St. Louis BluesSTL 2–3 Final/OT Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Thursday, November 20, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
St. Louis BluesSTL 2000 2 29
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0111 3 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:31 STL Justin Faulk (5) Oskar Sundqvist (9), Nathan Walker (4) · slap xG 0.02 1–0 ▶
12:08 STL Justin Faulk (6)PP Jake Neighbours (2), Jordan Kyrou (6) · snap xG 0.13 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
17:57 PHI Rodrigo Abols (1) Owen Tippett (6), Trevor Zegras (14) · snap xG 0.17 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
11:49 PHI Tyson Foerster (5) Emil Andrae (3), Travis Konecny (10) · slap xG 0.06 2–2 ▶
Overtime
3:51 PHI Travis Sanheim (2) Travis Konecny (11), Sean Couturier (9) · snap xG 0.20 2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

STL 39%Deserve to win61% PHI
STLPHI
2.39Expected goals3.02
2Goals (no shootout)3
1.92Expected goals, 5 on 52.35
49Shot attempts64
35Unblocked attempts46
29Shots on goal28

Shot map

STL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Pavel Buchnevich: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:15) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 1:10) Christian Dvorak: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 1:16) Rodrigo Abols: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:37) Emil Andrae: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:48) Bobby Brink: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:03) Travis Konecny: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:42) Christian Dvorak: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:13) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:50) Jake Neighbours: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 6:10) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:29) Cam York: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:12) Noah Cates: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:45) Bobby Brink: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:02) Bobby Brink: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:23) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:16) Christian Dvorak: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 13:30) Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:03) Rodrigo Abols: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:15) Garnet Hathaway: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:18) Nathan Walker: tip-in, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:38) Owen Tippett: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:55) Tyson Foerster: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:11) Travis Konecny: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:51) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 18:41) Colton Parayko: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:08) Philip Broberg: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:04) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:10) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:17) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:09) Noah Cates: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:51) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 179 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:12) Rodrigo Abols: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:22) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:19) Nick Seeler: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:35) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:52) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:38) Cam Fowler: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:44) Brayden Schenn: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:41) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 7:29) Tyson Foerster: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:30) Brayden Schenn: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:12) Rodrigo Abols: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 10:35) Alexey Toropchenko: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 11:43) Philip Broberg: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:31) Dylan Holloway: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:38) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:23) Nick Seeler: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 14:43) Pavel Buchnevich: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:10) Justin Faulk: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:15) Brayden Schenn: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 15:17) Emil Andrae: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:24) Emil Andrae: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:28) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:59) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 183 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:26) Nathan Walker: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 1:40) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:10) Tyler Tucker: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:43) Trevor Zegras: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 7:09) Trevor Zegras: slap, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 8:15) Rodrigo Abols: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:35) Pius Suter: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:07) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:56) Rodrigo Abols: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 15:33) Jordan Kyrou: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:51) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:59) Trevor Zegras: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:26) Emil Andrae: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:31) Robert Thomas: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:42) Travis Konecny: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:05) Tyson Foerster: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:12) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:47) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:57) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.18 (OT 2:41) Owen Tippett: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 2:49) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 3:04) Justin Faulk: GOAL, slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:31) Justin Faulk: GOAL, snap, 34 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 12:08) Rodrigo Abols: GOAL, snap, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:57) Tyson Foerster: GOAL, slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:49) Travis Sanheim: GOAL, snap, 21 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 3:51)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 -1 60.32 1119:04
18 Robert Thomas 000 -1 10.04 0118:35
10 Brayden Schenn 000 -1 100.67 3018:06
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 000 0 20.00 0018:00
25 Jordan Kyrou 011 -1 50.44 0117:58
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 -1 10.05 3115:44
81 Dylan Holloway 000 -1 20.04 3115:33
22 Pius Suter 000 -1 10.02 2014:42
63 Jake Neighbours 011 -1 10.13 3014:13
70 Oskar Sundqvist 011 +1 10.00 1012:20
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 +1 10.20 3011:15
26 Nathan Walker 011 +1 20.11 4010:41
Defense
6 Philip Broberg 000 0 30.14 0226:07
55 Colton Parayko 000 0 10.00 0225:26
72 Justin Faulk 202 0 60.15 2324:59
17 Cam Fowler 000 0 20.03 0323:15
75 Tyler Tucker 000 -2 30.04 0111:19
4 Matthew Kessel 000 -1 10.00 0010:16
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joel Hofer 28325 .893 3.02 +0.02

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
46 Trevor Zegras 011 0 70.57 0020:25
11 Travis Konecny 022 +2 30.11 0020:19
22 Christian Dvorak 000 -1 30.29 0018:57
27 Noah Cates 000 +1 30.14 1118:17
71 Tyson Foerster 101 +1 40.14 1018:03
74 Owen Tippett 011 0 30.13 4117:29
14 Sean Couturier 011 +1 10.00 1115:17
10 Bobby Brink 000 0 30.23 0014:57
39 Matvei Michkov 000 0 20.12 0114:56
18 Rodrigo Abols 101 +1 80.64 2010:20
44 Nicolas Deslauriers 000 0 30.00 6010:16
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 10.07 1009:23
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 101 +1 90.27 0226:13
8 Cam York 000 0 20.04 0124:59
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 +2 10.00 0221:03
36 Emil Andrae 011 +1 40.16 2319:30
24 Nick Seeler 000 0 50.12 4215:45
47 Noah Juulsen 000 -1 20.00 2012:23
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 29227 .931 2.39 +0.39

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
72 Justin Faulk D +1.68 +1.50 +0.10 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 24:59
10 Brayden Schenn C +1.10 0.00 +0.44 +0.68 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 18:06
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +0.98 0.00 +0.21 +0.58 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 19:04
70 Oskar Sundqvist C +0.91 +0.70 0.00 +0.17 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 12:20
26 Nathan Walker L +0.77 +0.55 +0.07 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 10:41
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R +0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.77 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 — 18:00
6 Philip Broberg D +0.41 0.00 +0.09 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 26:07
25 Jordan Kyrou R +0.40 +0.55 +0.29 -0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:58
13 Alexey Toropchenko R +0.38 0.00 +0.13 +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 11:15
55 Colton Parayko D +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 25:26
30 Joel Hofer G +0.02 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.02 63:51
63 Jake Neighbours L -0.13 +0.70 +0.09 -0.89 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:13
17 Cam Fowler D -0.20 0.00 +0.02 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 23:15
75 Tyler Tucker D -0.46 0.00 +0.02 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:19
51 Matthew Kessel D -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:16
81 Dylan Holloway L -0.63 0.00 +0.02 -0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:33
18 Robert Thomas C -0.66 0.00 +0.03 -0.78 0.00 +0.04 +0.05 — 18:35
22 Pius Suter C -0.81 0.00 +0.01 -0.62 -0.15 -0.02 -0.04 — 14:42
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R -0.82 0.00 +0.03 -0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:44

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
18 Rodrigo Abols C +2.13 +0.75 +0.42 +0.96 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 10:20
11 Travis Konecny R +1.61 +1.25 +0.07 +0.32 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 20:19
46 Trevor Zegras C +1.18 +0.55 +0.37 +0.29 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 20:25
36 Emil Andrae D +1.16 +0.70 +0.10 +0.35 -0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 19:30
71 Tyson Foerster R +0.99 +0.75 +0.09 +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 18:03
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.98 0.00 0.00 +0.88 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:03
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.94 +0.75 +0.18 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 26:13
74 Owen Tippett R +0.69 +0.70 +0.08 -0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 17:29
44 Nicolas Deslauriers L +0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.72 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 10:16
19 Garnet Hathaway R +0.52 0.00 +0.04 +0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:23
14 Sean Couturier C +0.42 +0.55 0.00 -0.15 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 15:17
24 Nick Seeler D +0.41 0.00 +0.08 +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:45
80 Dan Vladar G +0.39 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.39 63:46
27 Noah Cates L +0.17 0.00 +0.09 +0.06 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 18:17
10 Bobby Brink R +0.15 0.00 +0.15 -0.13 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:57
47 Noah Juulsen D -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:23
22 Christian Dvorak C -0.07 0.00 +0.19 -0.25 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 18:57
8 Cam York D -0.16 0.00 +0.02 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:59
39 Matvei Michkov R -0.25 0.00 +0.08 -0.35 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 14:56

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.