Philadelphia FlyersPHI 6–5 Final/SO St. Louis BluesSTL

Friday, November 14, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 12201 6 31
St. Louis BluesSTL 21200 5 17

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:19 STL Jordan Kyrou (6) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.05 0–1 ▶
8:18 PHI Trevor Zegras (5) Christian Dvorak (7), Travis Sanheim (5) · wrist xG 0.13 1–1 ▶
9:42 STL Jimmy Snuggerud (5) Robert Thomas (8) · wrist xG 0.18 1–2 ▶
2nd Period
6:54 STL Justin Faulk (4) Cam Fowler (7), Oskar Sundqvist (8) · slap xG 0.05 1–3 ▶
7:17 PHI Christian Dvorak (4) Owen Tippett (2), Emil Andrae (1) · backhand xG 0.17 2–3 ▶
18:24 PHI Trevor Zegras (6) Emil Andrae (2), Owen Tippett (3) · tip-in xG 0.10 3–3 ▶
3rd Period
0:40 STL Dylan Holloway (5) Jordan Kyrou (5), Cam Fowler (8) · wrist xG 0.07 3–4 ▶
4:56 STL Robert Thomas (3) Jimmy Snuggerud (5) · snap xG 0.17 3–5 ▶
7:53 PHI Christian Dvorak (5) Owen Tippett (4) · wrist xG 0.26 4–5 ▶
10:29 PHI Owen Tippett (6) Trevor Zegras (13), Noah Juulsen (2) · snap xG 0.13 5–5 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
STL Robert Thomas vs Samuel Ersson Saved
PHI Trevor Zegras vs Jordan Binnington Goal
STL Jimmy Snuggerud vs Samuel Ersson Saved
PHI Matvei Michkov vs Jordan Binnington Saved
STL Dylan Holloway vs Samuel Ersson Missed

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 51%Deserve to win49% STL
PHISTL
2.50Expected goals2.47
5Goals (no shootout)5
1.73Expected goals, 5 on 52.07
52Shot attempts47
40Unblocked attempts29
31Shots on goal17

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
0:40 PHI Goalie Goalie · Ersson −2.6 goals saved
4 goals on 1.36 xG, 13 shots on goal
7:53 STL Goalie Goalie · Binnington −2.3 goals saved
4 goals on 1.65 xG, 22 shots on goal
14:30 STL No shift No shift · Dvorsky, 15:36 on the bench
No shift after 4:24 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (10:59) before that
18:40 PHI No shift No shift · Deslauriers, 11:23 on the bench
No shift after 8:37 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (9:34) before that

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ STL shoots
Pius Suter: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:08) Nick Seeler: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:48) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:55) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 5:32) Philip Broberg: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:42) Bobby Brink: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:29) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:44) Noah Cates: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 8:46) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:08) Sean Couturier: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:16) Sean Couturier: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:17) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:15) Dylan Holloway: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 11:17) Jordan Kyrou: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:13) Pius Suter: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 15:50) Nick Seeler: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:59) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:06) Mathieu Joseph: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:47) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:15) Owen Tippett: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:26) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:09) Dalibor Dvorsky: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 1:45) Owen Tippett: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:51) Dalibor Dvorsky: snap, 4 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:33) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:16) Travis Konecny: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:28) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:39) Jordan Kyrou: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:48) Pavel Buchnevich: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 6:05) Noah Juulsen: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:12) Cam York: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:29) Owen Tippett: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:49) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:29) Tyson Foerster: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:44) Matvei Michkov: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:52) Nicolas Deslauriers: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:02) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 18:10) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:57) Justin Faulk: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:13) Owen Tippett: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:36) Christian Dvorak: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:40) Jordan Kyrou: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:06) Cam Fowler: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.30 (P3 6:08) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:10) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:46) Tyson Foerster: tip-in, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:00) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:20) Colton Parayko: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:08) Nathan Walker: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:29) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 18:48) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:34) Cam Fowler: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 1:25) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 2:24) Trevor Zegras: backhand, 107 ft, xG 0.00 (OT 2:48) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 2:51) Sean Couturier: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 3:27) Bobby Brink: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 3:37) Bobby Brink: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 4:00) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 4:28) Jordan Kyrou: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:19) Trevor Zegras: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 8:18) Jimmy Snuggerud: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 9:42) Justin Faulk: GOAL, slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:54) Christian Dvorak: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 7:17) Trevor Zegras: GOAL, tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:24) Dylan Holloway: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:40) Robert Thomas: GOAL, snap, 30 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 4:56) Christian Dvorak: GOAL, wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 7:53) Owen Tippett: GOAL, snap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 10:29)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Travis Konecny 000 -2 30.14 0321:23
46 Trevor Zegras 213 +1 90.44 0020:02
10 Bobby Brink 000 -2 40.26 4019:23
14 Sean Couturier 000 -1 30.25 0117:50
27 Noah Cates 000 -1 10.19 2117:09
71 Tyson Foerster 000 0 40.15 1116:34
22 Christian Dvorak 213 +2 40.55 0016:14
74 Owen Tippett 134 +4 60.19 1115:57
39 Matvei Michkov 000 -1 30.02 0014:07
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 0 00.00 0011:47
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 00.00 5009:41
44 Nicolas Deslauriers 000 0 10.02 1009:34
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 011 -1 40.07 1123:45
8 Cam York 000 -2 10.02 0322:40
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 -1 40.18 0222:01
24 Nick Seeler 000 -3 30.01 1120:46
36 Emil Andrae 022 +4 10.00 0118:00
47 Noah Juulsen 011 +3 10.01 2116:07
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Ersson 17512 .706 2.47 -2.53

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Dylan Holloway 101 +1 30.14 1020:26
18 Robert Thomas 112 +1 20.17 0020:16
10 Brayden Schenn 000 +1 30.00 0019:00
25 Jordan Kyrou 112 +1 110.41 0018:51
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 +1 30.41 0018:40
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 112 +1 50.48 1117:27
22 Pius Suter 000 -2 20.20 1015:15
70 Oskar Sundqvist 011 0 00.00 0012:50
21 Mathieu Joseph 000 -2 10.02 3012:40
26 Nathan Walker 000 0 10.01 7111:52
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 -2 00.00 2011:13
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 000 0 20.13 0010:59
Defense
6 Philip Broberg 000 0 50.03 1126:57
55 Colton Parayko 000 -1 10.01 0425:12
72 Justin Faulk 101 0 40.06 0024:28
17 Cam Fowler 022 -1 30.41 0323:23
4 Matthew Kessel 000 +1 00.00 0012:46
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jordan Binnington 31526 .839 2.50 -2.50

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
74 Owen Tippett R +4.04 +2.70 +0.12 +1.17 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:57
22 Christian Dvorak C +2.98 +2.20 +0.36 +0.56 -0.15 +0.03 -0.02 — 16:14
46 Trevor Zegras C +2.93 +2.20 +0.29 +0.34 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 20:02
36 Emil Andrae D +2.57 +1.25 0.00 +1.29 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:00
47 Noah Juulsen D +1.62 +0.55 +0.01 +1.02 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:07
71 Tyson Foerster R +0.17 0.00 +0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 16:34
44 Nicolas Deslauriers L -0.10 0.00 +0.01 -0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:34
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:41
14 Sean Couturier C -0.10 0.00 +0.16 -0.40 +0.15 -0.04 +0.03 — 17:50
6 Travis Sanheim D -0.10 +0.55 +0.05 -0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:45
9 Jamie Drysdale D -0.10 0.00 +0.12 -0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 22:01
27 Noah Cates L -0.17 0.00 +0.13 -0.27 0.00 -0.07 +0.05 — 17:09
18 Rodrigo Abols C -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.26 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:47
39 Matvei Michkov R -0.37 0.00 +0.01 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 14:07
10 Bobby Brink R -0.49 0.00 +0.17 -0.66 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 19:23
11 Travis Konecny R -0.77 0.00 +0.09 -0.98 0.00 +0.01 +0.11 — 21:23
8 Cam York D -0.88 0.00 +0.01 -1.02 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 22:40
24 Nick Seeler D -0.92 0.00 +0.01 -0.99 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 20:46
33 Samuel Ersson G -2.53 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.53 65:00

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
18 Robert Thomas C +2.36 +1.45 +0.11 +0.74 0.00 +0.04 +0.02 — 20:16
25 Jordan Kyrou R +2.34 +1.45 +0.27 +0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:51
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R +2.30 +1.45 +0.31 +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:27
81 Dylan Holloway L +1.45 +0.75 +0.09 +0.58 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 20:26
17 Cam Fowler D +1.36 +1.25 +0.27 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:23
72 Justin Faulk D +0.84 +0.75 +0.04 +0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:28
10 Brayden Schenn C +0.82 0.00 0.00 +0.85 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 19:00
6 Philip Broberg D +0.79 0.00 +0.02 +0.78 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 26:57
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +0.76 0.00 +0.27 +0.64 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:40
55 Colton Parayko D +0.65 0.00 +0.01 +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 25:12
70 Oskar Sundqvist C +0.31 +0.55 0.00 -0.25 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 12:50
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R +0.04 0.00 +0.08 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:59
51 Matthew Kessel D -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:46
48 Hunter Skinner D -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:45
22 Pius Suter C -0.33 0.00 +0.13 -0.46 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 15:15
26 Nathan Walker L -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 11:52
71 Mathieu Joseph R -0.51 0.00 +0.01 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:40
13 Alexey Toropchenko R -1.16 0.00 0.00 -1.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:13
50 Jordan Binnington G -2.50 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.50 65:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.