| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 42 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 9:30 | Alex DeBrincat (9)PP Lucas Raymond (15), Patrick Kane (6) · wrist xG 0.70 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 11:59 | Mika Zibanejad (7)PP Will Cuylle (5), Artemi Panarin (13) · wrist xG 0.23 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:13 | Lucas Raymond (5) Dylan Larkin (12), Moritz Seider (9) · wrist xG 0.18 | 2–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| DET | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.28 | Expected goals | 2.13 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 1.85 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.31 |
| 76 | Shot attempts | 59 |
| 57 | Unblocked attempts | 36 |
| 42 | Shots on goal | 19 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:28 | DET | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 61–39%
NYR had led since 19:00 of the 1st, by as much as 62% |
| 9:30 | DET | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.85–0.37
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:30 of the 1st to 9:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:31 | NYR | Goalie | Goalie · Quick +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.07 xG, 30 shots on goal |
| 11:20 | DET | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYR 1.11–0.09
In xG over 10 minutes, 1:20 to 11:20 of the 3rd; neither team scored |
| 17:59 | NYR | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Quick, down 2–1
With 2:01 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 11 | 0.91 | 2 | 0 | 21:49 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0.63 | 1 | 0 | 20:51 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 9 | 0.63 | 0 | 0 | 20:22 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 1.01 | 2 | 0 | 20:00 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 17:56 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 16:24 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 2 | 13:46 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | 1 | 1 | 12:37 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 10:40 |
| 22 | Mason Appleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 10:06 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 6 | 1 | 09:47 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.80 | 2 | 5 | 22:33 |
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.06 | 2 | 3 | 22:22 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 19:55 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.01 | 2 | 3 | 19:09 |
| 52 | Travis Hamonic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 13:49 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 12:43 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot | 19 | 1 | 18 | .947 | 2.13 | +1.13 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.12 | 8 | 0 | 20:43 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 20:36 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 19:47 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.69 | 1 | 3 | 18:46 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 17:12 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 2 | 2 | 15:33 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:38 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:37 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 10:35 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 10:34 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 10:06 |
| 84 | Adam Edstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 09:42 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 23 | Adam Fox | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.12 | 1 | 2 | 25:47 |
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.08 | 0 | 3 | 24:33 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 1 | 21:19 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 19:51 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 3 | 13:39 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Quick | 42 | 2 | 40 | .952 | 4.63 | +2.63 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +2.64 | +1.45 | +0.41 | +0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:22 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +2.00 | +0.75 | +0.66 | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 20:00 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +1.92 | +0.70 | +0.59 | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 21:49 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | +1.17 | 0.00 | +0.52 | +0.25 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.25 | — | 22:33 |
| 39 Cam Talbot G | +1.13 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.13 | 59:39 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 12:37 |
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +0.79 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.35 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 22:22 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.33 | +0.15 | -0.04 | +0.08 | — | 13:46 |
| 22 Mason Appleton C | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.30 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:06 |
| 29 Nate Danielson C | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:45 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 19:09 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:55 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +0.35 | +0.55 | +0.41 | -0.74 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:51 |
| 52 Travis Hamonic D | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:49 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:40 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.03 | — | 9:47 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:43 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.55 | +0.15 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 16:24 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.47 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 17:56 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Jonathan Quick G | +2.48 | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | — | — | +2.63 | 58:30 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +1.17 | +0.75 | +0.45 | -0.17 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.15 | — | 18:46 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.60 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.10 | — | 15:33 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +0.72 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:36 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +0.35 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 17:12 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.09 | +0.15 | -0.05 | -0.04 | — | 20:43 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 13:39 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:35 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 24:33 |
| 23 Adam Fox D | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 25:47 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.24 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 10:06 |
| 60 Scott Morrow D | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:56 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 19:51 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 19:47 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:37 |
| 84 Adam Edstrom C | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:42 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:38 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.29 | -0.30 | -0.03 | -0.04 | — | 10:34 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:19 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.