| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 30 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:13 | Emil Heineman (8) Tony DeAngelo (6), Alexander Romanov (1) · snap xG 0.31 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 13:02 | JJ Peterka (6) Lawson Crouse (3), John Marino (8) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 18:35 | Dylan Guenther (7)PP Mikhail Sergachev (11), Clayton Keller (11) · slap xG 0.19 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 13:44 | Jonathan Drouin (3) Unassisted · xG 0.99 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 2:06 | Matthew Schaefer (7) Mathew Barzal (10), Bo Horvat (11) · slap xG 0.16 | 3–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.85 | Expected goals | 3.42 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.47 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.34 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 59 |
| 38 | Unblocked attempts | 48 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 30 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:20 | NYI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.69–0.20
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:50 to 19:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 19:10 | NYI | No shift | No shift · Tsyplakov, 10:53 on the bench
No shift after 2:37 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (5:43) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 20:53 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.40 | 1 | 0 | 20:36 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.99 | 0 | 1 | 20:07 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 1 | 1 | 19:44 |
| 21 | Kyle Palmieri | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 17:53 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 17:00 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.41 | 3 | 0 | 14:54 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 14:03 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 11:26 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 08:50 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 07:26 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 05:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 | 25:49 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.05 | 3 | 2 | 22:58 |
| 28 | Alexander Romanov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 22:41 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 19:42 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 13:10 |
| 34 | Adam Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:37 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Rittich | 30 | 2 | 28 | .933 | 3.42 | +1.42 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 8 | Nick Schmaltz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.60 | 1 | 1 | 21:01 |
| 9 | Clayton Keller | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 | 20:19 |
| 92 | Logan Cooley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.79 | 0 | 2 | 19:44 |
| 67 | Lawson Crouse | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 18:49 |
| 11 | Dylan Guenther | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 17:23 |
| 10 | JJ Peterka | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 6 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 |
| 82 | Kevin Stenlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 15:23 |
| 27 | Barrett Hayton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 2 | 14:11 |
| 22 | Jack McBain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 13:50 |
| 56 | Kailer Yamamoto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:01 |
| 53 | Michael Carcone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 09:21 |
| 13 | Brandon Tanev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 07:33 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 98 | Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.16 | 0 | 7 | 25:33 |
| 88 | Nate Schmidt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 21:30 |
| 28 | Ian Cole | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 21:17 |
| 6 | John Marino | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 19:09 |
| 57 | Nick DeSimone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 11:21 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | 21 | 3 | 19 | .905 | 3.85 | +0.85 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +2.51 | +0.75 | +0.64 | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 20:07 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +2.31 | +0.70 | +0.26 | +1.04 | +0.30 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 20:36 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +1.52 | +0.75 | +0.24 | +0.62 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 25:49 |
| 33 David Rittich G | +1.42 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.42 | 62:06 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.84 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:44 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +0.91 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.48 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 13:10 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.31 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 7:26 |
| 7 Maxim Tsyplakov R | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:43 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.29 | -0.15 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 8:50 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 22:58 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.20 | +0.75 | +0.27 | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:54 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:42 |
| 28 Alexander Romanov D | +0.02 | +0.55 | +0.03 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 22:41 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:26 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 17:00 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 14:03 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | -0.20 | +0.55 | +0.16 | -0.92 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.04 | — | 20:53 |
| 34 Adam Boqvist D | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:37 |
| 21 Kyle Palmieri C | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:53 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 Mikhail Sergachev D | +1.90 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.33 | — | 25:33 |
| 9 Clayton Keller R | +1.76 | +0.55 | +0.24 | +0.77 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:19 |
| 8 Nick Schmaltz C | +1.41 | 0.00 | +0.39 | +0.85 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 21:01 |
| 92 Logan Cooley C | +1.35 | 0.00 | +0.51 | +0.91 | -0.15 | -0.02 | +0.10 | — | 19:44 |
| 11 Dylan Guenther R | +1.01 | +0.75 | +0.21 | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:23 |
| 26 Dmitri Simashev D | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:01 |
| 70 Karel Vejmelka G | +0.85 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.85 | 61:33 |
| 56 Kailer Yamamoto R | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:01 |
| 27 Barrett Hayton C | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.10 | — | 14:11 |
| 77 JJ Peterka R | +0.15 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:25 |
| 82 Kevin Stenlund C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 15:23 |
| 53 Michael Carcone L | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:21 |
| 13 Brandon Tanev L | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 7:33 |
| 57 Nick DeSimone D | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 11:21 |
| 6 John Marino D | -0.06 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:09 |
| 67 Lawson Crouse L | -0.33 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -1.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 18:49 |
| 28 Ian Cole D | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:17 |
| 88 Nate Schmidt D | -0.78 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:30 |
| 22 Jack McBain C | -0.98 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.96 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:50 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.