Tuesday, November 18, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
CBJ 43%Deserve to win 57% WPG
CBJ WPG
2.28 Expected goals 2.67
2 Goals (no shootout) 5
1.93 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.19
54 Shot attempts 60
36 Unblocked attempts 46
22 Shots on goal 30
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
2:45
CBJ
Goalie
Goalie · Merzlikins −2.0 goals saved
4 goals on 1.98 xG, 21 shots on goal
Shot map
CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → WPG shoots
Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:16)
Dylan DeMelo: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:25)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:39)
Zach Werenski: wrist, 157 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:55)
Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:21)
Vladislav Namestnikov: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 2:32)
Vladislav Namestnikov: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:41)
Nino Niederreiter: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:09)
Kyle Connor: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:03)
Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:33)
Gustav Nyquist: slap, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 6:04)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:18)
Dante Fabbro: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:51)
Damon Severson: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:17)
Damon Severson: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:18)
Miles Wood: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 8:31)
Dylan DeMelo: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:44)
Josh Morrissey: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:56)
Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:33)
Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:40)
Tanner Pearson: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:50)
Morgan Barron: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:27)
Jonathan Toews: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:58)
Kent Johnson: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:03)
Vladislav Namestnikov: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 12:27)
Vladislav Namestnikov: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:28)
Jake Christiansen: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:56)
Dante Fabbro: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:02)
Miles Wood: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:02)
Damon Severson: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:22)
Zachary Aston-Reese: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 16:21)
Mathieu Olivier: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:11)
Cole Perfetti: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 18:49)
Charlie Coyle: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:32)
Luke Schenn: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:43)
Adam Fantilli: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 2:04)
Zachary Aston-Reese: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:23)
Zachary Aston-Reese: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:32)
Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:33)
Dylan DeMelo: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:35)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:04)
Adam Lowry: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:44)
Ivan Provorov: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:41)
Dylan Samberg: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:05)
Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:17)
Gustav Nyquist: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:15)
Charlie Coyle: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:28)
Luke Schenn: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:19)
Neal Pionk: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:58)
Nino Niederreiter: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 15:11)
Cole Sillinger: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:46)
Cole Perfetti: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:27)
Adam Fantilli: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:50)
Logan Stanley: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:23)
Zach Werenski: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:29)
Kirill Marchenko: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:34)
Logan Stanley: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:04)
Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:20)
Cole Perfetti: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:45)
Cole Sillinger: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 8:02)
Ivan Provorov: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:26)
Kent Johnson: slap, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:44)
Cole Perfetti: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:35)
Sean Monahan: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 11:15)
Sean Monahan: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:28)
Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:29)
Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:05)
Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:12)
Dylan Samberg: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:52)
Adam Lowry: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:05)
Alex Iafallo: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.30 (P3 17:07)
Tanner Pearson: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:52)
Dylan DeMelo: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:13)
Dylan Samberg: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:47)
Neal Pionk: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:55)
Adam Lowry: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 7:35)
Miles Wood: GOAL, backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 18:27)
Josh Morrissey: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:12)
Neal Pionk: GOAL, slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:30)
Kyle Connor: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:45)
Zach Werenski: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:04)
Logan Stanley: GOAL, slap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:23)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Columbus Blue Jackets
Winnipeg Jets
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Eric Comrie
22 2 20
.909
2.28
+0.28
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Winnipeg Jets
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
55 Mark Scheifele C
+2.17
+2.10
+0.03
+0.01
0.00
+0.03
0.00
—
17:41
4 Neal Pionk D
+1.76
+1.30
+0.09
+0.40
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
20:16
62 Nino Niederreiter R
+1.56
+1.25
+0.08
+0.25
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
14:14
17 Adam Lowry C
+1.53
+0.75
+0.18
+0.65
0.00
-0.03
-0.02
—
12:44
44 Josh Morrissey D
+1.43
+1.30
+0.09
-0.20
+0.15
0.00
+0.09
—
22:14
14 Gustav Nyquist R
+1.41
+0.70
+0.21
+0.49
0.00
-0.01
+0.02
—
12:18
5 Luke Schenn D
+1.29
+0.55
+0.01
+0.59
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
16:25
64 Logan Stanley D
+1.20
+0.75
+0.05
+0.35
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:48
81 Kyle Connor L
+1.11
+1.30
+0.07
-0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:45
9 Alex Iafallo L
+0.58
0.00
+0.20
+0.28
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
13:00
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C
+0.55
0.00
+0.33
+0.17
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:09
70 Tanner Pearson L
+0.51
0.00
+0.09
+0.42
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:37
54 Dylan Samberg D
+0.50
0.00
+0.03
+0.22
0.00
0.00
+0.25
—
18:47
1 Eric Comrie G
+0.28
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.28
60:00
91 Cole Perfetti C
+0.14
0.00
+0.12
+0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
17:28
19 Jonathan Toews C
+0.13
0.00
+0.09
-0.01
0.00
+0.05
0.00
—
17:34
2 Dylan DeMelo D
-0.03
0.00
+0.06
-0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
21:54
36 Morgan Barron C
-0.08
0.00
+0.04
-0.07
-0.15
+0.03
+0.07
—
13:15
13 Gabriel Vilardi C
-0.15
0.00
0.00
-0.25
+0.15
-0.01
-0.04
—
15:51
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.