| Final/SO | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | SO | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 32 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:58 | Zach Werenski (5) Mathieu Olivier (6), Charlie Coyle (10) · wrist xG 0.07 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:47 | Oliver Kapanen (7) Mike Matheson (7), Ivan Demidov (10) · wrist xG 0.15 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 9:47 | Adam Fantilli (6) Kirill Marchenko (13), Dmitri Voronkov (8) · wrist xG 0.19 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 13:32 | Dmitri Voronkov (8)PP Kirill Marchenko (14), Zach Werenski (10) · tip-in xG 0.15 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:28 | Josh Anderson (3) Lane Hutson (14), Jake Evans (3) · backhand xG 0.47 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 18:41 | Lane Hutson (2) Noah Dobson (11), Cole Caufield (7) · wrist xG 0.07 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| No scoring | |||
| Shootout | |||
| Kent Johnson vs Jakub Dobes | Goal | ||
| Nick Suzuki vs Jet Greaves | Saved | ||
| Adam Fantilli vs Jakub Dobes | No shot | ||
| Cole Caufield vs Jet Greaves | Goal | ||
| Kirill Marchenko vs Jakub Dobes | Goal | ||
| Ivan Demidov vs Jet Greaves | Saved | ||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MTL | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.62 | Expected goals | 2.39 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.84 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.62 |
| 59 | Shot attempts | 45 |
| 45 | Unblocked attempts | 31 |
| 32 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:14 | CBJ | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 61–39%
MTL had led since 5:32 of the 2nd, by as much as 60% |
| 15:50 | CBJ | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.32–0.27
In xG over 10 minutes, 5:50 to 15:50 of the 2nd; goals 2–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 12:30 | MTL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.48–0.34
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:00 to 13:00 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 17:10 | MTL | Shortened bench | Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Davidson and Veleno: no shift after 7:10 of the 3rd |
| 18:09 | MTL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Dobes, down 3–2
With 1:51 left; MTL scored at 18:41 of the 3rd (3–3) |
| 19:00 | CBJ | No shift | No shift · Christiansen, 11:00 on the bench
No shift after 8:28 of the 3rd; 13 shifts (10:43) before that |
| Overtime | |||
| 0:15 | MTL | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · MTL takes the lead, 61–39%
CBJ had led since 12:14 of the 2nd, by as much as 69% |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.25 | 2 | 1 | 21:15 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 18:47 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.31 | 0 | 1 | 18:13 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.39 | 0 | 1 | 17:30 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.44 | 2 | 0 | 17:25 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.63 | 1 | 0 | 16:11 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 15:05 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 12:03 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 09:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 29:25 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.23 | 1 | 4 | 26:45 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.18 | 2 | 1 | 25:42 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 18:14 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 09:50 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Dobes | 23 | 3 | 20 | .870 | 2.39 | -0.61 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 22:07 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.35 | 1 | 1 | 21:42 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:05 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.45 | 3 | 1 | 16:47 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.69 | 2 | 0 | 16:36 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 1 | 14:59 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 |
| 59 | Egor Chinakhov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 13:03 |
| 21 | Zachary Aston-Reese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 12:57 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 12:24 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 6 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 29:41 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 27:16 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 19:56 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 19:21 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 15:23 |
| 2 | Jake Christiansen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 32 | 3 | 29 | .906 | 3.62 | +0.62 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +3.56 | +1.45 | +0.11 | +1.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 25:42 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +2.13 | +0.55 | +0.28 | +1.33 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 17:25 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | +1.97 | +0.75 | +0.41 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 16:11 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +1.55 | +0.55 | +0.20 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:13 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +1.40 | +0.75 | +0.25 | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:30 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +1.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.78 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 18:47 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:09 |
| 89 Joshua Roy R | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 11:30 |
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +0.66 | +0.55 | +0.27 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 20:05 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +0.48 | +0.70 | +0.15 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 26:45 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:14 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:50 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +0.33 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 29:25 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:03 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:31 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:05 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.27 | -0.15 | +0.08 | +0.01 | — | 21:15 |
| 49 Jared Davidson C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:25 |
| 75 Jakub Dobes G | -0.61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.61 | 64:28 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | +1.11 | +1.30 | +0.30 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 16:47 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.45 | +0.40 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:36 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +0.94 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:59 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +0.94 | +1.40 | +0.07 | -0.46 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.06 | — | 22:07 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | +0.85 | +1.30 | +0.07 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 29:41 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | +0.80 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.32 | 0.00 | -0.12 | -0.02 | — | 16:15 |
| 73 Jet Greaves G | +0.62 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.62 | 65:00 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.33 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:21 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +0.53 | +0.75 | +0.23 | -0.49 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 21:42 |
| 27 Zachary Aston-Reese C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:57 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:24 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 27:16 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 12:25 |
| 2 Jake Christiansen D | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:43 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.71 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:20 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 19:05 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:56 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 15:23 |
| 59 Egor Chinakhov R | -0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:03 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.