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Nashville PredatorsNSH 0–4 Final Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

Sunday, November 16, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Nashville PredatorsNSH 000 0 21
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 301 4 22

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:19 PIT Parker Wotherspoon (2) Erik Karlsson (12), Joona Koppanen (1) · snap xG 0.02 0–1 ▶
8:08 PIT Evgeni Malkin (5) Kevin Hayes (1), Anthony Mantha (6) · wrist xG 0.13 0–2 ▶
10:13 PIT Sidney Crosby (12) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.04 0–3 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
17:12 PIT Blake Lizotte (3)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.57 0–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NSH 32%Deserve to win68% PIT
NSHPIT
1.73Expected goals3.22
0Goals (no shootout)4
0.90Expected goals, 5 on 52.53
52Shot attempts48
36Unblocked attempts37
21Shots on goal22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
10:13 NSH Goalie Goalie · Saros −2.2 goals saved
3 goals on 0.75 xG, 10 shots on goal
3rd Period
16:41 NSH Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Saros, down 3–0
With 3:19 left; PIT scored at 17:12 of the 3rd (0–4)

Shot map

NSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PIT shoots
Anthony Mantha: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:07) Tommy Novak: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 1:53) Luke Evangelista: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:55) Ben Kindel: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:17) Connor Dewar: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:29) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:20) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:27) Kevin Hayes: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:32) Kevin Hayes: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 8:05) Philip Tomasino: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:31) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:12) Bryan Rust: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:01) Kris Letang: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:10) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:43) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:07) Blake Lizotte: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:32) Connor Dewar: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:38) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:04) Nick Blankenburg: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:28) Steven Stamkos: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:41) Matthew Wood: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 6:44) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 7:44) Brady Skjei: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:02) Tommy Novak: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:46) Kevin Hayes: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 9:27) Philip Tomasino: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:45) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:17) Steven Stamkos: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 12:51) Parker Wotherspoon: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:05) Luke Evangelista: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:40) Kris Letang: wrist, 167 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:12) Ozzy Wiesblatt: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:04) Michael McCarron: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 15:06) Danton Heinen: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 16:31) Spencer Stastney: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:52) Jonathan Marchessault: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:31) Ben Kindel: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:46) Connor Dewar: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:43) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:26) Michael Bunting: tip-in, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:37) Brady Skjei: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:43) Nick Perbix: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 2:45) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 3:33) Nicolas Hague: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:50) Ozzy Wiesblatt: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:42) Tommy Novak: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:46) Matthew Wood: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:16) Nick Perbix: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:25) Luke Evangelista: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:32) Adam Wilsby: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:52) Joona Koppanen: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 8:37) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.46 (P3 8:40) Filip Forsberg: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:29) Nick Perbix: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:55) Brady Skjei: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:06) Brady Skjei: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:08) Matthew Wood: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:30) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 13:52) Connor Clifton: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:24) Michael McCarron: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:34) Danton Heinen: deflected, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:47) Evgeni Malkin: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 14:55) Filip Forsberg: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:41) Adam Wilsby: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:45) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:50) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:02) Matthew Wood: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:34) Philip Tomasino: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:03) Joona Koppanen: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:54) Parker Wotherspoon: GOAL, snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:19) Evgeni Malkin: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 8:08) Sidney Crosby: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:13) Blake Lizotte: GOAL, wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.57 (P3 17:12)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Filip Forsberg 000 -1 60.05 6020:42
91 Steven Stamkos 000 -2 40.19 1019:59
77 Luke Evangelista 000 0 40.28 2019:54
81 Jonathan Marchessault 000 -1 60.12 1119:30
90 Ryan O'Reilly 000 0 00.00 0118:55
58 Michael Bunting 000 -2 10.00 0018:34
56 Erik Haula 000 -1 10.00 0216:37
71 Matthew Wood 000 -2 50.36 1015:16
47 Michael McCarron 000 -1 20.20 2115:02
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt 000 -1 30.13 4012:36
9 Fedor Svechkov 000 -2 00.00 2110:34
Defense
76 Brady Skjei 000 -2 70.11 2019:34
41 Nicolas Hague 000 -2 30.03 2018:47
48 Nick Perbix 000 -1 40.15 3017:49
3 Nick Blankenburg 000 -2 10.07 1217:23
24 Spencer Stastney 000 0 30.01 0114:51
2 Adam Wilsby 000 0 20.03 0214:23
72 Justin Barron 000 -1 00.00 0010:12
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Juuse Saros 21318 .857 2.65 -0.35

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Bryan Rust 000 +2 10.01 0118:15
19 Connor Dewar 000 0 30.11 0117:10
71 Evgeni Malkin 101 +1 40.79 1015:51
87 Sidney Crosby 101 +1 20.18 0115:31
46 Blake Lizotte 101 +2 40.70 0014:12
39 Anthony Mantha 011 +1 50.17 0014:06
18 Tommy Novak 000 0 40.30 1013:41
13 Kevin Hayes 011 +1 40.33 1113:27
81 Ben Kindel 000 0 40.03 0012:50
58 Danton Heinen 000 +1 30.23 2210:57
Defense
65 Erik Karlsson 011 +1 10.00 0221:00
58 Kris Letang 000 +3 30.01 0120:28
29 Parker Wotherspoon 101 +1 30.05 3020:22
6 Ryan Shea 000 +3 10.00 1119:30
75 Connor Clifton 000 0 10.02 3119:28
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Murashov 21021 1.000 1.73 +1.73

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
77 Luke Evangelista R -0.02 0.00 +0.18 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 19:54
71 Matthew Wood R -0.12 0.00 +0.23 -0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:16
90 Ryan O'Reilly C -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.24 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 18:55
48 Nick Perbix D -0.25 0.00 +0.10 -0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:49
76 Brady Skjei D -0.26 0.00 +0.07 -0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:34
9 Filip Forsberg L -0.28 0.00 +0.03 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:42
74 Juuse Saros G -0.35 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.35 59:22
56 Erik Haula L -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.62 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 16:37
24 Spencer Stastney D -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 14:51
58 Michael Bunting L -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.60 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 18:34
20 Justin Barron D -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 10:12
47 Michael McCarron C -0.55 0.00 +0.13 -0.85 0.00 +0.10 +0.07 — 15:02
81 Jonathan Marchessault R -0.57 0.00 +0.08 -0.85 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 19:30
83 Adam Wilsby D -0.72 0.00 +0.02 -0.79 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 14:23
40 Fedor Svechkov C -0.74 0.00 0.00 -0.74 0.00 -0.03 +0.03 — 10:34
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C -0.78 0.00 +0.09 -0.85 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:36
37 Nick Blankenburg D -0.80 0.00 +0.04 -0.91 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 17:23
91 Steven Stamkos C -0.95 0.00 +0.13 -1.13 0.00 +0.04 +0.02 — 19:59
41 Nicolas Hague D -1.22 0.00 +0.02 -1.22 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:47

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Evgeni Malkin C +2.77 +0.75 +0.51 +1.48 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 15:51
13 Kevin Hayes R +1.86 +0.70 +0.22 +0.94 0.00 -0.04 +0.05 — 13:27
39 Anthony Mantha R +1.83 +0.55 +0.11 +1.19 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:06
15 Joona Koppanen L +1.83 +0.55 +0.08 +1.17 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:27
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +1.80 +0.75 +0.03 +1.15 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 20:22
65 Erik Karlsson D +1.79 +0.70 0.00 +1.01 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:00
1 Sergei Murashov G +1.73 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.73 60:00
46 Blake Lizotte C +1.69 +0.75 +0.46 +0.55 0.00 -0.07 0.00 — 14:12
87 Sidney Crosby C +1.33 +0.75 +0.12 +0.42 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 15:31
58 Kris Letang D +1.14 0.00 +0.01 +1.09 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:28
5 Ryan Shea D +1.07 0.00 0.00 +1.17 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 19:30
18 Tommy Novak C +0.49 0.00 +0.20 +0.31 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:41
43 Danton Heinen L +0.48 0.00 +0.15 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 10:57
53 Philip Tomasino R +0.45 0.00 +0.10 +0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:39
17 Bryan Rust R +0.27 0.00 +0.01 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:15
75 Connor Clifton D +0.21 0.00 +0.02 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:28
19 Connor Dewar C +0.16 0.00 +0.07 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:10
27 Ryan Graves D -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.07 -0.15 0.00 +0.11 — 20:06
81 Ben Kindel C -0.20 0.00 +0.02 -0.18 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 12:50

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.