hockeystats.io

Philadelphia FlyersPHI 1–5 Final Dallas StarsDAL

Saturday, November 15, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 001 1 21
Dallas StarsDAL 122 5 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:48 DAL Lian Bichsel (1) Alexander Petrovic (4), Justin Hryckowian (2) · wrist xG 0.03 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
11:39 DAL Jason Robertson (7) Tyler Seguin (3), Roope Hintz (10) · backhand xG 0.05 0–2 ▶
17:02 DAL Jason Robertson (8) Roope Hintz (11), Esa Lindell (4) · wrist xG 0.10 0–3 ▶
3rd Period
9:29 DAL Jason Robertson (9)PP Roope Hintz (12), Mikko Rantanen (17) · wrist xG 0.16 0–4 ▶
10:57 PHI Christian Dvorak (6) Owen Tippett (5), Jamie Drysdale (6) · backhand xG 0.20 1–4 ▶
13:51 DAL Tyler Seguin (7) Ilya Lyubushkin (4) · wrist xG 0.07 1–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 17%Deserve to win83% DAL
PHIDAL
1.63Expected goals3.68
1Goals (no shootout)5
1.53Expected goals, 5 on 52.97
44Shot attempts60
31Unblocked attempts47
21Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
9:30 DAL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced PHI 1.31–0.06
In xG over 10 minutes, the end of the 2nd to 10:00 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DAL shoots
Mikko Rantanen: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 1:16) Matvei Michkov: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:44) Alexander Petrovic: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:37) Trevor Zegras: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 4:06) Sean Couturier: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:17) Esa Lindell: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:29) Rodrigo Abols: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:26) Nick Seeler: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:32) Alexander Petrovic: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:30) Alexander Petrovic: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:40) Esa Lindell: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 7:19) Roope Hintz: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:32) Jason Robertson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 7:57) Jason Robertson: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 7:59) Esa Lindell: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:52) Justin Hryckowian: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:02) Mikko Rantanen: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:39) Mikko Rantanen: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:40) Mavrik Bourque: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:14) Travis Konecny: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:27) Roope Hintz: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:39) Roope Hintz: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 17:12) Jason Robertson: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 17:31) Tyler Seguin: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 18:35) Colin Blackwell: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:56) Travis Sanheim: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:18) Owen Tippett: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:49) Matvei Michkov: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:40) Miro Heiskanen: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:00) Colin Blackwell: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 3:20) Nathan Bastian: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:22) Colin Blackwell: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:32) Travis Sanheim: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:52) Owen Tippett: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:56) Trevor Zegras: slap, 20 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 6:58) Tyson Foerster: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:59) Matvei Michkov: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 11:10) Tyson Foerster: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:58) Owen Tippett: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:26) Justin Hryckowian: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:04) Justin Hryckowian: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:08) Emil Andrae: snap, 161 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 13:12) Roope Hintz: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:00) Oskar Bäck: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:06) Matvei Michkov: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:37) Owen Tippett: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:21) Christian Dvorak: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:45) Nikita Grebenkin: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:57) Sam Steel: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 0:53) Mikko Rantanen: deflected, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:15) Nick Seeler: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:50) Oskar Bäck: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:02) Miro Heiskanen: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:06) Oskar Bäck: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.28 (P3 4:15) Oskar Bäck: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:16) Justin Hryckowian: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:17) Matvei Michkov: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:46) Sam Steel: slap, 20 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 4:59) Jason Robertson: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:15) Miro Heiskanen: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:36) Jason Robertson: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:12) Christian Dvorak: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:39) Trevor Zegras: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:45) Nick Seeler: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:21) Emil Andrae: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:00) Colin Blackwell: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:37) Tyler Seguin: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:06) Trevor Zegras: bat, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 14:16) Travis Sanheim: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:55) Alexander Petrovic: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:02) Roope Hintz: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:25) Bobby Brink: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:15) Lian Bichsel: GOAL, wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:48) Jason Robertson: GOAL, backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:39) Jason Robertson: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 17:02) Jason Robertson: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 9:29) Christian Dvorak: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 10:57) Tyler Seguin: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:51)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
22 Christian Dvorak 101 0 30.24 1017:15
14 Sean Couturier 000 -2 20.07 2116:34
46 Trevor Zegras 000 0 40.47 1116:27
71 Tyson Foerster 000 -1 30.13 4116:08
10 Bobby Brink 000 -1 10.03 1116:03
11 Travis Konecny 000 -2 30.03 1015:55
27 Noah Cates 000 -1 00.00 2015:09
39 Matvei Michkov 000 -2 50.33 0014:35
74 Owen Tippett 011 0 50.17 2014:18
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 00.00 6113:01
17 Nikita Grebenkin 000 0 10.02 3112:24
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 0 10.05 2111:14
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 000 0 50.03 2221:38
47 Noah Juulsen 000 -1 20.00 1121:35
8 Cam York 000 0 00.00 0221:25
36 Emil Andrae 000 -1 50.03 2021:12
9 Jamie Drysdale 011 -2 10.00 0016:31
24 Nick Seeler 000 -2 30.03 2015:44
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 28523 .821 3.68 -1.32

Dallas Stars

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
53 Wyatt Johnston 000 0 50.00 0017:48
96 Mikko Rantanen 011 0 40.31 0016:46
21 Jason Robertson 303 +2 90.84 1116:44
18 Sam Steel 000 0 20.39 0116:09
49 Justin Hryckowian 011 +1 50.26 2016:03
91 Tyler Seguin 112 +2 40.26 0015:16
24 Roope Hintz 033 +2 50.38 1014:35
22 Mavrik Bourque 000 +1 10.03 1014:34
10 Oskar Bäck 000 +1 40.44 1014:12
15 Colin Blackwell 000 0 50.20 0013:17
11 Nathan Bastian 000 0 10.06 3012:47
12 Radek Faksa 000 0 00.00 1112:27
Defense
4 Miro Heiskanen 000 +2 30.10 0023:36
23 Esa Lindell 011 +2 30.29 1122:43
6 Lian Bichsel 101 +1 20.03 8220:47
36 Alexander Petrovic 011 +1 50.10 1518:16
46 Ilya Lyubushkin 011 0 10.00 1116:18
20 Kyle Capobianco 000 0 10.00 2015:42
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jake Oettinger 21120 .952 1.63 +0.63

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
74 Owen Tippett R +0.15 +0.70 +0.11 -0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 14:18
22 Christian Dvorak C +0.08 +0.75 +0.15 -0.83 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 17:15
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.04 +0.55 0.00 -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:31
24 Nick Seeler D -0.07 0.00 +0.02 -0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:44
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.19 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 13:01
29 Nikita Grebenkin R -0.24 0.00 +0.01 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 12:24
8 Cam York D -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 21:25
14 Sean Couturier C -0.30 0.00 +0.04 -0.40 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 16:34
27 Noah Cates L -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:09
39 Matvei Michkov R -0.34 0.00 +0.21 -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:35
6 Travis Sanheim D -0.38 0.00 +0.02 -0.67 +0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 21:38
46 Trevor Zegras C -0.38 0.00 +0.31 -0.71 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 16:27
18 Rodrigo Abols C -0.40 0.00 +0.03 -0.50 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 11:14
11 Travis Konecny R -0.46 0.00 +0.02 -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:55
71 Tyson Foerster R -0.57 0.00 +0.09 -0.56 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 16:08
10 Bobby Brink R -0.73 0.00 +0.02 -0.64 -0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 16:03
36 Emil Andrae D -1.23 0.00 +0.02 -1.22 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 21:12
80 Dan Vladar G -1.32 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.32 59:56
47 Noah Juulsen D -1.34 0.00 0.00 -1.37 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:35

Dallas Stars

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
21 Jason Robertson L +3.45 +2.25 +0.55 +0.66 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 16:44
24 Roope Hintz C +3.09 +1.95 +0.25 +0.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:35
91 Tyler Seguin C +2.23 +1.45 +0.17 +0.66 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 15:16
23 Esa Lindell D +2.11 +0.55 +0.19 +1.34 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:43
28 Alexander Petrovic D +1.84 +0.70 +0.07 +0.83 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 18:16
49 Justin Hryckowian C +1.76 +0.55 +0.17 +1.03 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 16:03
4 Miro Heiskanen D +1.52 0.00 +0.06 +1.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 23:36
6 Lian Bichsel D +1.26 +0.75 +0.02 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:47
96 Mikko Rantanen R +1.24 +0.55 +0.20 +0.49 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 16:46
10 Oskar Bäck C +1.09 0.00 +0.28 +0.63 +0.15 +0.01 +0.02 — 14:12
18 Sam Steel C +0.83 0.00 +0.25 +0.49 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 16:09
22 Mavrik Bourque C +0.71 0.00 +0.02 +0.68 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:34
29 Jake Oettinger G +0.63 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.63 60:00
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D +0.50 +0.70 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:18
53 Wyatt Johnston C +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.36 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 17:48
20 Kyle Capobianco D +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:42
11 Nathan Bastian R +0.24 0.00 +0.04 +0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:47
15 Colin Blackwell C +0.20 0.00 +0.13 +0.26 -0.15 -0.04 0.00 — 13:17
12 Radek Faksa C -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.25 +0.15 -0.02 +0.03 — 12:27

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.