| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:14 | Jaden Schwartz (6) Chandler Stephenson (6), Jamie Oleksiak (2) · deflected xG 0.11 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 19:42 | Alexander Wennberg (5)PP Macklin Celebrini (17), William Eklund (7) · tip-in xG 0.12 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 16:05 | Adam Larsson (1) Mason Marchment (7), Matty Beniers (10) · wrist xG 0.02 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 16:43 | Eeli Tolvanen (3) Chandler Stephenson (7), Jamie Oleksiak (3) · slap xG 0.14 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:31 | Jaden Schwartz (7)SHEN Ryan Lindgren (3), Chandler Stephenson (8) · wrist xG 0.52 | 1–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.45 | Expected goals | 2.66 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.82 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.89 |
| 74 | Shot attempts | 43 |
| 45 | Unblocked attempts | 33 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:42 | SEA | Goalie change | Goalie change · Grubauer in for Murray
19:42 of the 1st; Murray had allowed 1 goal on 7 shots (0.68 xG) |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:40 | SEA | No shift | No shift · Nyman, 17:22 on the bench
No shift after 9:22 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (6:34) before that |
| 16:07 | SJS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Nedeljkovic, down 3–1
With 3:53 left; SEA scored at 16:31 of the 3rd (1–4) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 20:41 |
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 20:28 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 20:26 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 11 | 0.72 | 0 | 0 | 19:04 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 16:31 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.23 | 2 | 0 | 15:17 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.30 | 4 | 0 | 14:55 |
| 96 | Philipp Kurashev | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 14:41 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 14:23 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:25 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 09:47 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 09:00 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | John Klingberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 21:15 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 20:24 |
| 85 | Shakir Mukhamadullin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 3 | 19:45 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 17:50 |
| 4 | Nick Leddy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 15:26 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | 22 | 3 | 19 | .864 | 2.14 | -0.86 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 20:31 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 0.15 | 0 | 2 | 18:07 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 16:50 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 16:44 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 0.83 | 2 | 1 | 16:01 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.05 | 2 | 0 | 15:01 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 5 | 14:23 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.20 | 2 | 1 | 12:10 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 09:57 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 09:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 21:04 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 2 | 18:45 |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 18:44 |
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 17:48 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 17:30 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Murray | 7 | 1 | 6 | .857 | 0.68 | -0.32 |
| Philipp Grubauer | 19 | 0 | 19 | 1.000 | 1.77 | +1.77 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +1.10 | +0.75 | +0.10 | +0.04 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 20:41 |
| 72 William Eklund L | +0.66 | +0.55 | +0.11 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:26 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +0.59 | +0.70 | +0.15 | -0.35 | +0.15 | +0.02 | -0.08 | — | 20:28 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:23 |
| 2 Will Smith C | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.47 | -0.16 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 19:04 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 14:55 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:24 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:17 |
| 85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 19:45 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:31 |
| 96 Philipp Kurashev C | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.33 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 14:41 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:26 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.41 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 9:00 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:50 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:47 |
| 3 John Klingberg D | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:15 |
| 4 Nick Leddy D | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:35 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:25 |
| 33 Alex Nedeljkovic G | -0.86 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.86 | 59:07 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | +2.88 | +1.95 | +0.10 | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 18:07 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | +2.43 | +1.50 | +0.54 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 16:01 |
| 31 Philipp Grubauer G | +1.77 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.77 | 40:18 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | +1.62 | +0.70 | +0.23 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:50 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | +1.62 | +1.10 | +0.03 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:45 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | +1.30 | +0.75 | +0.13 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:10 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +0.93 | +0.55 | +0.16 | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 20:31 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | +0.88 | +0.75 | +0.03 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:14 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | +0.82 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.18 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 21:04 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +0.59 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.74 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:44 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.23 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:30 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 17:48 |
| 77 Berkly Catton C | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 9:57 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 18:44 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 9:21 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:01 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.32 | -0.15 | -0.07 | +0.09 | — | 16:44 |
| 30 Matt Murray G | -0.32 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.32 | 19:42 |
| 38 Jani Nyman R | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:34 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.48 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.25 | — | 14:23 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.