Calgary FlamesCGY 2–5 Final Chicago BlackhawksCHI

Tuesday, November 18, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Calgary FlamesCGY 011 2 21
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 113 5 23

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
15:05 CHI Ryan Donato (7) Louis Crevier (8), Oliver Moore (3) · wrist xG 0.11 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
15:11 CHI Connor Bedard (11) Sam Rinzel (3) · backhand xG 0.16 0–2 ▶
19:32 CGY Matt Coronato (6)PP Nazem Kadri (8), Rasmus Andersson (5) · wrist xG 0.14 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
3:02 CGY Rasmus Andersson (4) Mikael Backlund (7), Adam Klapka (3) · wrist xG 0.05 2–2 ▶
4:57 CHI Connor Bedard (12) Ryan Greene (3), Andre Burakovsky (8) · snap xG 0.12 2–3 ▶
13:04 CHI Oliver Moore (2) Frank Nazar (8) · poke xG 0.24 2–4 ▶
19:19 CHI Connor Bedard (13)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.39 2–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CGY 39%Deserve to win61% CHI
CGYCHI
1.80Expected goals2.74
2Goals (no shootout)5
1.14Expected goals, 5 on 51.74
49Shot attempts50
35Unblocked attempts34
21Shots on goal23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
13:04 CGY Goalie Goalie · Wolf −2.0 goals saved
4 goals on 1.97 xG, 20 shots on goal
17:18 CGY Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Wolf, down 4–2
With 2:42 left; CHI scored at 19:19 of the 3rd (2–5)

Shot map

CGY shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CHI shoots
Alex Vlasic: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:01) Brayden Pachal: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:41) Ryan Lomberg: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:42) Sam Morton: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 2:44) Connor Bedard: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:22) Connor Murphy: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 4:52) Ryan Donato: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 5:16) Sam Morton: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:38) Connor Zary: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:01) Landon Slaggert: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:10) Matt Grzelcyk: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:19) Matt Grzelcyk: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:38) Louis Crevier: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:51) Alex Vlasic: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:56) Adam Klapka: wrist, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:21) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:03) MacKenzie Weegar: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:15) Frank Nazar: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:19) Sam Rinzel: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:39) Joel Farabee: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:41) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:13) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 18:17) MacKenzie Weegar: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:18) Yan Kuznetsov: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:25) Morgan Frost: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:27) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 0:39) Alex Vlasic: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:34) Jonathan Huberdeau: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:31) Landon Slaggert: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:42) Sam Rinzel: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:49) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:47) Yegor Sharangovich: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 5:51) Louis Crevier: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:53) Connor Bedard: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:03) Teuvo Teravainen: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:46) Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:16) Connor Bedard: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:00) Connor Bedard: backhand, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:27) Ryan Lomberg: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:38) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:07) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:59) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:21) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:53) Frank Nazar: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:07) Matt Grzelcyk: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:20) Matt Coronato: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:45) Morgan Frost: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:54) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:15) Adam Klapka: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:44) Brayden Pachal: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:11) Matt Coronato: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 9:26) Frank Nazar: poke, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 9:57) Connor Zary: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:15) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:24) Connor Zary: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:19) Nazem Kadri: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:50) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 16:10) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:45) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:24) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 91 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:44) Morgan Frost: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 18:53) Colton Dach: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 19:33) Ryan Donato: GOAL, wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 15:05) Connor Bedard: GOAL, backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 15:11) Matt Coronato: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:32) Rasmus Andersson: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:02) Connor Bedard: GOAL, snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 4:57) Oliver Moore: GOAL, poke, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 13:04) Connor Bedard: GOAL, wrist, 156 ft, xG 0.39 (P3 19:19)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 Jonathan Huberdeau 000 -2 30.04 1021:33
91 Nazem Kadri 011 -3 40.15 3119:31
27 Matt Coronato 101 -2 30.30 0018:51
11 Mikael Backlund 011 +1 40.05 1018:17
47 Connor Zary 000 0 30.08 2015:17
20 Blake Coleman 000 0 10.00 5115:00
43 Adam Klapka 011 -1 20.04 11014:48
16 Morgan Frost 000 -3 30.24 0013:48
17 Yegor Sharangovich 000 -3 10.19 0012:44
86 Joel Farabee 000 -2 10.02 0011:04
94 Ryan Lomberg 000 +1 20.08 3009:44
Defense
4 Rasmus Andersson 112 -1 60.13 1324:13
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 -2 60.14 3124:09
7 Kevin Bahl 000 -1 20.00 4219:07
37 Yan Kuznetsov 000 -1 10.06 2318:08
24 Jake Bean 000 -1 00.00 0314:12
94 Brayden Pachal 000 -1 40.01 2112:30
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dustin Wolf 22418 .818 2.35 -1.65

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Teuvo Teravainen 000 +2 20.03 0020:37
91 Frank Nazar 011 +1 30.18 0120:24
98 Connor Bedard 303 +2 80.84 1020:01
20 Ryan Greene 011 +1 10.00 3019:48
95 Andre Burakovsky 011 +1 40.22 0119:24
95 Ilya Mikheyev 000 +1 20.22 0018:09
8 Ryan Donato 101 +1 40.26 1017:04
34 Colton Dach 000 0 20.16 4214:34
11 Oliver Moore 112 +2 20.24 0113:48
18 Sam Lafferty 000 +1 10.00 0008:52
84 Landon Slaggert 000 0 20.15 2006:31
Defense
72 Alex Vlasic 000 0 50.04 1122:41
55 Artyom Levshunov 000 0 30.05 0117:46
44 Wyatt Kaiser 000 +3 00.00 0116:29
24 Matt Grzelcyk 000 +1 30.06 0215:04
5 Connor Murphy 000 0 10.14 1114:46
46 Louis Crevier 011 +2 30.03 0013:37
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arvid Soderblom 21219 .905 1.80 -0.20

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
4 Rasmus Andersson D +1.14 +1.30 +0.09 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 24:13
11 Mikael Backlund C +1.01 +0.70 +0.03 +0.26 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 18:17
27 Matt Coronato R +0.78 +0.75 +0.19 -0.32 +0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 18:51
43 Adam Klapka R +0.64 +0.55 +0.02 +0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:48
45 Sam Morton C +0.44 0.00 +0.17 +0.20 0.00 +0.07 0.00 — 11:05
70 Ryan Lomberg L +0.30 0.00 +0.05 +0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:44
91 Nazem Kadri C +0.28 +0.70 +0.10 -0.60 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 19:31
47 Connor Zary C +0.26 0.00 +0.05 +0.09 +0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 15:17
20 Blake Coleman L +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:00
52 MacKenzie Weegar D -0.15 0.00 +0.09 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:09
7 Kevin Bahl D -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.21 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 19:07
24 Jake Bean D -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.36 -0.15 0.00 +0.17 — 14:12
37 Yan Kuznetsov D -0.37 0.00 +0.04 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 18:08
94 Brayden Pachal D -0.38 0.00 +0.01 -0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:30
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L -0.51 0.00 +0.03 -0.52 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 21:33
16 Morgan Frost C -0.86 0.00 +0.16 -0.97 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 13:48
86 Joel Farabee L -0.89 0.00 +0.02 -0.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:04
17 Yegor Sharangovich C -0.97 0.00 +0.13 -0.91 -0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 12:44
32 Dustin Wolf G -1.65 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.65 57:59

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
98 Connor Bedard C +3.27 +2.25 +0.55 +0.56 -0.15 +0.06 0.00 — 20:01
11 Oliver Moore C +2.21 +1.30 +0.16 +0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 13:48
6 Sam Rinzel D +1.61 +0.70 +0.07 +0.93 0.00 0.00 -0.08 — 14:16
28 Andre Burakovsky L +1.27 +0.55 +0.14 +0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 19:24
20 Ryan Greene C +1.18 +0.70 0.00 +0.31 +0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 19:48
91 Frank Nazar C +1.05 +0.70 +0.11 +0.32 0.00 -0.08 -0.01 — 20:24
8 Ryan Donato C +0.95 +0.75 +0.17 +0.08 0.00 -0.07 +0.02 — 17:04
46 Louis Crevier D +0.79 +0.70 +0.02 +0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:37
44 Wyatt Kaiser D +0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.89 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 16:29
34 Colton Dach C +0.62 0.00 +0.11 +0.48 0.00 -0.05 +0.08 — 14:34
86 Teuvo Teravainen C +0.34 0.00 +0.02 +0.31 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 20:37
24 Sam Lafferty C +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.28 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 8:52
48 Matt Grzelcyk D +0.21 0.00 +0.04 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:04
72 Alex Vlasic D +0.20 0.00 +0.03 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:41
5 Connor Murphy D +0.17 0.00 +0.09 +0.17 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 14:46
84 Landon Slaggert L +0.07 0.00 +0.10 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:31
95 Ilya Mikheyev R +0.02 0.00 +0.14 -0.27 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:09
55 Artyom Levshunov D -0.03 0.00 +0.03 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:46
40 Arvid Soderblom G -0.20 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.20 60:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.