| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 29 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:37 | Timo Meier (6)PP Jesper Bratt (14), Nico Hischier (10) · wrist xG 0.56 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 9:00 | Noah Cates (5) Unassisted · snap xG 0.23 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 12:06 | Matvei Michkov (5) Sean Couturier (10) · wrist xG 0.13 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 12:15 | Tyson Foerster (6) Noah Cates (7), Travis Konecny (12) · snap xG 0.10 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 12:32 | Tyson Foerster (7) Noah Cates (8), Nick Seeler (3) · wrist xG 0.02 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 11:42 | Bobby Brink (6) Sean Couturier (11) · wrist xG 0.07 | 1–5 ▶ | |
| 16:16 | Nico Hischier (5) Luke Hughes (11), Jesper Bratt (15) · wrist xG 0.15 | 2–5 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 13:27 | Nico Hischier (6) Simon Nemec (9), Jesper Bratt (16) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 3–5 ▶ | |
| 15:21 | Trevor Zegras (7) Owen Tippett (7), Christian Dvorak (8) · wrist xG 0.19 | 3–6 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NJD | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.64 | Expected goals | 3.98 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 1.98 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.59 |
| 71 | Shot attempts | 48 |
| 60 | Unblocked attempts | 44 |
| 35 | Shots on goal | 29 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:15 | NJD | Goalie | Goalie · Allen −2.1 goals saved
3 goals on 0.86 xG, 6 shots on goal |
| 17:40 | PHI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NJD 1.46–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:40 to 17:40 of the 1st; goals 4–0 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:57 | PHI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · PHI takes the lead, 60–40%
NJD had led since 7:23 of the 1st, by as much as 85% |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 8 | 0.41 | 1 | 0 | 20:50 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 20:25 |
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 7 | 0.79 | 1 | 0 | 20:11 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.92 | 3 | 0 | 19:43 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 15:56 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 13:11 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.14 | 2 | 0 | 12:14 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 11:33 |
| 11 | Stefan Noesen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 11:27 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.14 | 6 | 0 | 10:18 |
| 33 | Evgenii Dadonov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 09:43 |
| 83 | Juho Lammikko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 09:27 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 9 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 22:29 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 22:26 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 19:15 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 18:07 |
| 44 | Dennis Cholowski | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 15:08 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | 29 | 6 | 23 | .793 | 3.98 | -2.02 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.56 | 1 | 0 | 18:27 |
| 71 | Tyson Foerster | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 0.60 | 2 | 0 | 16:28 |
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 15:56 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 15:49 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 15:34 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 15:16 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.38 | 2 | 0 | 13:44 |
| 18 | Rodrigo Abols | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 1 | 12:41 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 12:14 |
| 44 | Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 3 | 0 | 11:49 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.28 | 0 | 2 | 23:22 |
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.20 | 1 | 2 | 22:42 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 19:45 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 18:15 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 1 | 16:22 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 35 | 3 | 32 | .914 | 3.64 | +0.64 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +2.81 | +1.80 | +0.26 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:50 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +2.56 | +2.05 | +0.51 | +0.13 | -0.15 | +0.05 | -0.04 | — | 20:11 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | +2.25 | +0.75 | +0.60 | +0.93 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:43 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | +0.92 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +0.28 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:05 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.14 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 20:25 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | +0.22 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.37 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 22:29 |
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 13:11 |
| 14 Luke Glendening C | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:14 |
| 44 Dennis Cholowski D | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:08 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:18 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | -0.65 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:26 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 18:07 |
| 11 Stefan Noesen R | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:27 |
| 33 Evgenii Dadonov L | -0.85 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:43 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.11 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 11:33 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | -0.94 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:15 |
| 83 Juho Lammikko C | -1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:27 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | -1.26 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.25 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 15:56 |
| 34 Jake Allen G | -2.02 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.02 | 59:32 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Noah Cates L | +3.12 | +2.15 | +0.39 | +0.65 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 16:28 |
| 71 Tyson Foerster R | +2.76 | +1.50 | +0.13 | +1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:20 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | +1.82 | +1.40 | +0.13 | +0.11 | +0.15 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 15:16 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +1.75 | +0.55 | +0.36 | +0.67 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:27 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +1.52 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:22 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | +1.46 | +0.75 | +0.25 | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:44 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +1.45 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:49 |
| 5 Egor Zamula D | +1.34 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:18 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +1.14 | +0.75 | +0.30 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:41 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +1.07 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:34 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +0.96 | +0.55 | +0.13 | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | — | 15:56 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:15 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | +0.64 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.64 | 59:58 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 19:45 |
| 44 Nicolas Deslauriers L | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:49 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:14 |
| 18 Rodrigo Abols C | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 12:41 |
| 8 Cam York D | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 23:22 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:42 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.