Thursday, November 20, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
1st Period
12:58
FLA
Sam Reinhart (11)
Gustav Forsling (10)
· wrist xG 0.05
0–1 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
No scoring
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
NJD 33%Deserve to win 67% FLA
NJD FLA
1.86 Expected goals 2.79
0 Goals (no shootout) 1
1.16 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.79
54 Shot attempts 59
40 Unblocked attempts 46
32 Shots on goal 24
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
18:27
NJD
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Allen, down 1–0
With 1:33 left
Shot map
NJD shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → FLA shoots
Brad Marchand: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:09)
Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:38)
Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:05)
Uvis Balinskis: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:37)
Niko Mikkola: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:41)
Noah Gregor: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:12)
Aaron Ekblad: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:42)
Connor Brown: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:20)
Evgenii Dadonov: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:47)
Dougie Hamilton: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:48)
Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:54)
Jesper Bratt: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:08)
Niko Mikkola: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:19)
Sam Reinhart: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:44)
Luke Glendening: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:07)
Dawson Mercer: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:28)
Sam Reinhart: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:37)
Sam Bennett: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 14:07)
A.J. Greer: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 14:48)
Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:00)
Jonas Siegenthaler: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 16:05)
Nico Hischier: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 16:07)
Nico Hischier: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:07)
Simon Nemec: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:16)
Brad Marchand: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 18:08)
Brad Marchand: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 18:46)
Anton Lundell: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:49)
Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:13)
Sam Reinhart: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 19:41)
Sam Reinhart: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:48)
Seth Jones: slap, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:20)
Simon Nemec: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:40)
Anton Lundell: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 2:06)
Dennis Cholowski: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:19)
Carter Verhaeghe: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:41)
Jeff Petry: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:00)
Seth Jones: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:26)
Niko Mikkola: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 3:42)
Brenden Dillon: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:21)
Simon Nemec: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:36)
Uvis Balinskis: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:12)
Timo Meier: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:02)
Noah Gregor: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:37)
Gustav Forsling: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:46)
Gustav Forsling: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:57)
Jack Devine: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:04)
Aaron Ekblad: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:12)
Sam Reinhart: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 8:46)
Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:17)
Sam Bennett: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:47)
Jack Devine: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:05)
Jesper Boqvist: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 11:43)
Sam Reinhart: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 11:55)
Jesper Bratt: backhand, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:24)
Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:25)
Evan Rodrigues: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:35)
Sam Reinhart: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:11)
Simon Nemec: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:26)
Stefan Noesen: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:36)
Stefan Noesen: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:37)
Luke Hughes: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 0:33)
Jonas Siegenthaler: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:15)
Luke Kunin: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:00)
A.J. Greer: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:12)
Seth Jones: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:20)
Jesper Bratt: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:06)
Timo Meier: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:13)
Paul Cotter: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:28)
Luke Glendening: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 9:33)
Seth Jones: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:50)
Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 12:38)
Gustav Forsling: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:10)
Noah Gregor: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:29)
Jesper Bratt: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:47)
A.J. Greer: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 15:19)
Nico Hischier: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:30)
Niko Mikkola: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:59)
Paul Cotter: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:21)
Aaron Ekblad: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:07)
Nico Hischier: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 18:51)
Timo Meier: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:56)
Dawson Mercer: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:02)
Jesper Bratt: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:06)
Jesper Bratt: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:43)
Timo Meier: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 19:59)
Sam Reinhart: GOAL, wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:58)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
New Jersey Devils
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Jake Allen
24 1 23
.958
2.79
+1.79
Florida Panthers
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
New Jersey Devils
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
34 Jake Allen G
+1.79
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.79
58:27
13 Nico Hischier C
+0.31
0.00
+0.30
-0.11
0.00
+0.04
+0.08
—
22:33
11 Stefan Noesen R
+0.16
0.00
+0.10
+0.05
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
11:39
14 Luke Glendening C
+0.14
0.00
+0.10
+0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:08
47 Paul Cotter L
+0.13
0.00
+0.06
-0.08
+0.15
0.00
0.00
—
12:29
63 Jesper Bratt L
+0.01
0.00
+0.09
-0.11
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
20:44
43 Luke Hughes D
-0.16
0.00
+0.05
-0.41
+0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
21:13
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D
-0.25
0.00
+0.04
-0.36
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
18:32
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R
-0.29
0.00
+0.04
-0.36
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
19:04
83 Juho Lammikko C
-0.42
0.00
0.00
-0.42
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
8:20
17 Simon Nemec D
-0.44
0.00
+0.08
-0.47
-0.15
0.00
+0.10
—
25:04
18 Ondrej Palat L
-0.51
0.00
0.00
-0.49
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
10:09
5 Brenden Dillon D
-0.68
0.00
+0.01
-0.69
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:59
33 Evgenii Dadonov L
-0.76
0.00
+0.02
-0.78
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:31
7 Dougie Hamilton D
-0.77
0.00
+0.07
-0.87
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
21:39
28 Timo Meier R
-0.84
0.00
+0.11
-1.06
0.00
+0.01
+0.10
—
20:11
16 Connor Brown R
-1.09
0.00
0.00
-1.06
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
16:30
44 Dennis Cholowski D
-1.13
0.00
+0.04
-1.20
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
15:52
91 Dawson Mercer C
-1.23
0.00
+0.10
-1.34
0.00
-0.01
+0.02
—
21:56
Florida Panthers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
13 Sam Reinhart C
+2.00
+0.75
+0.43
+0.67
+0.15
-0.01
+0.01
—
20:08
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G
+1.86
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.86
59:43
77 Niko Mikkola D
+1.40
0.00
+0.13
+1.25
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
22:21
3 Seth Jones D
+1.31
0.00
+0.03
+1.31
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
23:26
9 Sam Bennett C
+1.26
0.00
+0.12
+1.04
0.00
+0.05
+0.05
—
15:50
10 A.J. Greer L
+1.06
0.00
+0.22
+0.91
-0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
14:45
42 Gustav Forsling D
+0.94
+0.70
+0.03
+0.23
-0.15
0.00
+0.12
—
24:26
70 Jesper Boqvist C
+0.80
0.00
+0.06
+0.72
0.00
+0.01
+0.01
—
14:17
23 Carter Verhaeghe C
+0.74
0.00
+0.04
+0.66
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
14:55
5 Aaron Ekblad D
+0.54
0.00
+0.05
+0.36
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
24:04
18 Noah Gregor L
+0.52
0.00
+0.12
+0.43
0.00
-0.03
0.00
—
9:14
71 Luke Kunin C
+0.50
0.00
+0.02
+0.46
0.00
+0.02
0.00
—
8:45
17 Evan Rodrigues C
+0.42
0.00
+0.14
+0.34
0.00
-0.04
-0.02
—
16:59
2 Jeff Petry D
+0.41
0.00
+0.01
+0.30
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
11:23
26 Uvis Balinskis D
+0.37
0.00
+0.05
+0.32
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
12:19
15 Anton Lundell C
+0.35
0.00
+0.14
+0.26
0.00
-0.04
0.00
—
20:06
11 Mackie Samoskevich R
+0.33
0.00
+0.03
+0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
16:43
63 Brad Marchand L
+0.21
0.00
+0.16
+0.02
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
18:16
38 Jack Devine R
+0.18
0.00
+0.04
+0.14
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
8:20
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.