St. Louis BluesSTL 2–1 Final New York IslandersNYI

Saturday, November 22, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
St. Louis BluesSTL	1	1	0	2	22
New York IslandersNYI	0	0	1	1	30

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:42	STL	Brayden Schenn (3) Pavel Buchnevich (6), Dalibor Dvorsky (1) · snap xG 0.10	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
17:51	STL	Pius Suter (6) Dylan Holloway (5), Jordan Kyrou (7) · backhand xG 0.24	2–0 ▶
3rd Period
16:40	NYI	Anders Lee (4) Kyle Palmieri (11), Mathew Barzal (11) · backhand xG 0.24	2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

STL 39%Deserve to win61% NYI

STL		NYI
2.60	Expected goals	3.28
2	Goals (no shootout)	1
2.35	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.36
52	Shot attempts	61
37	Unblocked attempts	45
22	Shots on goal	30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
1:30	NYI	No shift	No shift · Cizikas, 10:58 on the bench No shift from 11:22 of the 2nd to 2:20 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (6:21) before that
9:34	STL	Goalie	Goalie · Binnington +2.1 goals saved 0 goals on 2.08 xG, 22 shots on goal
15:46	NYI	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 2–0 With 4:14 left; NYI scored at 16:40 of the 3rd (2–1)
17:59	NYI	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 2–1 With 2:01 left
18:54	NYI	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · NYI takes the lead, 60–40% STL had led since 4:25 of the 1st, by as much as 71%
19:10	NYI	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced STL 1.46–0.22 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:10 to 19:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

STL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYI shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

St. Louis Blues

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
18	Robert Thomas	0	0	0	-1	4	0.05	0	0	19:20
89	Pavel Buchnevich	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	0	2	18:52
22	Pius Suter	1	0	1	+1	4	0.59	0	0	16:00
63	Jake Neighbours	0	0	0	0	2	0.06	2	0	15:35
10	Brayden Schenn	1	0	1	0	3	0.29	2	0	15:34
15	Dalibor Dvorsky	0	1	1	+1	2	0.19	1	0	14:18
81	Dylan Holloway	0	1	1	+1	4	0.16	6	0	14:03
13	Alexey Toropchenko	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	2	0	13:42
26	Nathan Walker	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	3	3	13:20
21	Jimmy Snuggerud	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	1	0	12:49
25	Jordan Kyrou	0	1	1	+1	4	0.24	0	0	12:42
72	Nick Bjugstad	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	2	0	10:46
Defense
6	Philip Broberg	0	0	0	+1	5	0.08	3	2	27:58
55	Colton Parayko	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	3	24:23
72	Justin Faulk	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	0	2	20:22
17	Cam Fowler	0	0	0	+1	4	0.14	0	2	19:45
75	Tyler Tucker	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	0	13:15
4	Matthew Kessel	0	0	0	0	4	0.07	0	0	13:11

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jordan Binnington	30	1	29	.967	3.28	+2.28

New York Islanders

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Mathew Barzal	0	1	1	0	6	0.18	1	0	21:30
14	Bo Horvat	0	0	0	-1	9	0.26	0	0	20:25
92	Jonathan Drouin	0	0	0	+1	4	0.28	0	0	19:50
21	Kyle Palmieri	0	1	1	0	6	0.32	0	1	18:37
72	Anders Lee	1	0	1	+1	8	0.85	2	1	17:35
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	1	15:58
51	Emil Heineman	0	0	0	-2	1	0.13	5	0	14:32
92	Simon Holmstrom	0	0	0	0	2	0.22	0	2	14:26
11	Anthony Duclair	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	0	2	12:46
64	Calum Ritchie	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	1	0	10:26
49	Maxim Shabanov	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	1	0	10:22
53	Casey Cizikas	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	6	0	08:48
Defense
48	Matthew Schaefer	0	0	0	+1	5	0.02	1	2	27:29
3	Adam Pelech	0	0	0	-1	6	0.18	0	1	20:15
77	Tony DeAngelo	0	0	0	-1	4	0.20	0	0	19:27
6	Ryan Pulock	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	1	18:18
24	Scott Mayfield	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	0	16:35
34	Adam Boqvist	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	1	1	13:52

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Ilya Sorokin	22	2	20	.909	2.60	+0.60

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

St. Louis Blues

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
22 Pius Suter C	+2.36	+0.75	+0.39	+1.24	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	16:00
50 Jordan Binnington G	+2.28	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.28	59:59
81 Dylan Holloway L	+2.16	+0.70	+0.10	+1.35	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	14:03
25 Jordan Kyrou R	+2.00	+0.55	+0.16	+1.29	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:42
10 Brayden Schenn C	+1.19	+0.75	+0.19	+0.27	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:34
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R	+1.07	+0.55	+0.12	+0.44	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	14:18
89 Pavel Buchnevich L	+1.05	+0.70	0.00	+0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	18:52
17 Cam Fowler D	+0.86	0.00	+0.09	+0.67	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	19:45
72 Justin Faulk D	+0.46	0.00	+0.05	+0.76	-0.45	0.00	+0.10	—	20:22
51 Matthew Kessel D	+0.14	0.00	+0.05	+0.11	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:11
55 Colton Parayko D	-0.17	0.00	+0.02	-0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	24:23
75 Tyler Tucker D	-0.23	0.00	+0.03	-0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:15
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R	-0.28	0.00	+0.09	-0.52	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	12:49
6 Philip Broberg D	-0.32	0.00	+0.05	-0.47	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	27:58
26 Nathan Walker L	-0.39	0.00	+0.18	-0.74	0.00	+0.01	+0.15	—	13:20
77 Nick Bjugstad C	-0.42	0.00	+0.10	-0.54	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	10:46
63 Jake Neighbours L	-0.49	0.00	+0.04	-0.53	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	15:35
18 Robert Thomas C	-0.68	0.00	+0.03	-0.65	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	—	19:20
13 Alexey Toropchenko R	-1.03	0.00	0.00	-1.01	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:42

New York Islanders

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
27 Anders Lee L	+1.53	+0.75	+0.55	+0.19	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	17:35
10 Simon Holmstrom R	+0.95	0.00	+0.14	+0.73	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	14:26
3 Adam Pelech D	+0.89	0.00	+0.11	+0.72	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	20:15
29 Jonathan Drouin L	+0.77	0.00	+0.18	+0.28	+0.30	0.00	0.00	—	19:50
30 Ilya Sorokin G	+0.60	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.60	56:49
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	+0.41	0.00	+0.05	+0.18	+0.15	-0.01	+0.03	—	15:58
49 Max Shabanov R	+0.39	0.00	+0.10	+0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	10:22
64 Calum Ritchie C	+0.33	0.00	+0.15	+0.24	0.00	-0.01	-0.04	—	10:26
77 Tony DeAngelo D	+0.27	0.00	+0.13	+0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:27
53 Casey Cizikas C	+0.27	0.00	+0.10	+0.13	0.00	+0.02	+0.02	—	8:48
21 Kyle Palmieri C	+0.12	+0.70	+0.21	-0.83	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	18:37
13 Mathew Barzal C	+0.06	+0.55	+0.12	-0.47	-0.15	-0.01	+0.02	—	21:30
11 Anthony Duclair L	+0.05	0.00	+0.02	-0.05	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	12:46
24 Scott Mayfield D	-0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	16:35
48 Matthew Schaefer D	-0.14	0.00	+0.01	-0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	27:29
6 Ryan Pulock D	-0.18	0.00	+0.01	-0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	18:18
14 Bo Horvat C	-0.58	0.00	+0.17	-0.80	0.00	+0.05	0.00	—	20:25
51 Emil Heineman L	-0.73	0.00	+0.09	-0.79	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:32
34 Adam Boqvist D	-0.89	0.00	0.00	-0.92	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	13:52

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.