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Edmonton OilersEDM 4–3 Final/OT Carolina HurricanesCAR

Saturday, November 15, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Edmonton OilersEDM 2011 4 23
Carolina HurricanesCAR 1110 3 36

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:47 EDM Jack Roslovic (6) Unassisted · snap xG 0.20 1–0 ▶
6:30 EDM Connor McDavid (8)PP Jack Roslovic (8), Leon Draisaitl (9) · snap xG 0.27 2–0 ▶
15:39 CAR Eric Robinson (5) Shayne Gostisbehere (11), Taylor Hall (6) · snap xG 0.06 2–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:41 CAR Nikolaj Ehlers (4) Jackson Blake (9), Logan Stankoven (5) · snap xG 0.12 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
5:46 EDM Connor McDavid (9) Leon Draisaitl (10), Zach Hyman (1) · snap xG 0.22 3–2 ▶
6:45 CAR Jordan Staal (4) Unassisted · snap xG 0.21 3–3 ▶
Overtime
0:19 EDM Leon Draisaitl (13) Connor McDavid (21), Evan Bouchard (13) · snap xG 0.10 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

EDM 54%Deserve to win46% CAR
EDMCAR
3.41Expected goals3.20
4Goals (no shootout)3
2.60Expected goals, 5 on 52.44
53Shot attempts70
38Unblocked attempts54
23Shots on goal36

Shot map

EDM shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CAR shoots
Jordan Staal: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:15) Jack Roslovic: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 0:22) Connor McDavid: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 0:47) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:33) Noah Philp: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:36) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:40) Evan Bouchard: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:51) Jake Walman: snap, 149 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:10) Zach Hyman: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 4:24) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 4:53) Sebastian Aho: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 5:53) Sean Walker: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:57) Jack Roslovic: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:27) Nikolaj Ehlers: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:06) Mattias Ekholm: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:41) Joel Nystrom: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:27) Mattias Janmark: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:20) Jake Walman: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:41) Adam Henrique: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:59) Jordan Staal: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:31) Sebastian Aho: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:32) Sebastian Aho: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:33) Sebastian Aho: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:54) Zach Hyman: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:05) Curtis Lazar: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 14:07) Taylor Hall: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 15:07) Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:17) Alexander Nikishin: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:54) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 18:40) William Carrier: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:27) Sebastian Aho: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:32) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:38) Jordan Martinook: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:07) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:50) Shayne Gostisbehere: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:07) Adam Henrique: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 4:34) Sebastian Aho: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 4:56) Sean Walker: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:00) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 5:26) Alexander Nikishin: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:32) Shayne Gostisbehere: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:12) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 8:20) Nikolaj Ehlers: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:31) Jack Roslovic: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:24) K'Andre Miller: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:40) Mark Jankowski: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:42) Mattias Ekholm: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:10) Brett Kulak: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:42) Sebastian Aho: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:17) Andrei Svechnikov: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:29) Shayne Gostisbehere: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:34) Seth Jarvis: snap, 81 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:50) Jordan Martinook: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:51) William Carrier: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 16:58) Jack Roslovic: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:05) Matt Savoie: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:19) Zach Hyman: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:21) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:35) Zach Hyman: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 18:43) Mike Reilly: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:05) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:17) Jackson Blake: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 2:40) Taylor Hall: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:05) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.32 (P3 3:44) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:45) Evan Bouchard: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:22) Jordan Staal: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 7:03) Sean Walker: backhand, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:21) Alexander Nikishin: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:40) Mike Reilly: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:43) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:45) Connor McDavid: snap, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:00) Jordan Martinook: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:20) Mike Reilly: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:42) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:07) Alexander Nikishin: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:10) Connor McDavid: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.31 (P3 12:38) Adam Henrique: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 14:12) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 15:15) Brett Kulak: snap, 178 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:43) Zach Hyman: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:02) Mattias Ekholm: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:39) Jordan Martinook: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:07) Jordan Staal: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 18:14) Leon Draisaitl: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:04) Jack Roslovic: GOAL, snap, 14 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 3:47) Connor McDavid: GOAL, snap, 22 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 6:30) Eric Robinson: GOAL, snap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:39) Nikolaj Ehlers: GOAL, snap, 22 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 1:41) Connor McDavid: GOAL, snap, 10 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 5:46) Jordan Staal: GOAL, snap, 10 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 6:45) Leon Draisaitl: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 0:19)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Connor McDavid 213 +2 50.90 2124:31
18 Zach Hyman 011 +1 50.40 11123:10
29 Leon Draisaitl 123 +2 60.75 2020:52
96 Jack Roslovic 112 0 50.56 0017:10
22 Matt Savoie 000 0 10.04 0116:32
92 Vasily Podkolzin 000 0 00.00 0015:53
19 Adam Henrique 000 -1 30.28 2213:12
26 Andrew Mangiapane 000 -1 10.00 1011:35
13 Mattias Janmark 000 -1 10.01 0011:12
15 Noah Philp 000 -1 10.04 1008:50
20 Curtis Lazar 000 -1 20.15 0008:10
10 Trent Frederic 000 -1 00.00 0107:08
Defense
25 Darnell Nurse 000 0 40.00 3423:36
96 Jake Walman 000 0 70.03 0223:31
2 Evan Bouchard 011 +2 20.08 1022:41
14 Mattias Ekholm 000 +1 60.14 2020:26
27 Brett Kulak 000 -2 30.01 0114:33
75 Alec Regula 000 -2 10.00 0013:55
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Stuart Skinner 36333 .917 3.20 +0.20

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
24 Seth Jarvis 000 0 30.12 0122:56
20 Sebastian Aho 000 0 70.50 0021:22
37 Andrei Svechnikov 000 0 80.51 3020:48
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 101 +1 30.26 0117:17
22 Logan Stankoven 011 +1 30.15 1016:24
11 Jordan Staal 101 -2 60.55 1015:47
53 Jackson Blake 011 +1 10.10 0115:24
48 Jordan Martinook 000 -1 50.14 3015:05
28 William Carrier 000 -1 20.13 3213:52
71 Taylor Hall 011 +1 20.18 0009:38
77 Mark Jankowski 000 +1 20.07 0006:41
50 Eric Robinson 101 +1 10.06 0006:26
Defense
26 Sean Walker 000 +1 50.12 1223:12
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 011 +1 40.11 2222:43
19 K'Andre Miller 000 -2 40.07 3020:41
21 Alexander Nikishin 000 +1 50.05 0118:36
64 Joel Nystrom 000 -2 30.02 0118:10
6 Mike Reilly 000 +1 60.03 0014:12
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Frederik Andersen 23419 .826 3.41 -0.59

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Edmonton Oilers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
97 Connor McDavid C +3.66 +2.20 +0.59 +0.70 +0.15 -0.01 +0.03 — 24:31
29 Leon Draisaitl C +3.29 +2.00 +0.49 +0.87 -0.15 +0.10 -0.02 — 20:52
28 Jack Roslovic C +1.74 +1.45 +0.36 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 17:10
2 Evan Bouchard D +1.59 +0.55 +0.05 +1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:41
18 Zach Hyman L +1.54 +0.55 +0.26 +0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 23:10
14 Mattias Ekholm D +1.09 0.00 +0.09 +1.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:26
74 Stuart Skinner G +0.20 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.20 60:19
92 Vasily Podkolzin R +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.16 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 — 15:53
22 Matt Savoie C +0.06 0.00 +0.03 +0.01 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 16:32
13 Mattias Janmark C -0.05 0.00 +0.01 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:12
96 Jake Walman D -0.17 0.00 +0.02 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 23:31
20 Curtis Lazar C -0.26 0.00 +0.10 -0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:10
25 Darnell Nurse D -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.27 -0.15 0.00 +0.16 — 23:36
48 Noah Philp C -0.29 0.00 +0.03 -0.30 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 8:50
88 Andrew Mangiapane L -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 11:35
19 Adam Henrique C -0.42 0.00 +0.18 -0.68 0.00 -0.01 +0.08 — 13:12
10 Trent Frederic C -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 7:08
27 Brett Kulak D -0.64 0.00 +0.01 -0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:33
75 Alec Regula D -0.77 0.00 0.00 -0.75 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:55

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D +1.57 +0.70 +0.07 +0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:43
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +1.25 +0.75 +0.17 +0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 17:17
50 Eric Robinson L +1.17 +0.75 +0.04 +0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:26
71 Taylor Hall L +0.97 +0.55 +0.12 +0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:38
53 Jackson Blake R +0.92 +0.70 +0.07 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:24
26 Sean Walker D +0.81 0.00 +0.08 +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 23:12
22 Logan Stankoven C +0.81 +0.55 +0.10 +0.19 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 16:24
20 Sebastian Aho C +0.55 0.00 +0.33 +0.21 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 21:22
37 Andrei Svechnikov R +0.52 0.00 +0.33 +0.34 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:48
21 Alexander Nikishin D +0.46 0.00 +0.03 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:36
24 Seth Jarvis C +0.40 0.00 +0.08 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 22:56
77 Mark Jankowski L +0.39 0.00 +0.05 +0.38 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 6:41
11 Jordan Staal C +0.17 +0.75 +0.36 -0.81 0.00 -0.09 -0.04 — 15:47
6 Mike Reilly D +0.05 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:12
28 William Carrier L -0.52 0.00 +0.08 -1.03 +0.30 0.00 +0.12 — 13:52
31 Frederik Andersen G -0.59 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.59 60:19
48 Jordan Martinook L -0.71 0.00 +0.09 -0.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:05
64 Joel Nystrom D -0.73 0.00 +0.02 -0.72 0.00 0.00 -0.03 — 18:10
19 K'Andre Miller D -1.09 0.00 +0.05 -1.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:41

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.