Edmonton OilersEDM 6–3 Final Florida PanthersFLA

Saturday, November 22, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Edmonton OilersEDM	3	1	2	6	31
Florida PanthersFLA	1	2	0	3	38

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:25	EDM	Jack Roslovic (8) Evan Bouchard (15) · wrist xG 0.01	1–0 ▶
6:30	FLA	Anton Lundell (6) Mackie Samoskevich (8), Seth Jones (9) · slap xG 0.25	1–1 ▶
7:06	EDM	Jack Roslovic (9) Evan Bouchard (16) · wrist xG 0.10	2–1 ▶
13:58	EDM	Mattias Ekholm (2) Adam Henrique (5), Darnell Nurse (5) · wrist xG 0.27	3–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:45	EDM	Vasily Podkolzin (4) Leon Draisaitl (14), Evan Bouchard (17) · snap xG 0.06	4–1 ▶
10:04	FLA	Mackie Samoskevich (3) Uvis Balinskis (2), Sam Bennett (4) · slap xG 0.10	4–2 ▶
13:30	FLA	Sam Reinhart (12)PP Anton Lundell (12), Brad Marchand (11) · backhand xG 0.23	4–3 ▶
3rd Period
17:20	EDM	Connor McDavid (10)EN Mattias Ekholm (7) · wrist xG 0.90	5–3 ▶
17:47	EDM	Matt Savoie (3)EN Mattias Janmark (2), Mattias Ekholm (8) · wrist xG 0.62	6–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

EDM 32%Deserve to win68% FLA

EDM		FLA
4.69	Expected goals	4.42
6	Goals (no shootout)	3
2.77	Expected goals, 5 on 5	3.21
62	Shot attempts	82
50	Unblocked attempts	67
31	Shots on goal	38

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
11:50	FLA	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced EDM 1.19–0.17 In xG over 10 minutes, 3:00 to 13:00 of the 1st; goals 1–1
13:58	FLA	Goalie	Goalie · Bobrovsky −2.4 goals saved 3 goals on 0.64 xG, 6 shots on goal
2nd Period
6:45	FLA	Goalie change	Goalie change · Tarasov in for Bobrovsky 6:45 of the 2nd; Bobrovsky had allowed 4 goals on 17 shots (1.50 xG)
3rd Period
15:10	FLA	No shift	No shift · Kunin, 12:39 on the bench No shift from 3:01 to 17:47 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (6:52) before that
16:20	EDM	No shift	No shift · Tomasek, 12:38 on the bench No shift from 3:02 to 17:47 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (4:58) before that
17:13	FLA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Tarasov, down 4–3 With 2:47 left; EDM scored at 17:20 of the 3rd (5–3)

Shot map

EDM shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
29	Leon Draisaitl	0	1	1	+1	4	0.33	2	1	22:27
97	Connor McDavid	1	0	1	+1	5	1.23	1	0	20:48
18	Zach Hyman	0	0	0	+1	2	0.03	0	0	19:00
19	Adam Henrique	0	1	1	+2	7	0.06	1	2	18:18
96	Jack Roslovic	2	0	2	+1	6	0.49	0	0	16:24
92	Vasily Podkolzin	1	0	1	+2	2	0.25	2	1	15:50
26	Andrew Mangiapane	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	0	13:56
22	Matt Savoie	1	0	1	+2	5	0.82	0	0	13:47
13	Mattias Janmark	0	1	1	+1	4	0.38	1	1	11:54
10	Trent Frederic	0	0	0	0	4	0.18	2	1	11:21
Defense
2	Evan Bouchard	0	3	3	+5	4	0.06	0	1	22:12
14	Mattias Ekholm	1	2	3	+5	4	0.31	2	0	20:37
27	Brett Kulak	0	0	0	-1	5	0.03	0	0	19:55
49	Ty Emberson	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	4	4	19:18
25	Darnell Nurse	0	1	1	+1	3	0.14	1	1	18:33
75	Alec Regula	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	2	0	16:22

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Stuart Skinner	38	3	35	.921	4.42	+1.42

Florida Panthers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
63	Brad Marchand	0	1	1	-3	9	0.77	0	1	18:45
15	Anton Lundell	1	1	2	-4	8	1.06	1	1	18:33
23	Carter Verhaeghe	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	1	0	18:11
17	Evan Rodrigues	0	0	0	0	7	0.16	0	1	17:52
13	Sam Reinhart	1	0	1	-3	2	0.30	0	0	17:52
9	Sam Bennett	0	1	1	-1	7	0.38	3	0	17:00
11	Mackie Samoskevich	1	1	2	-1	10	0.64	5	0	16:41
70	Jesper Boqvist	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	15:57
18	A.J. Greer	0	0	0	0	4	0.15	4	0	12:44
73	Noah Gregor	0	0	0	0	4	0.07	3	0	09:03
71	Luke Kunin	0	0	0	-1	5	0.10	3	1	08:25
Defense
3	Seth Jones	0	1	1	-3	4	0.06	1	2	23:13
77	Niko Mikkola	0	0	0	-2	5	0.29	1	0	21:50
42	Gustav Forsling	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	21:35
26	Uvis Balinskis	0	1	1	+1	4	0.14	3	1	19:01
2	Jeff Petry	0	0	0	-2	4	0.00	2	2	15:04
73	Donovan Sebrango	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	3	0	12:54

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky	17	4	13	.765	1.50	-2.50
Daniil Tarasov	12	0	12	1.000	1.67	+1.67

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
14 Mattias Ekholm D	+2.66	+2.00	+0.20	+0.46	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:37
2 Evan Bouchard D	+2.29	+1.95	+0.04	+0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	22:12
74 Stuart Skinner G	+1.42	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.42	60:00
13 Mattias Janmark C	+1.41	+0.70	+0.24	+0.36	+0.05	+0.01	+0.05	—	11:54
28 Jack Roslovic C	+1.34	+1.50	+0.32	-0.63	+0.15	+0.02	-0.02	—	16:24
92 Vasily Podkolzin R	+1.34	+0.75	+0.16	+0.40	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:50
22 Matt Savoie C	+1.02	+0.75	+0.53	-0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:47
19 Adam Henrique C	+0.92	+0.70	+0.04	+0.13	0.00	-0.03	+0.08	—	18:18
97 Connor McDavid C	+0.87	+0.75	+0.80	-0.65	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	20:48
29 Leon Draisaitl C	+0.72	+0.70	+0.21	-0.19	0.00	+0.03	-0.03	—	22:27
25 Darnell Nurse D	+0.69	+0.55	+0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	18:33
88 Andrew Mangiapane L	+0.57	0.00	0.00	+0.57	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:56
64 Connor Clattenburg C	+0.47	0.00	+0.14	+0.33	-0.05	0.00	+0.05	—	5:47
86 David Tomasek R	+0.26	0.00	+0.10	+0.32	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	5:53
49 Ty Emberson D	+0.02	0.00	+0.02	-0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.18	—	19:18
27 Brett Kulak D	-0.31	0.00	+0.02	-0.18	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	19:55
10 Trent Frederic C	-0.47	0.00	+0.11	-0.61	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	11:21
18 Zach Hyman L	-0.49	0.00	+0.02	-0.33	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	19:00
75 Alec Regula D	-0.69	0.00	0.00	-0.71	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	16:22

Florida Panthers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
11 Mackie Samoskevich R	+3.61	+1.45	+0.42	+1.74	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:41
15 Anton Lundell C	+3.22	+1.45	+0.69	+1.02	0.00	+0.05	+0.01	—	18:33
63 Brad Marchand L	+2.54	+0.55	+0.50	+1.28	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	18:45
26 Uvis Balinskis D	+2.11	+0.70	+0.09	+1.42	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	19:01
42 Gustav Forsling D	+1.89	0.00	0.00	+1.89	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:35
40 Daniil Tarasov G	+1.67	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.67	32:48
9 Sam Bennett C	+0.67	+0.55	+0.25	-0.10	0.00	+0.02	-0.04	—	17:00
13 Sam Reinhart C	+0.51	+0.75	+0.20	-0.60	+0.15	-0.01	+0.02	—	17:52
18 Noah Gregor L	+0.17	0.00	+0.05	+0.13	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	9:03
71 Luke Kunin C	+0.04	0.00	+0.06	-0.08	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	8:25
38 Jack Devine R	-0.03	0.00	+0.14	-0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:47
17 Evan Rodrigues C	-0.24	0.00	+0.11	-0.34	0.00	-0.06	+0.05	—	17:52
70 Jesper Boqvist C	-0.42	0.00	0.00	-0.59	+0.15	-0.01	+0.03	—	15:57
23 Carter Verhaeghe C	-0.47	0.00	+0.03	-0.46	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	18:11
10 A.J. Greer L	-0.49	0.00	+0.09	-0.63	+0.05	0.00	0.00	—	12:44
2 Jeff Petry D	-0.50	0.00	0.00	-0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	15:04
6 Donovan Sebrango D	-0.53	0.00	+0.01	-0.39	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	12:54
3 Seth Jones D	-0.60	+0.55	+0.04	-1.27	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	23:13
77 Niko Mikkola D	-1.11	0.00	+0.19	-1.40	+0.10	0.00	0.00	—	21:50
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G	-2.50	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.50	26:45

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.