hockeystats.io

Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 3–2 Final/OT Toronto Maple LeafsTOR

Thursday, November 20, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 0201 3 30
Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 0110 2 29

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
3:17 CBJ Dmitri Voronkov (9) Adam Fantilli (8), Zach Werenski (11) · deflected xG 0.24 1–0 ▶
12:01 CBJ Adam Fantilli (7) Dmitri Voronkov (9), Zach Werenski (12) · wrist xG 0.05 2–0 ▶
14:12 TOR Dakota Mermis (1) John Tavares (15) · wrist xG 0.02 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
3:33 TOR John Tavares (12) Easton Cowan (4), Oliver Ekman-Larsson (13) · wrist xG 0.12 2–2 ▶
Overtime
4:21 CBJ Adam Fantilli (8) Zach Werenski (13) · wrist xG 0.14 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 65%Deserve to win35% TOR
CBJTOR
3.23Expected goals2.42
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.66Expected goals, 5 on 51.22
63Shot attempts72
46Unblocked attempts44
30Shots on goal29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
15:50 TOR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.23–0.14
In xG over 10 minutes, 5:50 to 15:50 of the 1st; neither team scored
3rd Period
11:39 CBJ Deserve to win Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 61–39%
TOR had led since 6:55 of the 1st, by as much as 82%

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ TOR shoots
Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:28) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:24) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:55) William Nylander: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:17) Sean Monahan: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 5:43) Easton Cowan: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 6:16) William Nylander: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:18) John Tavares: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:27) Easton Cowan: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 6:55) Nick Robertson: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:16) Adam Fantilli: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:44) Scott Laughton: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:10) Luca Del Bel Belluz: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:43) Scott Laughton: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:37) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:59) William Nylander: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 13:20) Calle Jarnkrok: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:21) Bobby McMann: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 14:11) John Tavares: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:35) John Tavares: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:36) Scott Laughton: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:35) Jake Christiansen: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:33) Bobby McMann: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:25) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:53) Scott Laughton: backhand, 102 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:35) Zach Werenski: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:17) William Nylander: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 0:49) Easton Cowan: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:45) John Tavares: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:29) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:52) Zach Werenski: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:55) Bobby McMann: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:22) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:24) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:25) Dakota Mermis: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:37) William Nylander: wrist, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:08) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 8:06) Scott Laughton: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:26) Easton Cowan: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:56) Jake Christiansen: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:08) Sean Monahan: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:17) Kent Johnson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:07) Miles Wood: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:16) Zach Werenski: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:28) Ivan Provorov: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:39) John Tavares: tip-in, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:10) Calle Jarnkrok: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:41) Charlie Coyle: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 15:40) Zach Werenski: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:53) Zach Werenski: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:02) Jacob Quillan: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:06) William Nylander: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:20) Zach Werenski: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:57) Adam Fantilli: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 0:23) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 0:25) Miles Wood: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:10) Jake Christiansen: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:13) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:20) Sean Monahan: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:06) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:17) Zach Werenski: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:26) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:28) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:55) Bobby McMann: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:14) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:19) Matias Maccelli: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:23) Sean Monahan: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:36) Sean Monahan: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.69 (P3 11:39) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:18) Matias Maccelli: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:53) Max Domi: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:05) William Nylander: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:12) Max Domi: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:24) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:36) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:43) Zach Werenski: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:46) Scott Laughton: backhand, 177 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:50) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 185 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:51) Isac Lundeström: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 18:41) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:15) Zach Werenski: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 0:36) Kent Johnson: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 1:32) Easton Cowan: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 1:43) John Tavares: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 2:30) Zach Werenski: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.19 (OT 3:25) Dmitri Voronkov: GOAL, deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 3:17) Adam Fantilli: GOAL, wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:01) Dakota Mermis: GOAL, wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:12) John Tavares: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 3:33) Adam Fantilli: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 4:21)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
19 Adam Fantilli 213 +2 40.44 0122:19
23 Sean Monahan 000 0 51.06 2120:11
86 Kirill Marchenko 000 +1 80.36 0219:43
3 Charlie Coyle 000 0 30.12 2117:59
10 Dmitri Voronkov 112 +1 10.24 0017:38
4 Cole Sillinger 000 0 10.00 2016:34
24 Mathieu Olivier 000 0 10.03 4116:03
18 Miles Wood 000 -1 40.11 1014:43
91 Kent Johnson 000 -1 30.14 0012:45
21 Isac Lundeström 000 0 10.11 0312:34
59 Egor Chinakhov 000 0 00.00 1108:49
Defense
9 Ivan Provorov 000 +1 90.11 0428:53
8 Zach Werenski 033 +2 120.43 2128:48
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 -1 10.01 0119:07
78 Damon Severson 000 -1 10.00 1418:43
15 Dante Fabbro 000 0 40.00 0515:11
2 Jake Christiansen 000 0 40.03 0010:04
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jet Greaves 29227 .931 2.42 +0.42

Toronto Maple Leafs

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
88 William Nylander 000 0 120.40 0321:50
91 John Tavares 112 0 100.57 3020:59
53 Easton Cowan 011 +2 60.55 2220:06
21 Scott Laughton 000 0 60.21 2117:22
18 Steven Lorentz 000 0 00.00 3016:27
11 Max Domi 000 -1 30.05 1116:17
14 Nick Robertson 000 -1 20.05 3015:46
74 Bobby McMann 000 -1 50.29 0015:03
19 Calle Jarnkrok 000 -1 30.08 1014:53
63 Matias Maccelli 000 0 20.09 0012:15
81 Dakota Joshua 000 0 00.00 1109:25
26 Jacob Quillan 000 0 10.01 2008:18
Defense
22 Jake McCabe 000 -2 20.00 3225:09
44 Morgan Rielly 000 -1 80.01 0324:43
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson 011 0 30.02 4022:56
44 Simon Benoit 000 0 30.00 1119:55
36 Dakota Mermis 101 +1 30.08 1013:59
28 Troy Stecher 000 +1 30.00 0013:47
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joseph Woll 30327 .900 3.23 +0.23

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
19 Adam Fantilli C +3.08 +2.20 +0.28 +0.60 0.00 -0.03 +0.03 — 22:19
8 Zach Werenski D +3.06 +1.80 +0.28 +0.97 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 28:48
10 Dmitri Voronkov L +2.21 +1.45 +0.16 +0.62 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 17:38
9 Ivan Provorov D +1.06 0.00 +0.07 +0.85 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 28:53
86 Kirill Marchenko R +0.84 0.00 +0.23 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 19:43
23 Sean Monahan C +0.69 0.00 +0.69 +0.05 0.00 -0.10 +0.05 — 20:11
73 Jet Greaves G +0.42 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.42 64:21
15 Dante Fabbro D +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 15:11
91 Kent Johnson C +0.23 0.00 +0.09 +0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:45
21 Isac Lundeström C +0.14 0.00 +0.07 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 12:34
2 Jake Christiansen D +0.12 0.00 +0.02 +0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:04
4 Cole Sillinger C +0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.03 +0.15 -0.02 -0.02 — 16:34
24 Mathieu Olivier R +0.04 0.00 +0.02 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 16:03
11 Miles Wood L -0.12 0.00 +0.07 0.00 -0.15 -0.01 -0.04 — 14:43
3 Charlie Coyle C -0.13 0.00 +0.08 -0.07 -0.15 -0.04 +0.05 — 17:59
65 Luca Del Bel Belluz C -0.15 0.00 +0.02 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 8:59
59 Egor Chinakhov R -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 8:49
78 Damon Severson D -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 18:43
5 Denton Mateychuk D -0.47 0.00 +0.01 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:07

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
53 Easton Cowan R +1.64 +0.70 +0.36 +0.35 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 20:06
91 John Tavares C +1.60 +1.45 +0.37 -0.28 0.00 +0.09 -0.04 — 20:59
36 Dakota Mermis D +1.07 +0.75 +0.05 +0.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:59
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson D +0.75 +0.55 +0.02 +0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 22:56
88 William Nylander R +0.37 0.00 +0.26 -0.05 0.00 +0.01 +0.15 — 21:50
28 Troy Stecher D +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:47
60 Joseph Woll G +0.23 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.23 64:21
24 Scott Laughton C +0.19 0.00 +0.14 -0.06 0.00 +0.08 +0.03 — 17:22
81 Dakota Joshua C +0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.05 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 9:25
11 Max Domi C +0.03 0.00 +0.03 -0.06 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 — 16:17
63 Matias Maccelli L 0.00 0.00 +0.06 +0.11 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 12:15
89 Nick Robertson L -0.13 0.00 +0.03 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:46
18 Steven Lorentz C -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 16:27
26 Jacob Quillan C -0.18 0.00 +0.01 -0.20 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 8:18
44 Morgan Rielly D -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 24:43
74 Bobby McMann C -0.27 0.00 +0.19 -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:03
19 Calle Jarnkrok C -0.42 0.00 +0.05 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:53
2 Simon Benoit D -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:55
22 Jake McCabe D -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 25:09

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.