Tuesday, November 18, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
UTA 64%Deserve to win 36% SJS
UTA SJS
2.46 Expected goals 1.74
2 Goals (no shootout) 3
2.15 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.31
58 Shot attempts 41
37 Unblocked attempts 29
26 Shots on goal 22
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
4:17
SJS
Goalie
Goalie · Askarov +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 15 shots on goal
Shot map
UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → SJS shoots
Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:53)
Adam Gaudette: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:59)
Ian Cole: slap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:04)
Barrett Hayton: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:01)
Barrett Hayton: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.29 (P1 5:04)
Logan Cooley: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 5:45)
William Eklund: slap, 23 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 8:52)
John Marino: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:09)
John Marino: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 13:09)
Michael Carcone: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 14:08)
Kailer Yamamoto: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:18)
Collin Graf: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 16:18)
William Eklund: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 16:19)
Vincent Desharnais: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:34)
Dylan Guenther: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:08)
Mario Ferraro: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:03)
Mikhail Sergachev: tip-in, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:39)
Shakir Mukhamadullin: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:23)
Nick DeSimone: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:49)
Michael Carcone: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:56)
Mikhail Sergachev: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 4:38)
Dylan Guenther: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:47)
Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:41)
Dylan Guenther: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 6:59)
Clayton Keller: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 8:13)
Dmitry Orlov: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:09)
Dmitry Orlov: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:26)
Nick Leddy: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:29)
Zack Ostapchuk: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 9:49)
Zack Ostapchuk: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:50)
Vincent Desharnais: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:18)
Sam Dickinson: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 10:41)
Dylan Guenther: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:44)
Clayton Keller: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:04)
Barclay Goodrow: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:00)
Zack Ostapchuk: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 15:02)
Clayton Keller: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:13)
Clayton Keller: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 16:18)
Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:24)
Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:29)
Kevin Stenlund: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:05)
Dylan Guenther: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:26)
Collin Graf: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:59)
Shakir Mukhamadullin: backhand, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:09)
Tyler Toffoli: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 3:15)
Nate Schmidt: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:17)
Michael Carcone: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:34)
Mikhail Sergachev: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:45)
Mikhail Sergachev: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:59)
Dmitry Orlov: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:25)
Nate Schmidt: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:20)
Nick DeSimone: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:18)
Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:19)
Michael Carcone: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:50)
Michael Carcone: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:52)
Vincent Desharnais: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:26)
Dylan Guenther: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:43)
Nick DeSimone: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:59)
Kevin Stenlund: backhand, 94 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:27)
Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 0:45)
Macklin Celebrini: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 2:28)
Macklin Celebrini: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:47)
Macklin Celebrini: GOAL, wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 5:58)
JJ Peterka: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 9:25)
JJ Peterka: GOAL, snap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:09)
Macklin Celebrini: GOAL, wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 2:52)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Utah Mammoth
San Jose Sharks
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Utah Mammoth
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
77 JJ Peterka R
+1.76
+1.50
+0.13
+0.32
-0.15
0.00
-0.04
—
13:57
88 Nate Schmidt D
+1.30
+0.70
+0.07
+0.45
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
21:55
92 Logan Cooley C
+1.21
+0.55
+0.09
+0.60
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
18:23
67 Lawson Crouse L
+1.16
+0.70
0.00
+0.39
0.00
+0.02
+0.05
—
14:26
57 Nick DeSimone D
+1.00
0.00
+0.03
+0.95
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
16:37
2 Olli Maatta D
+0.64
0.00
0.00
+0.57
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
12:06
9 Clayton Keller R
+0.60
0.00
+0.23
+0.33
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:56
11 Dylan Guenther R
+0.59
0.00
+0.28
+0.31
0.00
-0.01
+0.01
—
19:45
6 John Marino D
+0.43
0.00
+0.15
+0.23
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
21:14
53 Michael Carcone L
+0.36
0.00
+0.18
+0.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:34
56 Kailer Yamamoto R
+0.25
0.00
+0.04
+0.06
+0.15
0.00
0.00
—
13:06
27 Barrett Hayton C
+0.23
0.00
+0.20
+0.07
0.00
-0.02
-0.02
—
14:28
82 Kevin Stenlund C
+0.21
0.00
+0.02
+0.24
0.00
-0.04
-0.02
—
17:29
13 Brandon Tanev L
+0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.21
0.00
-0.02
0.00
—
8:05
8 Nick Schmaltz C
+0.09
0.00
+0.05
+0.05
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
19:27
22 Jack McBain C
+0.07
0.00
0.00
+0.02
0.00
+0.02
+0.03
—
11:58
98 Mikhail Sergachev D
0.00
0.00
+0.12
-0.19
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
27:32
28 Ian Cole D
-0.26
0.00
0.00
-0.16
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
20:38
41 Vitek Vanecek G
-1.26
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-1.26
62:52
San Jose Sharks
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.