| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 31 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:19 | Jordan Kyrou (6) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.05 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 8:18 | Trevor Zegras (5) Christian Dvorak (7), Travis Sanheim (5) · wrist xG 0.13 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 9:42 | Jimmy Snuggerud (5) Robert Thomas (8) · wrist xG 0.18 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:54 | Justin Faulk (4) Cam Fowler (7), Oskar Sundqvist (8) · slap xG 0.05 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 7:17 | Christian Dvorak (4) Owen Tippett (2), Emil Andrae (1) · backhand xG 0.17 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 18:24 | Trevor Zegras (6) Emil Andrae (2), Owen Tippett (3) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:40 | Dylan Holloway (5) Jordan Kyrou (5), Cam Fowler (8) · wrist xG 0.07 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 4:56 | Robert Thomas (3) Jimmy Snuggerud (5) · snap xG 0.17 | 3–5 ▶ | |
| 7:53 | Christian Dvorak (5) Owen Tippett (4) · wrist xG 0.26 | 4–5 ▶ | |
| 10:29 | Owen Tippett (6) Trevor Zegras (13), Noah Juulsen (2) · snap xG 0.13 | 5–5 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Robert Thomas vs Samuel Ersson | Saved | ||
| Trevor Zegras vs Jordan Binnington | Goal | ||
| Jimmy Snuggerud vs Samuel Ersson | Saved | ||
| Matvei Michkov vs Jordan Binnington | Saved | ||
| Dylan Holloway vs Samuel Ersson | Missed | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PHI | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | Expected goals | 2.47 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.73 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.07 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 47 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 29 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 17 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:40 | PHI | Goalie | Goalie · Ersson −2.6 goals saved
4 goals on 1.36 xG, 13 shots on goal |
| 7:53 | STL | Goalie | Goalie · Binnington −2.3 goals saved
4 goals on 1.65 xG, 22 shots on goal |
| 14:30 | STL | No shift | No shift · Dvorsky, 15:36 on the bench
No shift after 4:24 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (10:59) before that |
| 18:40 | PHI | No shift | No shift · Deslauriers, 11:23 on the bench
No shift after 8:37 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (9:34) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 3 | 21:23 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 9 | 0.44 | 0 | 0 | 20:02 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.26 | 4 | 0 | 19:23 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.19 | 2 | 1 | 17:09 |
| 71 | Tyson Foerster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 16:34 |
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 0.55 | 0 | 0 | 16:14 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 6 | 0.19 | 1 | 1 | 15:57 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 |
| 18 | Rodrigo Abols | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:47 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 09:41 |
| 44 | Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 09:34 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 23:45 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 22:40 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 2 | 22:01 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 20:46 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 18:00 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 16:07 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ersson | 17 | 5 | 12 | .706 | 2.47 | -2.53 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 81 | Dylan Holloway | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 20:26 |
| 18 | Robert Thomas | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 20:16 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:00 |
| 25 | Jordan Kyrou | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 11 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 18:51 |
| 89 | Pavel Buchnevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 18:40 |
| 21 | Jimmy Snuggerud | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 0.48 | 1 | 1 | 17:27 |
| 22 | Pius Suter | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 15:15 |
| 70 | Oskar Sundqvist | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:50 |
| 21 | Mathieu Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 12:40 |
| 26 | Nathan Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 7 | 1 | 11:52 |
| 13 | Alexey Toropchenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 11:13 |
| 15 | Dalibor Dvorsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 10:59 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Philip Broberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 26:57 |
| 55 | Colton Parayko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 4 | 25:12 |
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 24:28 |
| 17 | Cam Fowler | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 3 | 0.41 | 0 | 3 | 23:23 |
| 4 | Matthew Kessel | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | 31 | 5 | 26 | .839 | 2.50 | -2.50 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +4.04 | +2.70 | +0.12 | +1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:57 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +2.98 | +2.20 | +0.36 | +0.56 | -0.15 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 16:14 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +2.93 | +2.20 | +0.29 | +0.34 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:02 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | +2.57 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:00 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | +1.62 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:07 |
| 71 Tyson Foerster R | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 16:34 |
| 44 Nicolas Deslauriers L | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:34 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:41 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.40 | +0.15 | -0.04 | +0.03 | — | 17:50 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | -0.10 | +0.55 | +0.05 | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:45 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:01 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.05 | — | 17:09 |
| 18 Rodrigo Abols C | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:47 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:07 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:23 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | -0.77 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.98 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.11 | — | 21:23 |
| 8 Cam York D | -0.88 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 22:40 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | -0.92 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:46 |
| 33 Samuel Ersson G | -2.53 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.53 | 65:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Robert Thomas C | +2.36 | +1.45 | +0.11 | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | — | 20:16 |
| 25 Jordan Kyrou R | +2.34 | +1.45 | +0.27 | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:51 |
| 21 Jimmy Snuggerud R | +2.30 | +1.45 | +0.31 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:27 |
| 81 Dylan Holloway L | +1.45 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 20:26 |
| 17 Cam Fowler D | +1.36 | +1.25 | +0.27 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 23:23 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | +0.84 | +0.75 | +0.04 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 24:28 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.85 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:00 |
| 6 Philip Broberg D | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 26:57 |
| 89 Pavel Buchnevich L | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.64 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:40 |
| 55 Colton Parayko D | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 25:12 |
| 70 Oskar Sundqvist C | +0.31 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:50 |
| 54 Dalibor Dvorsky R | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:59 |
| 51 Matthew Kessel D | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:46 |
| 48 Hunter Skinner D | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:45 |
| 22 Pius Suter C | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:15 |
| 26 Nathan Walker L | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 11:52 |
| 71 Mathieu Joseph R | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:40 |
| 13 Alexey Toropchenko R | -1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:13 |
| 50 Jordan Binnington G | -2.50 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.50 | 65:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.