| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:38 | Marat Khusnutdinov (3) David Pastrnak (14), Nikita Zadorov (4) · snap xG 0.13 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 12:12 | Jake Evans (3)SH Josh Anderson (3) · snap xG 0.16 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 2:00 | Mason Lohrei (2) Mark Kastelic (4), Tanner Jeannot (7) · snap xG 0.01 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 16:51 | Viktor Arvidsson (6)PP Pavel Zacha (11), David Pastrnak (15) · snap xG 0.22 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 18:44 | Cole Caufield (13) Nick Suzuki (17), Jayden Struble (4) · backhand xG 0.19 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.04 | Expected goals | 4.15 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.69 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.05 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 71 |
| 40 | Unblocked attempts | 52 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 28 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | MTL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.52–0.05
In xG over 10 minutes, 2:00 to 12:00 of the 2nd; neither team scored |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:10 | MTL | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · MTL takes the lead, 61–39%
BOS had led since 1:02 of the 1st, by as much as 81% |
| 11:40 | BOS | No shift | No shift · McAvoy, 16:36 on the bench
No shift after 11:01 of the 2nd; 17 shifts (13:41) before that |
| 17:35 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Swayman +2.0 goals saved
2 goals on 4.01 xG, 26 shots on goal |
| 18:16 | MTL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Montembeault, down 3–2
With 1:44 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 12 | 1.05 | 1 | 0 | 20:15 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.55 | 4 | 0 | 17:49 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.62 | 2 | 1 | 17:06 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 3 | 16:13 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.52 | 1 | 0 | 15:55 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 15:18 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.16 | 4 | 0 | 13:40 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.37 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 12:49 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.18 | 1 | 2 | 10:29 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:58 |
| 25 | Jeffrey Viel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 05:54 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 27:19 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 22:03 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.35 | 1 | 2 | 21:05 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 |
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 13:41 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 12:52 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 28 | 2 | 26 | .929 | 4.15 | +2.15 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 24:35 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0.85 | 0 | 0 | 20:26 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | 3 | 2 | 16:05 |
| 77 | Kirby Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.70 | 3 | 1 | 14:43 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 13:48 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.36 | 2 | 1 | 13:28 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | 3 | 0 | 13:05 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.54 | 1 | 1 | 12:25 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 10:36 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 10:05 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.47 | 1 | 3 | 26:06 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 23:01 |
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 4 | 22:56 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 4 | 19:34 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 3 | 1 | 12:03 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 10:04 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault | 23 | 3 | 20 | .870 | 3.69 | +0.69 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +2.95 | +1.25 | +0.68 | +0.85 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:15 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | +2.15 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.15 | 59:48 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +1.66 | +0.75 | +0.34 | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 15:55 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +1.58 | +0.70 | +0.35 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:49 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +1.22 | +0.75 | +0.24 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:05 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +1.17 | 0.00 | +0.41 | +0.61 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 17:06 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +1.04 | +0.75 | +0.01 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:41 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +0.94 | +0.55 | +0.23 | +0.23 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:05 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:03 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:58 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 10:29 |
| 48 Jeffrey Viel L | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 5:54 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 13:41 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | -0.43 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -1.21 | -0.15 | +0.05 | +0.13 | — | 16:13 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.52 | -0.15 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:40 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | -0.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 12:52 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | -0.60 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:49 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:18 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | -0.96 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.83 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 27:19 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 Kirby Dach C | +1.68 | 0.00 | +0.46 | +1.00 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.07 | — | 14:43 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +1.23 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.85 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 13:28 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +1.14 | 0.00 | +0.35 | +0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:25 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +0.85 | 0.00 | +0.31 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 26:06 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | +0.70 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.16 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 12:03 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 19:34 |
| 35 Samuel Montembeault G | +0.69 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.69 | 58:16 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | +0.66 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.29 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:48 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +0.65 | +0.75 | +0.55 | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 20:26 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +0.47 | +0.75 | +0.17 | -0.40 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 13:05 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +0.41 | +0.70 | +0.11 | -0.39 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 24:35 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:04 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 16:05 |
| 49 Jared Davidson C | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:14 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:52 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.06 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.08 | — | 10:36 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 10:05 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.22 | — | 22:56 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | -0.68 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.68 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 23:01 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.