Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 2–5 Final Winnipeg JetsWPG

Tuesday, November 18, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 101 2 22
Winnipeg JetsWPG 122 5 30

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:35 WPG Adam Lowry (1) Nino Niederreiter (8), Neal Pionk (4) · wrist xG 0.19 0–1 ▶
18:27 CBJ Miles Wood (5) Damon Severson (5), Elvis Merzlikins (1) · backhand xG 0.14 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:12 WPG Josh Morrissey (4) Mark Scheifele (14), Kyle Connor (13) · tip-in xG 0.10 1–2 ▶
15:30 WPG Neal Pionk (1)PP Gustav Nyquist (6), Nino Niederreiter (9) · slap xG 0.06 1–3 ▶
3rd Period
2:45 WPG Kyle Connor (11) Mark Scheifele (15), Josh Morrissey (17) · wrist xG 0.04 1–4 ▶
4:04 CBJ Zach Werenski (6) Cole Sillinger (6), Charlie Coyle (11) · wrist xG 0.13 2–4 ▶
6:23 WPG Logan Stanley (3) Mark Scheifele (16), Luke Schenn (2) · slap xG 0.05 2–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 43%Deserve to win57% WPG
CBJWPG
2.28Expected goals2.67
2Goals (no shootout)5
1.93Expected goals, 5 on 52.19
54Shot attempts60
36Unblocked attempts46
22Shots on goal30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
2:45 CBJ Goalie Goalie · Merzlikins −2.0 goals saved
4 goals on 1.98 xG, 21 shots on goal

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ WPG shoots
Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:16) Dylan DeMelo: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:25) Neal Pionk: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:39) Zach Werenski: wrist, 157 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:55) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:21) Vladislav Namestnikov: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 2:32) Vladislav Namestnikov: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:41) Nino Niederreiter: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:09) Kyle Connor: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:03) Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:33) Gustav Nyquist: slap, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 6:04) Josh Morrissey: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:18) Dante Fabbro: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:51) Damon Severson: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:17) Damon Severson: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:18) Miles Wood: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 8:31) Dylan DeMelo: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:44) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:56) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:33) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:40) Tanner Pearson: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:50) Morgan Barron: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:27) Jonathan Toews: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 10:58) Kent Johnson: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:03) Vladislav Namestnikov: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 12:27) Vladislav Namestnikov: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:28) Jake Christiansen: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:56) Dante Fabbro: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:02) Miles Wood: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:02) Damon Severson: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:22) Zachary Aston-Reese: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 16:21) Mathieu Olivier: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 17:11) Cole Perfetti: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 18:49) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:32) Luke Schenn: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:43) Adam Fantilli: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 2:04) Zachary Aston-Reese: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:23) Zachary Aston-Reese: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:32) Cole Sillinger: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:33) Dylan DeMelo: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:35) Kyle Connor: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:04) Adam Lowry: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:44) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:41) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:05) Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:17) Gustav Nyquist: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:15) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:28) Luke Schenn: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:19) Neal Pionk: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:58) Nino Niederreiter: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 15:11) Cole Sillinger: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:46) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:27) Adam Fantilli: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:50) Logan Stanley: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:23) Zach Werenski: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:29) Kirill Marchenko: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:34) Logan Stanley: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:04) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:20) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:45) Cole Sillinger: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 8:02) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:26) Kent Johnson: slap, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:44) Cole Perfetti: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:35) Sean Monahan: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 11:15) Sean Monahan: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:28) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:29) Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:05) Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:12) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:52) Adam Lowry: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:05) Alex Iafallo: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.30 (P3 17:07) Tanner Pearson: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:52) Dylan DeMelo: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:13) Dylan Samberg: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:47) Neal Pionk: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:55) Adam Lowry: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 7:35) Miles Wood: GOAL, backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 18:27) Josh Morrissey: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:12) Neal Pionk: GOAL, slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:30) Kyle Connor: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:45) Zach Werenski: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:04) Logan Stanley: GOAL, slap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:23)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
4 Cole Sillinger 011 0 40.26 0218:01
3 Charlie Coyle 011 0 20.07 0017:10
24 Mathieu Olivier 000 0 60.16 2217:05
86 Kirill Marchenko 000 -1 50.06 1016:34
23 Sean Monahan 000 -1 20.12 0016:25
19 Adam Fantilli 000 -1 60.33 1016:13
18 Miles Wood 101 -1 40.42 0015:54
91 Kent Johnson 000 -1 30.23 1015:11
10 Dmitri Voronkov 000 -1 10.01 0015:00
21 Isac Lundeström 000 0 10.00 1011:00
21 Zachary Aston-Reese 000 0 30.17 4009:49
Defense
9 Ivan Provorov 000 -1 20.04 0425:08
8 Zach Werenski 101 -1 50.24 1124:10
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 +1 20.03 0121:07
78 Damon Severson 011 +1 40.10 0020:24
15 Dante Fabbro 000 -2 30.04 2114:29
2 Jake Christiansen 000 -2 10.01 0014:01
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Elvis Merzlikins 30525 .833 2.67 -2.33

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
81 Kyle Connor 112 +1 40.10 0017:45
55 Mark Scheifele 033 +2 20.04 0017:41
19 Jonathan Toews 000 -1 20.14 0017:34
91 Cole Perfetti 000 -1 50.18 0017:28
7 Vladislav Namestnikov 000 -1 60.51 2117:09
13 Gabriel Vilardi 000 +1 00.00 0015:51
62 Nino Niederreiter 022 +1 20.12 0014:14
36 Morgan Barron 000 0 10.06 2113:15
9 Alex Iafallo 000 +1 20.30 0213:00
17 Adam Lowry 101 +1 30.27 0012:44
14 Gustav Nyquist 011 +1 40.32 0012:18
70 Tanner Pearson 000 +1 30.13 2011:37
Defense
44 Josh Morrissey 112 +1 30.13 0322:14
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 +1 40.09 2221:54
4 Neal Pionk 112 0 40.14 2020:16
54 Dylan Samberg 000 0 60.04 1518:47
8 Logan Stanley 101 +1 50.07 1117:48
2 Luke Schenn 011 +1 40.02 4316:25
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Eric Comrie 22220 .909 2.28 +0.28

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
8 Zach Werenski D +1.40 +0.75 +0.15 +0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 24:10
78 Damon Severson D +0.90 +0.70 +0.07 +0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:24
4 Cole Sillinger C +0.89 +0.70 +0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.01 +0.04 — 18:01
11 Miles Wood L +0.82 +0.75 +0.27 -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:54
3 Charlie Coyle C +0.76 +0.55 +0.05 +0.04 +0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 17:10
19 Adam Fantilli C +0.34 0.00 +0.21 +0.10 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 16:13
86 Kirill Marchenko R +0.13 0.00 +0.04 +0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:34
24 Mathieu Olivier R +0.13 0.00 +0.10 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 17:05
91 Kent Johnson C +0.02 0.00 +0.15 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:11
27 Zachary Aston-Reese L -0.03 0.00 +0.11 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:49
9 Ivan Provorov D -0.04 0.00 +0.02 -0.09 -0.15 0.00 +0.18 — 25:08
23 Sean Monahan C -0.12 0.00 +0.08 -0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 16:25
10 Dmitri Voronkov L -0.27 0.00 +0.01 -0.27 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 15:00
5 Denton Mateychuk D -0.34 0.00 +0.02 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 21:07
2 Jake Christiansen D -0.39 0.00 +0.01 -0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:01
21 Isac Lundeström C -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.54 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 11:00
65 Luca Del Bel Belluz C -0.68 0.00 0.00 -0.51 -0.15 -0.04 +0.02 — 9:39
15 Dante Fabbro D -0.86 0.00 +0.02 -0.93 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:29
90 Elvis Merzlikins G -1.78 +0.55 — — 0.00 — — -2.33 60:00

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
55 Mark Scheifele C +2.17 +2.10 +0.03 +0.01 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 17:41
4 Neal Pionk D +1.76 +1.30 +0.09 +0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 20:16
62 Nino Niederreiter R +1.56 +1.25 +0.08 +0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:14
17 Adam Lowry C +1.53 +0.75 +0.18 +0.65 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 12:44
44 Josh Morrissey D +1.43 +1.30 +0.09 -0.20 +0.15 0.00 +0.09 — 22:14
14 Gustav Nyquist R +1.41 +0.70 +0.21 +0.49 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 12:18
5 Luke Schenn D +1.29 +0.55 +0.01 +0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 16:25
64 Logan Stanley D +1.20 +0.75 +0.05 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:48
81 Kyle Connor L +1.11 +1.30 +0.07 -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:45
9 Alex Iafallo L +0.58 0.00 +0.20 +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:00
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C +0.55 0.00 +0.33 +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:09
70 Tanner Pearson L +0.51 0.00 +0.09 +0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:37
54 Dylan Samberg D +0.50 0.00 +0.03 +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 18:47
1 Eric Comrie G +0.28 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.28 60:00
91 Cole Perfetti C +0.14 0.00 +0.12 +0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:28
19 Jonathan Toews C +0.13 0.00 +0.09 -0.01 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 17:34
2 Dylan DeMelo D -0.03 0.00 +0.06 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:54
36 Morgan Barron C -0.08 0.00 +0.04 -0.07 -0.15 +0.03 +0.07 — 13:15
13 Gabriel Vilardi C -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.25 +0.15 -0.01 -0.04 — 15:51

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.