Lowry 011 +1 00.00 4214:17
7 Vladislav Namestnikov 000 -1 10.04 1013:46
62 Nino Niederreiter 000 +1 10.02 1013:09
70 Tanner Pearson 000 +1 20.07 1009:38
14 Gustav Nyquist 000 +1 20.05 0008:59
Defense
44 Josh Morrissey 011 -3 50.02 0225:17
4 Neal Pionk 011 0 20.06 2323:38
54 Dylan Samberg 000 +1 40.01 2223:04
2 Dylan DeMelo 011 -2 20.03 4018:04
8 Logan Stanley 000 0 30.03 1113:49
6 Colin Miller 000 0 60.09 1113:17
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 17413 .765 2.16 -1.84

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 Matty Beniers 022 +2 20.00 0224:07
7 Jordan Eberle 202 +2 41.10 0220:33
27 Mason Marchment 022 +2 50.19 1018:11
71 Jaden Schwartz 011 +2 30.22 0217:38
9 Chandler Stephenson 011 +2 10.00 0017:10
17 Eeli Tolvanen 101 0 40.27 3015:46
51 Shane Wright 000 0 30.22 1014:37
24 Tye Kartye 000 -2 00.00 3113:56
27 Berkly Catton 000 0 10.02 0112:13
59 Ben Meyers 000 -2 20.11 1011:50
26 Ryan Winterton 011 -1 20.13 1011:06
84 Kaapo Kakko 101 +1 10.05 1003:51
Defense
6 Adam Larsson 011 +2 20.01 0022:42
29 Vince Dunn 123 0 40.30 1221:06
62 Brandon Montour 000 +1 30.12 1019:35
41 Ryker Evans 000 -1 00.00 1118:12
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 +2 50.11 0117:58
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 0 50.12 0015:26
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Philipp Grubauer 26323 .885 2.26 -0.74

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Alex Iafallo L +1.66 +0.75 +0.25 +0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 15:31
55 Mark Scheifele C +1.37 +1.30 +0.16 -0.24 +0.15 +0.02 -0.02 — 21:17
17 Adam Lowry C +1.30 +0.70 0.00 +0.49 0.00 +0.03 +0.08 — 14:17
4 Neal Pionk D +1.09 +0.70 +0.04 +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:38
81 Kyle Connor L +0.70 +0.75 +0.40 -0.59 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 22:04
44 Josh Morrissey D +0.56 +0.70 +0.02 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 25:17
2 Dylan DeMelo D +0.44 +0.55 +0.02 -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:04
70 Tanner Pearson L +0.35 0.00 +0.05 +0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:38
62 Nino Niederreiter R +0.33 0.00 +0.01 +0.50 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 13:09
54 Dylan Samberg D +0.21 0.00 +0.01 +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 23:04
14 Gustav Nyquist R +0.19 0.00 +0.03 +0.29 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 8:59
6 Colin Miller D +0.01 0.00 +0.06 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:17
25 Parker Ford C -0.02 0.00 +0.04 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 7:59
64 Logan Stanley D -0.06 0.00 +0.02 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:49
19 Jonathan Toews C -0.23 0.00 +0.05 -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:25
91 Cole Perfetti C -0.31 0.00 +0.02 -0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:59
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C -0.36 0.00 +0.02 -0.35 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:46
13 Gabriel Vilardi C -0.40 0.00 +0.27 -0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:59
37 Connor Hellebuyck G -1.99 0.00 — — -0.15 — — -1.84 58:04

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
7 Jordan Eberle R +2.77 +1.50 +0.72 +0.46 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:33
10 Matty Beniers C +2.12 +1.40 0.00 +0.49 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 24:07
29 Vince Dunn D +1.90 +2.00 +0.19 -0.24 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 21:06
27 Mason Marchment L +1.79 +1.10 +0.13 +0.42 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:11
17 Jaden Schwartz L +1.62 +0.70 +0.14 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 17:38
9 Chandler Stephenson C +1.06 +0.55 0.00 +0.41 +0.15 -0.03 -0.02 — 17:10
84 Kaapo Kakko R +1.05 +0.75 +0.04 +0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 3:51
20 Eeli Tolvanen R +0.74 +0.75 +0.18 -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:46
55 Ryan Lindgren D +0.51 0.00 +0.07 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:58
6 Adam Larsson D +0.47 +0.55 +0.01 -0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:42
26 Ryan Winterton C +0.30 +0.70 +0.08 -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:06
77 Berkly Catton C +0.19 0.00 +0.01 +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:13
62 Brandon Montour D +0.19 0.00 +0.08 +0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:35
24 Jamie Oleksiak D +0.16 0.00 +0.08 +0.23 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:26
51 Shane Wright C +0.14 0.00 +0.14 +0.02 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 14:37
41 Ryker Evans D -0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:12
31 Philipp Grubauer G -0.74 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.74 60:00
12 Tye Kartye L -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.84 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:56
59 Ben Meyers C -0.97 0.00 +0.07 -1.05 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 11:50

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.