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Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 4–1 Final Utah MammothUTA

Thursday, November 20, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 031 4 33
Utah MammothUTA 010 1 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
3:09 VGK Jack Eichel (9) Pavel Dorofeyev (5), Shea Theodore (8) · snap xG 0.34 1–0 ▶
3:28 VGK Ben Hutton (2) Cole Reinhardt (2) · snap xG 0.14 2–0 ▶
6:38 UTA Nate Schmidt (1) Ian Cole (7), Clayton Keller (12) · snap xG 0.13 2–1 ▶
16:51 VGK Jack Eichel (10) Braeden Bowman (1), Shea Theodore (9) · backhand xG 0.24 3–1 ▶
3rd Period
0:45 VGK Braeden Bowman (3) Jack Eichel (17), Shea Theodore (10) · tip-in xG 0.08 4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 58%Deserve to win42% UTA
VGKUTA
3.07Expected goals2.60
4Goals (no shootout)1
2.56Expected goals, 5 on 52.00
48Shot attempts59
39Unblocked attempts42
33Shots on goal26

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ UTA shoots
Michael Carcone: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 0:11) Michael Carcone: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:38) Mitch Marner: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 2:05) Kevin Stenlund: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:49) Dylan Guenther: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:25) Nate Schmidt: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:27) Mikhail Sergachev: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:32) Logan Cooley: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 3:57) Braeden Bowman: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 4:12) Noah Hanifin: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:24) Michael Carcone: snap, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:41) Jack McBain: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 6:00) Keegan Kolesar: snap, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 6:24) Noah Hanifin: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 7:07) Noah Hanifin: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:11) Noah Hanifin: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:23) Tomas Hertl: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 12:28) Shea Theodore: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:07) Cole Reinhardt: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:08) Liam O'Brien: tip-in, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:55) Lawson Crouse: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 15:27) Liam O'Brien: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:46) Dmitri Simashev: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:11) Nick DeSimone: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:51) Mikhail Sergachev: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:35) JJ Peterka: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:38) JJ Peterka: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:00) Zach Whitecloud: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 2:38) Jack Eichel: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:05) Dylan Guenther: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:54) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 5:04) Brett Howden: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:40) Brett Howden: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 5:56) Ben Hutton: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 6:13) Tomas Hertl: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 7:31) John Marino: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 7:41) Ben Hutton: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:55) Mitch Marner: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:56) Jack McBain: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:20) Jack McBain: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:24) Noah Hanifin: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:46) Shea Theodore: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:51) Ben Hutton: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 12:54) Logan Cooley: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:58) Logan Cooley: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:57) Michael Carcone: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 14:59) Michael Carcone: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:00) Nate Schmidt: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:03) Logan Cooley: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:56) Dylan Guenther: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:10) Braeden Bowman: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:19) Tomas Hertl: bat, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:22) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:35) Jack Eichel: snap, 134 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:56) Dylan Guenther: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:27) Dylan Guenther: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 1:04) Cole Reinhardt: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:57) Jack Eichel: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 2:13) Michael Carcone: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 3:27) Brandon Saad: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:53) Shea Theodore: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:57) Noah Hanifin: snap, 171 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:14) Nick Schmaltz: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:42) Clayton Keller: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:51) Dylan Guenther: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 4:55) JJ Peterka: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 9:00) Clayton Keller: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 13:12) Reilly Smith: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:24) Dylan Guenther: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 14:27) Nick DeSimone: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:52) Tomas Hertl: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:39) Liam O'Brien: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:45) Mikhail Sergachev: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:58) Barrett Hayton: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 17:00) Jack Eichel: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:55) Reilly Smith: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:31) Jack Eichel: GOAL, snap, 5 ft, xG 0.34 (P2 3:09) Ben Hutton: GOAL, snap, 22 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:28) Nate Schmidt: GOAL, snap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 6:38) Jack Eichel: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 16:51) Braeden Bowman: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 0:45)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mitch Marner 000 0 30.18 0018:15
48 Tomas Hertl 000 0 70.70 0118:03
9 Jack Eichel 213 +2 70.83 0016:45
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 011 +1 30.00 1116:07
42 Braeden Bowman 112 +2 30.30 0015:25
21 Brett Howden 000 +1 20.25 3115:20
19 Reilly Smith 000 0 20.06 1014:21
15 Colton Sissons 000 +1 10.00 1214:05
20 Brandon Saad 000 0 10.08 0113:17
49 Ivan Barbashev 000 +1 00.00 1013:00
29 Cole Reinhardt 011 +1 20.05 2012:46
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 +1 10.00 2211:44
Defense
15 Noah Hanifin 000 0 60.20 1221:46
27 Shea Theodore 033 +2 40.03 0121:34
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 0 10.19 1220:58
3 Brayden McNabb 000 +2 00.00 3118:27
17 Ben Hutton 101 +1 40.20 0116:21
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 +1 10.00 3115:46
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Akira Schmid 26125 .962 2.60 +1.60

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
92 Logan Cooley 000 -1 50.15 1018:37
8 Nick Schmaltz 000 -2 10.02 2018:35
11 Dylan Guenther 000 0 80.61 1017:57
27 Barrett Hayton 000 0 10.12 0116:40
9 Clayton Keller 011 0 20.23 1016:39
53 Michael Carcone 000 0 80.41 4115:11
67 Lawson Crouse 000 -1 20.18 4013:57
10 JJ Peterka 000 -2 30.17 0013:14
22 Jack McBain 000 -1 40.10 4011:25
82 Kevin Stenlund 000 -1 10.01 0010:53
13 Brandon Tanev 000 -1 10.00 4110:35
38 Liam O'Brien 000 -1 50.11 0009:52
Defense
98 Mikhail Sergachev 000 -2 60.10 0021:36
6 John Marino 000 -1 20.12 0121:02
28 Ian Cole 011 -1 20.00 1020:22
88 Nate Schmidt 101 0 40.18 1119:32
57 Nick DeSimone 000 -1 20.08 0217:12
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 33429 .879 3.07 -0.93

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Jack Eichel C +3.96 +2.20 +0.54 +1.22 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 16:45
27 Shea Theodore D +2.71 +1.65 +0.02 +0.99 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:34
42 Braeden Bowman R +2.38 +1.45 +0.19 +0.88 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:25
40 Akira Schmid G +1.60 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.60 60:00
23 Cole Reinhardt L +1.42 +0.70 +0.03 +0.33 +0.35 0.00 0.00 — 12:46
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +1.17 +0.70 0.00 +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:07
17 Ben Hutton D +0.86 +0.75 +0.13 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:21
3 Brayden McNabb D +0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.85 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 18:27
15 Noah Hanifin D +0.71 0.00 +0.13 +0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:46
48 Tomas Hertl C +0.58 0.00 +0.46 +0.04 0.00 +0.06 +0.03 — 18:03
10 Colton Sissons C +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.33 0.00 +0.05 +0.12 — 14:05
2 Zach Whitecloud D +0.43 0.00 +0.12 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:58
55 Keegan Kolesar R +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.32 0.00 -0.02 +0.10 — 11:44
21 Brett Howden C +0.37 0.00 +0.16 +0.18 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 15:20
93 Mitch Marner R +0.36 0.00 +0.11 +0.28 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 18:15
49 Ivan Barbashev L +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:00
6 Kaedan Korczak D +0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.04 +0.10 0.00 +0.03 — 15:46
19 Reilly Smith R -0.20 0.00 +0.04 -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:21
20 Brandon Saad L -0.32 0.00 +0.05 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:17

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
11 Dylan Guenther R +1.14 0.00 +0.40 +0.78 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:57
53 Michael Carcone L +1.06 0.00 +0.27 +0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:11
88 Nate Schmidt D +0.93 +0.75 +0.11 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:32
28 Ian Cole D +0.62 +0.70 0.00 -0.21 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 20:22
9 Clayton Keller R +0.33 +0.55 +0.15 -0.38 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 16:39
92 Logan Cooley C +0.32 0.00 +0.10 +0.38 -0.10 -0.02 -0.04 — 18:37
57 Nick DeSimone D +0.13 0.00 +0.05 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:12
27 Barrett Hayton C -0.09 0.00 +0.08 -0.41 +0.15 +0.03 +0.07 — 16:40
38 Liam O'Brien C -0.40 0.00 +0.07 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:52
6 John Marino D -0.43 0.00 +0.08 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:02
67 Lawson Crouse L -0.43 0.00 +0.12 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:57
82 Kevin Stenlund C -0.58 0.00 +0.01 -0.54 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 10:53
22 Jack McBain C -0.60 0.00 +0.07 -0.65 0.00 -0.03 +0.02 — 11:25
26 Dmitri Simashev D -0.72 0.00 +0.01 -0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:41
13 Brandon Tanev L -0.76 0.00 0.00 -0.67 -0.15 +0.01 +0.05 — 10:35
77 JJ Peterka R -0.84 0.00 +0.11 -0.95 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:14
70 Karel Vejmelka G -0.93 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.93 60:00
8 Nick Schmaltz C -0.96 0.00 +0.02 -0.93 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 18:35
98 Mikhail Sergachev D -1.01 0.00 +0.06 -0.87 -0.20 0.00 0.00 — 21:36

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.