| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 33 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:42 | Mika Zibanejad (6)PP Artemi Panarin (12), Adam Fox (13) · wrist xG 0.55 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 15:20 | Dmitri Voronkov (7)PP Zach Werenski (9), Kirill Marchenko (12) · tip-in xG 0.42 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Kent Johnson vs Igor Shesterkin | Missed | ||
| Artemi Panarin vs Jet Greaves | Saved | ||
| Adam Fantilli vs Igor Shesterkin | Saved | ||
| Vincent Trocheck vs Jet Greaves | Goal | ||
| Kirill Marchenko vs Igor Shesterkin | Goal | ||
| J.T. Miller vs Jet Greaves | Goal | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.61 | Expected goals | 3.26 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 2.15 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.70 |
| 77 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 56 | Unblocked attempts | 43 |
| 33 | Shots on goal | 27 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:27 | NYR | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NYR takes the lead, 62–38%
CBJ had led since 3:55 of the 1st, by as much as 72% |
| 5:40 | NYR | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.87–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:30 of the 1st to 6:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:50 | CBJ | No shift | No shift · Chinakhov, 14:19 on the bench
No shift from 7:01 of the 2nd to 5:03 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (5:47) before that |
| 1:50 | CBJ | No shift | No shift · Del Bel Belluz, 13:17 on the bench
No shift from 8:05 of the 2nd to 5:05 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (7:07) before that |
| 3:54 | CBJ | Goalie | Goalie · Greaves +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.02 xG, 29 shots on goal |
| 19:50 | CBJ | Shortened bench | Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Del Bel Belluz and Chinakhov: no shift after 9:49 of the 3rd |
| Overtime | |||
| 1:14 | NYR | Goalie | Goalie · Shesterkin +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.03 xG, 26 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0.60 | 0 | 0 | 21:35 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 21:23 |
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | 4 | 0 | 20:54 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 19:54 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1.25 | 0 | 2 | 19:44 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.47 | 7 | 0 | 17:36 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 13:21 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 13:17 |
| 94 | Gabe Perreault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 12:37 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:21 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 09:44 |
| 84 | Adam Edstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 08:06 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 23 | Adam Fox | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 28:38 |
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.10 | 2 | 3 | 27:00 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 20:57 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.08 | 6 | 1 | 19:16 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 14:17 |
| 18 | Urho Vaakanainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 27 | 1 | 26 | .963 | 3.26 | +2.26 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0.49 | 1 | 0 | 22:41 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 5 | 1 | 20:20 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 20:14 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.23 | 2 | 1 | 19:42 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 3 | 0 | 19:05 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.70 | 2 | 1 | 17:19 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 5 | 0 | 14:04 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.40 | 1 | 1 | 12:49 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.16 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 07:13 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 27:47 |
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.43 | 0 | 2 | 27:18 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 25:43 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 20:03 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 6 | 13:57 |
| 2 | Jake Christiansen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 08:35 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 33 | 1 | 32 | .970 | 3.61 | +2.61 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | +2.26 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.26 | 64:39 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +2.06 | +0.75 | +0.81 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:44 |
| 23 Adam Fox D | +1.58 | +0.55 | +0.15 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 28:38 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +1.40 | +0.70 | +0.39 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:35 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 27:00 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.31 | +0.49 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.02 | — | 17:36 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.65 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 21:23 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.34 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 20:54 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.17 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:54 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.06 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:16 |
| 84 Adam Edstrom C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 8:06 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 9:44 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:57 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:21 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:17 |
| 94 Gabe Perreault R | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:37 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:17 |
| 18 Urho Vaakanainen D | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.25 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 13:29 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:21 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Jet Greaves G | +2.61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.61 | 65:00 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +0.83 | +0.70 | +0.28 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 27:18 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | +0.76 | +0.75 | +0.45 | -0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:19 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:49 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +0.50 | +0.55 | +0.32 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 22:41 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.04 | — | 19:05 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:04 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.28 | — | 13:57 |
| 65 Luca Del Bel Belluz C | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:33 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 12:12 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.03 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.01 | — | 20:20 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:13 |
| 2 Jake Christiansen D | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:35 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.41 | +0.15 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 20:14 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 25:43 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.26 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:55 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 27:47 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.38 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 19:42 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:03 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.