Thursday, November 20, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
STL 39%Deserve to win 61% PHI
STL PHI
2.39 Expected goals 3.02
2 Goals (no shootout) 3
1.92 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.35
49 Shot attempts 64
35 Unblocked attempts 46
29 Shots on goal 28
Shot map
STL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → PHI shoots
Pavel Buchnevich: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:15)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 1:10)
Christian Dvorak: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 1:16)
Rodrigo Abols: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:37)
Emil Andrae: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:48)
Bobby Brink: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:03)
Travis Konecny: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:42)
Christian Dvorak: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:13)
Brayden Schenn: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:50)
Jake Neighbours: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 6:10)
Travis Sanheim: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:29)
Cam York: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:12)
Noah Cates: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:45)
Bobby Brink: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:02)
Bobby Brink: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:23)
Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:16)
Christian Dvorak: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 13:30)
Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:03)
Rodrigo Abols: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:15)
Garnet Hathaway: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:18)
Nathan Walker: tip-in, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:38)
Owen Tippett: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:55)
Tyson Foerster: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:11)
Travis Konecny: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:51)
Brayden Schenn: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 18:41)
Colton Parayko: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:08)
Philip Broberg: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:04)
Brayden Schenn: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:10)
Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:17)
Matvei Michkov: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:09)
Noah Cates: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:51)
Travis Sanheim: wrist, 179 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:12)
Rodrigo Abols: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:22)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:19)
Nick Seeler: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:35)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:52)
Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:38)
Cam Fowler: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:44)
Brayden Schenn: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:41)
Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 7:29)
Tyson Foerster: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:30)
Brayden Schenn: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:12)
Rodrigo Abols: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:35)
Alexey Toropchenko: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 11:43)
Philip Broberg: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:31)
Dylan Holloway: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:38)
Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:23)
Nick Seeler: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 14:43)
Pavel Buchnevich: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:10)
Justin Faulk: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:15)
Brayden Schenn: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 15:17)
Emil Andrae: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:24)
Emil Andrae: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:28)
Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:59)
Travis Sanheim: wrist, 183 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:26)
Nathan Walker: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 1:40)
Travis Sanheim: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:10)
Tyler Tucker: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:43)
Trevor Zegras: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 7:09)
Trevor Zegras: slap, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:15)
Rodrigo Abols: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:35)
Pius Suter: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:07)
Brayden Schenn: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:56)
Rodrigo Abols: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 15:33)
Jordan Kyrou: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:51)
Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:59)
Trevor Zegras: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:26)
Emil Andrae: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:31)
Robert Thomas: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:42)
Travis Konecny: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:05)
Tyson Foerster: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:12)
Brayden Schenn: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:47)
Brayden Schenn: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:57)
Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 2:41)
Owen Tippett: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 2:49)
Matvei Michkov: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 3:04)
Justin Faulk: GOAL, slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:31)
Justin Faulk: GOAL, snap, 34 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 12:08)
Rodrigo Abols: GOAL, snap, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:57)
Tyson Foerster: GOAL, slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:49)
Travis Sanheim: GOAL, snap, 21 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 3:51)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
St. Louis Blues
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Joel Hofer
28 3 25
.893
3.02
+0.02
Philadelphia Flyers
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Dan Vladar
29 2 27
.931
2.39
+0.39
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
St. Louis Blues
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
72 Justin Faulk D
+1.68
+1.50
+0.10
-0.07
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
24:59
10 Brayden Schenn C
+1.10
0.00
+0.44
+0.68
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
18:06
89 Pavel Buchnevich L
+0.98
0.00
+0.21
+0.58
+0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
19:04
70 Oskar Sundqvist C
+0.91
+0.70
0.00
+0.17
0.00
+0.04
0.00
—
12:20
26 Nathan Walker L
+0.77
+0.55
+0.07
+0.15
0.00
+0.02
-0.02
—
10:41
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R
+0.75
0.00
0.00
+0.77
0.00
+0.02
-0.04
—
18:00
6 Philip Broberg D
+0.41
0.00
+0.09
+0.26
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
26:07
25 Jordan Kyrou R
+0.40
+0.55
+0.29
-0.49
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:58
13 Alexey Toropchenko R
+0.38
0.00
+0.13
+0.23
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
11:15
55 Colton Parayko D
+0.05
0.00
0.00
-0.06
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
25:26
30 Joel Hofer G
+0.02
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.02
63:51
63 Jake Neighbours L
-0.13
+0.70
+0.09
-0.89
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
14:13
17 Cam Fowler D
-0.20
0.00
+0.02
-0.36
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
23:15
75 Tyler Tucker D
-0.46
0.00
+0.02
-0.51
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
11:19
51 Matthew Kessel D
-0.60
0.00
0.00
-0.60
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:16
81 Dylan Holloway L
-0.63
0.00
+0.02
-0.70
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
15:33
18 Robert Thomas C
-0.66
0.00
+0.03
-0.78
0.00
+0.04
+0.05
—
18:35
22 Pius Suter C
-0.81
0.00
+0.01
-0.62
-0.15
-0.02
-0.04
—
14:42
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R
-0.82
0.00
+0.03
-0.90
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
15:44
Philadelphia Flyers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
18 Rodrigo Abols C
+2.13
+0.75
+0.42
+0.96
0.00
-0.02
+0.02
—
10:20
11 Travis Konecny R
+1.61
+1.25
+0.07
+0.32
0.00
-0.03
0.00
—
20:19
46 Trevor Zegras C
+1.18
+0.55
+0.37
+0.29
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
20:25
36 Emil Andrae D
+1.16
+0.70
+0.10
+0.35
-0.15
0.00
+0.15
—
19:30
71 Tyson Foerster R
+0.99
+0.75
+0.09
+0.13
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
18:03
9 Jamie Drysdale D
+0.98
0.00
0.00
+0.88
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
21:03
6 Travis Sanheim D
+0.94
+0.75
+0.18
-0.08
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
26:13
74 Owen Tippett R
+0.69
+0.70
+0.08
-0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
17:29
44 Nicolas Deslauriers L
+0.69
0.00
0.00
+0.72
0.00
+0.01
-0.04
—
10:16
19 Garnet Hathaway R
+0.52
0.00
+0.04
+0.47
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:23
14 Sean Couturier C
+0.42
+0.55
0.00
-0.15
0.00
-0.03
+0.05
—
15:17
24 Nick Seeler D
+0.41
0.00
+0.08
+0.23
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
15:45
80 Dan Vladar G
+0.39
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.39
63:46
27 Noah Cates L
+0.17
0.00
+0.09
+0.06
0.00
-0.01
+0.03
—
18:17
10 Bobby Brink R
+0.15
0.00
+0.15
-0.13
+0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
14:57
47 Noah Juulsen D
-0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
12:23
22 Christian Dvorak C
-0.07
0.00
+0.19
-0.25
0.00
+0.01
-0.02
—
18:57
8 Cam York D
-0.16
0.00
+0.02
-0.23
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
24:59
39 Matvei Michkov R
-0.25
0.00
+0.08
-0.35
0.00
-0.01
+0.03
—
14:56
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.