| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:40 | Braeden Bowman (2)PP Tomas Hertl (8), Mitch Marner (17) · wrist xG 0.19 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:23 | Ben Hutton (1) Pavel Dorofeyev (4), Tomas Hertl (9) · wrist xG 0.07 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 8:56 | Jonny Brodzinski (2) Will Cuylle (6) · snap xG 0.35 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:18 | Shea Theodore (2)PP Noah Hanifin (3), Colton Sissons (2) · snap xG 0.04 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 17:17 | Vincent Trocheck (3) Artemi Panarin (14), J.T. Miller (6) · tip-in xG 0.13 | 2–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.24 | Expected goals | 2.79 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.52 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.46 |
| 56 | Shot attempts | 59 |
| 35 | Unblocked attempts | 40 |
| 19 | Shots on goal | 26 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:56 | NYR | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Shesterkin, down 3–1
With 3:04 left; NYR scored at 17:17 of the 3rd (2–3) |
| 17:59 | NYR | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Shesterkin, down 3–2
With 2:01 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 2 | 2 | 20:49 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 20:21 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 20:14 |
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.37 | 5 | 0 | 19:52 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.43 | 4 | 0 | 18:57 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.27 | 2 | 1 | 16:27 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.47 | 0 | 0 | 16:13 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 15:22 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 13:22 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 08:43 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 07:36 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 23 | Adam Fox | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.07 | 3 | 1 | 26:25 |
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 22:35 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 18:03 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 3 | 4 | 17:05 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 16:58 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 14:23 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 26 | 3 | 23 | .885 | 2.38 | -0.62 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Jack Eichel | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 19:52 |
| 49 | Ivan Barbashev | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 18:43 |
| 93 | Mitch Marner | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 3 | 18:07 |
| 42 | Braeden Bowman | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.19 | 1 | 2 | 17:02 |
| 21 | Brett Howden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 1 | 15:11 |
| 19 | Reilly Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 15:03 |
| 48 | Tomas Hertl | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.11 | 4 | 1 | 15:01 |
| 16 | Pavel Dorofeyev | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.50 | 0 | 1 | 14:57 |
| 20 | Brandon Saad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.52 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 |
| 15 | Colton Sissons | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 11:38 |
| 55 | Keegan Kolesar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 10:36 |
| 29 | Cole Reinhardt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 10:28 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Brayden McNabb | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 4 | 4 | 23:52 |
| 27 | Shea Theodore | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 22:49 |
| 15 | Noah Hanifin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 19:48 |
| 28 | Zach Whitecloud | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 19:05 |
| 6 | Kaedan Korczak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 15:54 |
| 17 | Ben Hutton | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 15:32 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid | 19 | 2 | 17 | .895 | 2.24 | +0.24 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | +1.61 | +0.75 | +0.31 | +0.56 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:13 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +1.08 | +0.70 | +0.28 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:57 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +0.91 | +0.75 | +0.24 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 19:52 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +0.63 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 20:14 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:58 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.50 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:03 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.03 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 16:27 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +0.38 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.15 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:21 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 22:35 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 15:22 |
| 23 Adam Fox D | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 26:25 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.08 | — | 20:49 |
| 71 Juuso Parssinen C | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:48 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 8:43 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 7:36 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 13:22 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 17:05 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:23 |
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | -0.62 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.62 | 57:38 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Tomas Hertl C | +1.35 | +1.25 | +0.07 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.07 | — | 15:01 |
| 19 Reilly Smith R | +1.17 | 0.00 | +0.34 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:03 |
| 20 Brandon Saad L | +1.14 | 0.00 | +0.34 | +0.74 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 14:34 |
| 17 Ben Hutton D | +1.10 | +0.75 | +0.05 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:32 |
| 16 Pavel Dorofeyev R | +1.07 | +0.70 | +0.33 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:57 |
| 27 Shea Theodore D | +0.89 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 22:49 |
| 93 Mitch Marner R | +0.88 | +0.55 | +0.07 | -0.01 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.13 | — | 18:07 |
| 21 Brett Howden C | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.03 | — | 15:11 |
| 6 Kaedan Korczak D | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.70 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 15:54 |
| 15 Noah Hanifin D | +0.56 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:48 |
| 10 Colton Sissons C | +0.50 | +0.55 | +0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:38 |
| 42 Braeden Bowman R | +0.33 | +0.75 | +0.13 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:02 |
| 40 Akira Schmid G | +0.24 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.24 | 59:48 |
| 3 Brayden McNabb D | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 23:52 |
| 23 Cole Reinhardt L | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:28 |
| 55 Keegan Kolesar R | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:36 |
| 9 Jack Eichel C | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.48 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 19:52 |
| 49 Ivan Barbashev L | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:43 |
| 2 Zach Whitecloud D | -1.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 19:05 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.