| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | |
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:05 | Ryan Donato (7) Louis Crevier (8), Oliver Moore (3) · wrist xG 0.11 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 15:11 | Connor Bedard (11) Sam Rinzel (3) · backhand xG 0.16 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 19:32 | Matt Coronato (6)PP Nazem Kadri (8), Rasmus Andersson (5) · wrist xG 0.14 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 3:02 | Rasmus Andersson (4) Mikael Backlund (7), Adam Klapka (3) · wrist xG 0.05 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 4:57 | Connor Bedard (12) Ryan Greene (3), Andre Burakovsky (8) · snap xG 0.12 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 13:04 | Oliver Moore (2) Frank Nazar (8) · poke xG 0.24 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 19:19 | Connor Bedard (13)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.39 | 2–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CGY | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | Expected goals | 2.74 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.14 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.74 |
| 49 | Shot attempts | 50 |
| 35 | Unblocked attempts | 34 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:04 | CGY | Goalie | Goalie · Wolf −2.0 goals saved
4 goals on 1.97 xG, 20 shots on goal |
| 17:18 | CGY | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Wolf, down 4–2
With 2:42 left; CHI scored at 19:19 of the 3rd (2–5) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Jonathan Huberdeau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 21:33 |
| 91 | Nazem Kadri | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 | 0.15 | 3 | 1 | 19:31 |
| 27 | Matt Coronato | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 18:51 |
| 11 | Mikael Backlund | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 18:17 |
| 47 | Connor Zary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 15:17 |
| 20 | Blake Coleman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 15:00 |
| 43 | Adam Klapka | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.04 | 11 | 0 | 14:48 |
| 16 | Morgan Frost | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 |
| 17 | Yegor Sharangovich | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 |
| 86 | Joel Farabee | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 11:04 |
| 94 | Ryan Lomberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 3 | 0 | 09:44 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 4 | Rasmus Andersson | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 6 | 0.13 | 1 | 3 | 24:13 |
| 52 | MacKenzie Weegar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.14 | 3 | 1 | 24:09 |
| 7 | Kevin Bahl | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 19:07 |
| 37 | Yan Kuznetsov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.06 | 2 | 3 | 18:08 |
| 24 | Jake Bean | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 14:12 |
| 94 | Brayden Pachal | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 12:30 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | 22 | 4 | 18 | .818 | 2.35 | -1.65 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 20:37 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 20:24 |
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 8 | 0.84 | 1 | 0 | 20:01 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 19:48 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.22 | 0 | 1 | 19:24 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 18:09 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 17:04 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 4 | 2 | 14:34 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 13:48 |
| 18 | Sam Lafferty | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 08:52 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 06:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 22:41 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 16:29 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 15:04 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 1 | 1 | 14:46 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 13:37 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arvid Soderblom | 21 | 2 | 19 | .905 | 1.80 | -0.20 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Rasmus Andersson D | +1.14 | +1.30 | +0.09 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 24:13 |
| 11 Mikael Backlund C | +1.01 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 18:17 |
| 27 Matt Coronato R | +0.78 | +0.75 | +0.19 | -0.32 | +0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:51 |
| 43 Adam Klapka R | +0.64 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:48 |
| 45 Sam Morton C | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 | — | 11:05 |
| 70 Ryan Lomberg L | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:44 |
| 91 Nazem Kadri C | +0.28 | +0.70 | +0.10 | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 19:31 |
| 47 Connor Zary C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.09 | +0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 15:17 |
| 20 Blake Coleman L | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:00 |
| 52 MacKenzie Weegar D | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:09 |
| 7 Kevin Bahl D | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:07 |
| 24 Jake Bean D | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.36 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 14:12 |
| 37 Yan Kuznetsov D | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 18:08 |
| 94 Brayden Pachal D | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:30 |
| 10 Jonathan Huberdeau L | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.52 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 21:33 |
| 16 Morgan Frost C | -0.86 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.97 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 13:48 |
| 86 Joel Farabee L | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:04 |
| 17 Yegor Sharangovich C | -0.97 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.91 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:44 |
| 32 Dustin Wolf G | -1.65 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.65 | 57:59 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +3.27 | +2.25 | +0.55 | +0.56 | -0.15 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 20:01 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | +2.21 | +1.30 | +0.16 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 13:48 |
| 6 Sam Rinzel D | +1.61 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 14:16 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | +1.27 | +0.55 | +0.14 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 19:24 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +1.18 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.31 | +0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 19:48 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | +1.05 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.32 | 0.00 | -0.08 | -0.01 | — | 20:24 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | +0.95 | +0.75 | +0.17 | +0.08 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.02 | — | 17:04 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | +0.79 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:37 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.89 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:29 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.48 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.08 | — | 14:34 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 20:37 |
| 24 Sam Lafferty C | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:52 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:04 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:41 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:46 |
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:31 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.27 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:09 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:46 |
| 40 Arvid Soderblom G | -0.20 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.20 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.