hockeystats.io

Carolina HurricanesCAR 3–4 Final/SO Minnesota WildMIN

Wednesday, November 19, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Carolina HurricanesCAR 01200 3 45
Minnesota WildMIN 20101 4 19

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:54 MIN Brock Faber (4) Mats Zuccarello (5), Danila Yurov (2) · tip-in xG 0.05 0–1 ▶
11:46 MIN Matt Boldy (11)SH Unassisted · wrist xG 0.08 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
14:03 CAR Jackson Blake (5) Sean Walker (4), Logan Stankoven (6) · tip-in xG 0.09 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
0:15 MIN Mats Zuccarello (1) Kirill Kaprizov (13), Danila Yurov (3) · wrist xG 0.15 1–3 ▶
6:34 CAR Sebastian Aho (8) Andrei Svechnikov (5), Seth Jarvis (7) · wrist xG 0.07 2–3 ▶
18:54 CAR Jackson Blake (6) Nikolaj Ehlers (9), Shayne Gostisbehere (12) · tip-in xG 0.12 3–3 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
MIN Mats Zuccarello vs Frederik Andersen Saved
CAR Seth Jarvis vs Jesper Wallstedt Saved
MIN Kirill Kaprizov vs Frederik Andersen Saved
CAR Andrei Svechnikov vs Jesper Wallstedt Saved
MIN Matt Boldy vs Frederik Andersen Goal
CAR Taylor Hall vs Jesper Wallstedt Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CAR 84%Deserve to win16% MIN
CARMIN
3.81Expected goals1.60
3Goals (no shootout)3
2.91Expected goals, 5 on 51.43
95Shot attempts33
67Unblocked attempts27
45Shots on goal19

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
2:17 CAR Deserve to win Deserve to win · CAR takes the lead, 61–39%
MIN had led since 4:16 of the 1st, by as much as 63%
3rd Period
18:09 CAR Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Andersen, down 3–2
With 1:51 left; CAR scored at 18:54 of the 3rd (3–3)

Shot map

CAR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
Jordan Martinook: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:21) Joel Nystrom: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:32) Marcus Johansson: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 1:04) Taylor Hall: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 2:51) Joel Eriksson Ek: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 4:16) Danila Yurov: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:08) Danila Yurov: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:09) Mike Reilly: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:45) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 5:49) Shayne Gostisbehere: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:09) Jonas Brodin: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:48) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 9:02) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 10:34) K'Andre Miller: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:55) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:08) Jordan Martinook: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:07) K'Andre Miller: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:10) William Carrier: tip-in, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:21) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:08) Joel Nystrom: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:54) Liam Ohgren: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:08) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:38) Sebastian Aho: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:46) Mike Reilly: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:28) Eric Robinson: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:53) Taylor Hall: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 15:55) Sean Walker: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:58) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:33) Matt Boldy: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:40) Jake Middleton: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:41) Sebastian Aho: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:58) Sean Walker: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:15) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:14) Logan Stankoven: deflected, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:38) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 2:17) William Carrier: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:53) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:56) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:01) Marcus Johansson: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:07) Brock Faber: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:28) Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:34) Sean Walker: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:37) Shayne Gostisbehere: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:40) Jordan Martinook: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:27) Joel Nystrom: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:08) Jordan Martinook: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:14) Jordan Martinook: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:22) Mark Jankowski: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:43) Jordan Martinook: wrist, 99 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:20) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:22) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 9:44) Mike Reilly: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:18) Jackson Blake: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 10:31) Sean Walker: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 10:41) Shayne Gostisbehere: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 10:55) William Carrier: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:12) Yakov Trenin: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:06) William Carrier: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:16) Jordan Staal: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 16:25) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:03) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:05) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:21) Andrei Svechnikov: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:54) Joel Eriksson Ek: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:03) Sean Walker: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:39) Sean Walker: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:31) Sebastian Aho: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:34) Sean Walker: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:48) Logan Stankoven: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 5:40) Shayne Gostisbehere: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 5:45) Shayne Gostisbehere: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:55) Andrei Svechnikov: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:12) Yakov Trenin: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 7:15) Jake Middleton: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:23) Marcus Foligno: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 7:33) Joel Nystrom: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:18) Sean Walker: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:25) Joel Nystrom: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:01) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:27) Sebastian Aho: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:42) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:27) K'Andre Miller: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:51) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:41) Jordan Staal: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 19:29) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 1:33) Jackson Blake: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 2:24) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 4:00) Jackson Blake: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 4:06) Brock Faber: GOAL, tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:54) Matt Boldy: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:46) Jackson Blake: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:03) Mats Zuccarello: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 0:15) Sebastian Aho: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:34) Jackson Blake: GOAL, tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:54)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
24 Seth Jarvis 011 0 20.10 0119:54
53 Jackson Blake 202 +1 80.63 0019:43
22 Logan Stankoven 011 +1 80.81 0018:44
20 Sebastian Aho 101 0 50.24 1018:25
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 011 0 60.18 0018:18
71 Taylor Hall 000 +1 40.21 2116:36
37 Andrei Svechnikov 011 0 70.21 1016:01
11 Jordan Staal 000 -1 30.27 1013:33
48 Jordan Martinook 000 -1 60.16 0013:11
28 William Carrier 000 -1 50.20 2012:33
50 Eric Robinson 000 0 10.04 3012:21
77 Mark Jankowski 000 0 10.06 0011:29
Defense
26 Sean Walker 011 +1 130.33 1024:40
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 011 0 90.14 0223:53
19 K'Andre Miller 000 +1 40.06 1023:02
64 Joel Nystrom 000 +1 70.08 0020:31
21 Alexander Nikishin 000 -1 10.00 0016:00
6 Mike Reilly 000 -1 50.09 0014:51
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Frederik Andersen 19316 .842 1.60 -1.40

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 011 +1 40.08 0221:37
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 000 -1 30.15 2020:22
12 Matt Boldy 101 0 30.11 0119:46
36 Mats Zuccarello 112 +1 30.26 0018:59
13 Yakov Trenin 000 -1 20.13 4216:31
17 Marcus Foligno 000 -1 10.12 4215:17
90 Marcus Johansson 000 0 50.47 0015:04
22 Danila Yurov 022 +1 20.08 0014:20
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 0 00.00 0112:46
92 Liam Ohgren 000 0 10.02 2310:37
19 Tyler Pitlick 000 0 00.00 2009:46
Defense
7 Brock Faber 101 +1 20.09 0325:45
25 Jonas Brodin 000 0 10.02 1124:25
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 0 10.00 2421:01
55 Jake Middleton 000 0 20.06 0120:20
8 Zeev Buium 000 0 10.00 0018:09
48 Daemon Hunt 000 -1 10.00 1413:46
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jesper Wallstedt 45342 .933 3.81 +0.81

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
53 Jackson Blake R +3.10 +1.50 +0.41 +1.06 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:43
22 Logan Stankoven C +2.46 +0.55 +0.53 +1.23 +0.15 +0.02 -0.02 — 18:44
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D +1.63 +0.55 +0.09 +0.95 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 23:53
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +1.61 +0.70 +0.12 +0.87 0.00 0.00 -0.08 — 18:18
26 Sean Walker D +1.22 +0.70 +0.21 +0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 24:40
37 Andrei Svechnikov R +0.91 +0.70 +0.14 +0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:01
19 K'Andre Miller D +0.90 0.00 +0.04 +0.90 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 23:02
20 Sebastian Aho C +0.82 +0.75 +0.16 -0.03 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 18:25
64 Joel Nystrom D +0.71 0.00 +0.05 +0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:31
71 Taylor Hall L +0.61 0.00 +0.14 +0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:36
24 Seth Jarvis C +0.61 +0.55 +0.07 -0.03 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 19:54
11 Jordan Staal C +0.56 0.00 +0.18 +0.30 0.00 +0.10 -0.02 — 13:33
48 Jordan Martinook L +0.40 0.00 +0.10 +0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:11
28 William Carrier L +0.40 0.00 +0.13 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:33
50 Eric Robinson L +0.33 0.00 +0.03 +0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:21
6 Mike Reilly D +0.18 0.00 +0.06 +0.27 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:51
77 Mark Jankowski L +0.17 0.00 +0.04 +0.13 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 11:29
21 Alexander Nikishin D +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:00
31 Frederik Andersen G -1.40 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.40 64:15

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
36 Mats Zuccarello R +0.86 +1.45 +0.17 -0.61 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:59
30 Jesper Wallstedt G +0.81 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.81 65:00
7 Brock Faber D +0.76 +0.75 +0.06 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 25:45
22 Danila Yurov R +0.66 +1.10 +0.05 -0.49 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 14:20
12 Matt Boldy L +0.62 +0.75 +0.07 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:46
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +0.38 +0.70 +0.05 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:37
46 Jared Spurgeon D +0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 21:01
39 Ben Jones C +0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 12:29
19 Tyler Pitlick C -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:46
90 Marcus Johansson L -0.11 0.00 +0.30 -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:04
5 Jake Middleton D -0.17 0.00 +0.04 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:20
25 Jonas Brodin D -0.20 0.00 +0.02 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:25
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C -0.24 0.00 +0.10 -0.38 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 20:22
28 Liam Ohgren L -0.26 0.00 +0.02 -0.41 0.00 +0.02 +0.11 — 10:37
17 Marcus Foligno L -0.34 0.00 +0.08 -0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 15:17
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C -0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 -0.01 +0.07 — 12:46
13 Yakov Trenin C -0.51 0.00 +0.08 -0.76 +0.15 -0.06 +0.08 — 16:31
48 Daemon Hunt D -1.16 0.00 0.00 -1.36 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 13:46
8 Zeev Buium D -1.27 0.00 0.00 -1.10 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 18:09

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.