Dallas StarsDAL 4–2 Final Vancouver CanucksVAN

Thursday, November 20, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Dallas StarsDAL	2	0	2	4	24
Vancouver CanucksVAN	2	0	0	2	36

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:55	DAL	Mavrik Bourque (3) Justin Hryckowian (3) · wrist xG 0.07	1–0 ▶
3:06	VAN	Linus Karlsson (3) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.06	1–1 ▶
7:44	DAL	Jason Robertson (12) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.08	2–1 ▶
14:25	VAN	Elias Pettersson (7)PP Jake DeBrusk (3), Kiefer Sherwood (4) · bat xG 0.38	2–2 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
10:47	DAL	Colin Blackwell (2) Radek Faksa (7), Oskar Bäck (2) · wrist xG 0.19	3–2 ▶
18:29	DAL	Mikko Rantanen (10) Jamie Benn (1), Miro Heiskanen (16) · backhand xG 0.04	4–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DAL 21%Deserve to win79% VAN

DAL		VAN
2.69	Expected goals	4.45
4	Goals (no shootout)	2
2.01	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.72
42	Shot attempts	76
33	Unblocked attempts	56
24	Shots on goal	36

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
14:22	VAN	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · VAN takes the lead, 61–39% DAL had led since 1:09 of the 1st, by as much as 60%
17:50	VAN	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced DAL 1.17–0.12 In xG over 10 minutes, 7:50 to 17:50 of the 1st; goals 1–0
3rd Period
18:39	VAN	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Lankinen, down 4–2 With 1:21 left
19:12	DAL	Goalie	Goalie · Oettinger +2.1 goals saved 2 goals on 4.06 xG, 33 shots on goal

Shot map

DAL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VAN shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Dallas Stars

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
96	Mikko Rantanen	1	0	1	+1	3	0.19	2	0	19:28
53	Wyatt Johnston	0	0	0	+1	2	0.20	2	1	19:13
21	Jason Robertson	1	0	1	+1	5	0.27	1	0	17:43
91	Tyler Seguin	0	0	0	+1	2	0.16	1	0	15:34
24	Roope Hintz	0	0	0	0	3	0.26	2	1	15:11
18	Sam Steel	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	14:55
12	Radek Faksa	0	1	1	+1	2	0.13	0	2	13:02
10	Oskar Bäck	0	1	1	+2	1	0.12	0	0	12:48
15	Colin Blackwell	1	0	1	0	3	0.25	1	0	12:13
14	Jamie Benn	0	1	1	0	2	0.34	2	0	12:06
49	Justin Hryckowian	0	1	1	+1	1	0.06	1	0	10:39
22	Mavrik Bourque	1	0	1	+1	4	0.22	1	0	10:30
Defense
4	Miro Heiskanen	0	1	1	+1	3	0.01	0	3	28:13
23	Esa Lindell	0	0	0	+2	1	0.01	0	7	25:48
36	Alexander Petrovic	0	0	0	+3	2	0.22	4	5	22:06
6	Lian Bichsel	0	0	0	+2	2	0.05	4	0	18:57
20	Kyle Capobianco	0	0	0	-1	1	0.03	0	1	11:48
18	Vladislav Kolyachonok	0	0	0	-1	5	0.17	0	0	10:15

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jake Oettinger	36	2	34	.944	4.45	+2.45

Vancouver Canucks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
40	Elias Pettersson	1	0	1	-2	9	0.77	2	0	24:43
83	Conor Garland	0	0	0	-1	9	0.43	0	0	23:38
6	Brock Boeser	0	0	0	-1	5	0.50	0	0	20:57
74	Jake DeBrusk	0	1	1	-1	8	0.98	1	0	20:34
91	Evander Kane	0	0	0	-2	7	0.30	2	0	19:23
44	Kiefer Sherwood	0	1	1	-2	4	0.39	3	0	15:05
64	David Kampf	0	0	0	+1	3	0.18	2	1	13:20
18	Drew O'Connor	0	0	0	0	2	0.03	0	1	11:27
54	Aatu Räty	0	0	0	0	2	0.12	3	0	09:46
94	Linus Karlsson	1	0	1	0	4	0.18	2	0	09:39
63	Max Sasson	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	09:25
Defense
43	Quinn Hughes	0	0	0	-2	9	0.22	0	2	28:31
17	Filip Hronek	0	0	0	0	7	0.26	1	1	23:08
57	Tyler Myers	0	0	0	-2	1	0.03	5	1	19:18
26	Marcus Pettersson	0	0	0	-2	3	0.02	0	0	17:57
25	Elias Pettersson	0	0	0	+1	2	0.04	1	1	13:40
5	Tom Willander	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	10:12

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Kevin Lankinen	24	4	20	.833	2.47	-1.53

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Dallas Stars

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
29 Jake Oettinger G	+2.45	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.45	60:00
10 Oskar Bäck C	+1.67	+0.55	+0.08	+1.05	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	12:48
22 Mavrik Bourque C	+1.63	+0.75	+0.14	+0.76	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	10:30
49 Justin Hryckowian C	+1.43	+0.70	+0.04	+0.66	0.00	+0.01	+0.02	—	10:39
12 Radek Faksa C	+1.31	+0.70	+0.09	+0.45	0.00	-0.02	+0.10	—	13:02
15 Colin Blackwell C	+1.14	+0.75	+0.16	+0.29	0.00	-0.02	-0.04	—	12:13
4 Miro Heiskanen D	+0.94	+0.55	+0.01	+0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	28:13
21 Jason Robertson L	+0.76	+0.75	+0.18	-0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:43
14 Jamie Benn L	+0.72	+0.70	+0.22	-0.15	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	—	12:06
28 Alexander Petrovic D	+0.67	0.00	+0.14	+0.28	0.00	0.00	+0.25	—	22:06
96 Mikko Rantanen R	+0.58	+0.75	+0.12	-0.13	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	19:28
20 Kyle Capobianco D	+0.42	0.00	+0.02	+0.20	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	11:48
23 Esa Lindell D	+0.38	0.00	0.00	+0.20	-0.15	0.00	+0.33	—	25:48
44 Vladislav Kolyachonok D	+0.35	0.00	+0.11	+0.24	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:15
6 Lian Bichsel D	+0.24	0.00	+0.03	+0.38	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	18:57
91 Tyler Seguin C	-0.01	0.00	+0.10	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	15:34
53 Wyatt Johnston C	-0.02	0.00	+0.13	-0.14	0.00	-0.03	+0.03	—	19:13
24 Roope Hintz C	-0.07	0.00	+0.17	-0.26	0.00	-0.04	+0.05	—	15:11
18 Sam Steel C	-0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.03	-0.15	+0.02	0.00	—	14:55

Vancouver Canucks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
74 Jake DeBrusk L	+1.51	+0.70	+0.63	+0.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:34
40 Elias Pettersson C	+0.89	+0.75	+0.50	-0.47	0.00	+0.11	0.00	—	24:43
94 Linus Karlsson C	+0.63	+0.75	+0.11	-0.23	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	9:39
64 David Kampf C	+0.59	0.00	+0.12	+0.30	+0.15	-0.03	+0.05	—	13:20
6 Brock Boeser R	+0.50	0.00	+0.32	+0.20	0.00	+0.02	-0.04	—	20:57
17 Filip Hronek D	+0.24	0.00	+0.17	+0.04	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	23:08
44 Kiefer Sherwood L	+0.21	+0.55	+0.25	-0.59	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:05
54 Aatu Räty C	+0.20	0.00	+0.07	+0.12	0.00	+0.03	-0.02	—	9:46
43 Quinn Hughes D	+0.06	0.00	+0.14	-0.31	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	28:31
8 Conor Garland R	+0.04	0.00	+0.28	-0.24	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	23:38
18 Drew O'Connor L	0.00	0.00	+0.02	+0.07	-0.15	+0.01	+0.05	—	11:27
57 Tyler Myers D	-0.04	0.00	+0.02	-0.28	+0.15	0.00	+0.07	—	19:18
25 Elias Pettersson D	-0.13	0.00	+0.02	-0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:40
29 Marcus Pettersson D	-0.24	0.00	+0.02	-0.26	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:57
5 Tom Willander D	-0.29	0.00	0.00	-0.34	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	10:12
63 Max Sasson C	-0.36	0.00	0.00	-0.47	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	9:25
20 Mackenzie MacEachern L	-0.59	0.00	0.00	-0.55	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	6:54
91 Evander Kane L	-0.62	0.00	+0.19	-0.83	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	19:23
32 Kevin Lankinen G	-1.53	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.53	58:32

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.