Seattle KrakenSEA 3–2 Final/OT Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

Saturday, November 22, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA 0111 3 21
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 0110 2 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
1:24 SEA Mason Marchment (2) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.08 1–0 ▶
16:16 PIT Sidney Crosby (13) Connor Dewar (3) · wrist xG 0.31 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
5:56 PIT Evgeni Malkin (6)PP Ben Kindel (3), Sidney Crosby (10) · wrist xG 0.04 1–2 ▶
12:36 SEA Matty Beniers (3) Mason Marchment (9), Ryker Evans (3) · wrist xG 0.08 2–2 ▶
Overtime
4:10 SEA Brandon Montour (4) Frederick Gaudreau (2), Ryker Evans (4) · wrist xG 0.05 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 25%Deserve to win75% PIT
SEAPIT
2.03Expected goals3.56
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.47Expected goals, 5 on 52.22
49Shot attempts66
35Unblocked attempts53
21Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
18:00 SEA No shift No shift · Fisker Molgaard, 12:24 on the bench
No shift after 7:36 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (5:10) before that

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PIT shoots
Bryan Rust: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:52) Shane Wright: tip-in, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:01) Ben Kindel: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:19) Ben Kindel: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 5:32) Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:27) Brandon Montour: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:20) Danton Heinen: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 9:30) Ryan Shea: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:45) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:05) Shane Wright: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 11:37) Ben Kindel: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:11) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 14:02) Vince Dunn: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:36) Joona Koppanen: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:07) Erik Karlsson: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 15:58) Ryan Shea: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:18) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:28) Anthony Mantha: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:43) Connor Dewar: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:21) Jaden Schwartz: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:38) Adam Larsson: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:04) Erik Karlsson: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:42) Bryan Rust: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:24) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:33) Parker Wotherspoon: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:42) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:43) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 5:27) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:58) Blake Lizotte: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:06) Mathew Dumba: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:27) Tommy Novak: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:57) Kevin Hayes: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:04) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:21) Ryker Evans: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:03) Bryan Rust: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:22) Ryan Shea: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:28) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:39) Bryan Rust: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:01) Jamie Oleksiak: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:49) Oscar Fisker Molgaard: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:06) Tommy Novak: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 10:51) Bryan Rust: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:29) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:37) Jaden Schwartz: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:51) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:19) Ryker Evans: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:33) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:33) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 14:14) Shane Wright: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:03) Parker Wotherspoon: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:40) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:53) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 17:51) Shane Wright: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 18:47) Ryan Shea: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:47) Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:21) Samuel Poulin: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 2:30) Oscar Fisker Molgaard: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:25) Joona Koppanen: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:02) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:03) Joona Koppanen: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:05) Erik Karlsson: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:04) Tommy Novak: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:12) Kevin Hayes: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:20) Danton Heinen: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:21) Ben Kindel: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 5:54) Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 7:51) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:04) Jaden Schwartz: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:36) Mason Marchment: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 9:03) Mason Marchment: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:13) Kris Letang: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:28) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:44) Adam Larsson: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:05) Connor Dewar: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:39) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:49) Blake Lizotte: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:17) Jaden Schwartz: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:08) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 17:11) Blake Lizotte: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:49) Kris Letang: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 0:55) Kris Letang: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 1:01) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 1:39) Anthony Mantha: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 2:27) Mason Marchment: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 1:24) Sidney Crosby: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.31 (P2 16:16) Evgeni Malkin: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:56) Matty Beniers: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:36) Brandon Montour: GOAL, wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 4:10)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Chandler Stephenson 000 0 20.09 0120:25
10 Matty Beniers 101 +2 10.08 0220:00
7 Jordan Eberle 000 +2 40.35 1119:02
27 Mason Marchment 112 +2 70.23 4018:38
89 Frederick Gaudreau 011 0 40.05 0018:22
71 Jaden Schwartz 000 0 40.14 1118:16
17 Eeli Tolvanen 000 0 50.33 5216:13
51 Shane Wright 000 -1 40.41 2012:40
24 Tye Kartye 000 0 00.00 1012:00
27 Berkly Catton 000 0 10.00 0111:41
26 Ryan Winterton 000 0 10.00 0009:11
Defense
29 Vince Dunn 000 +1 20.01 0023:33
6 Adam Larsson 000 0 30.05 3322:17
62 Brandon Montour 101 +1 40.07 1121:27
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 0 10.02 0121:06
41 Ryker Evans 022 +1 20.03 1018:56
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 0 20.07 3013:46
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Philipp Grubauer 32230 .938 3.56 +1.56

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Bryan Rust 000 0 50.28 1122:21
87 Sidney Crosby 112 0 40.47 1021:26
71 Evgeni Malkin 101 0 20.08 0120:45
18 Tommy Novak 000 -2 30.20 0017:04
39 Anthony Mantha 000 0 40.30 0116:30
13 Kevin Hayes 000 0 20.09 0015:32
81 Ben Kindel 011 -2 70.39 0015:25
19 Connor Dewar 011 +1 20.04 2014:50
46 Blake Lizotte 000 0 70.38 1012:36
58 Danton Heinen 000 0 30.19 3011:08
Defense
65 Erik Karlsson 000 +1 70.32 0227:18
58 Kris Letang 000 -2 40.23 1024:49
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 +1 30.12 1119:46
6 Ryan Shea 000 -1 40.10 1318:24
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Murashov 21318 .857 2.03 -0.97

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Mason Marchment L +1.63 +1.45 +0.15 +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:38
31 Philipp Grubauer G +1.56 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.56 64:10
10 Matty Beniers C +1.42 +0.75 +0.05 +0.54 0.00 -0.02 +0.10 — 20:00
7 Jordan Eberle R +0.78 0.00 +0.23 +0.51 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 19:02
6 Adam Larsson D +0.68 0.00 +0.03 +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 22:17
41 Ryker Evans D +0.58 +1.10 +0.02 -0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:56
20 Eeli Tolvanen R +0.43 0.00 +0.21 +0.01 +0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 16:13
29 Vince Dunn D +0.22 0.00 +0.01 +0.39 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 23:33
62 Brandon Montour D +0.09 +0.75 +0.05 -0.61 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 21:27
78 Oscar Fisker Molgaard C +0.02 0.00 +0.06 -0.07 0.00 +0.02 +0.02 — 5:10
9 Chandler Stephenson C +0.02 0.00 +0.06 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 20:25
17 Jaden Schwartz L 0.00 0.00 +0.09 -0.13 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 18:16
26 Ryan Winterton C -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.38 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:11
12 Tye Kartye L -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:00
89 Frederick Gaudreau C -0.36 +0.70 +0.03 -1.03 0.00 -0.06 0.00 — 18:22
51 Shane Wright C -0.44 0.00 +0.27 -0.67 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 12:40
77 Berkly Catton C -0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.36 -0.15 -0.01 +0.07 — 11:41
55 Ryan Lindgren D -0.61 0.00 +0.01 -0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:06
24 Jamie Oleksiak D -0.73 0.00 +0.04 -0.60 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:46

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
87 Sidney Crosby C +2.12 +1.30 +0.31 +0.51 0.00 +0.06 -0.06 — 21:26
19 Connor Dewar C +1.20 +0.70 +0.02 +0.49 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 14:50
65 Erik Karlsson D +1.03 0.00 +0.21 +0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 27:18
17 Bryan Rust R +0.94 0.00 +0.18 +0.58 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 22:21
71 Evgeni Malkin C +0.77 +0.75 +0.05 -0.07 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 20:45
81 Ben Kindel C +0.75 +0.70 +0.25 -0.16 0.00 +0.03 -0.08 — 15:25
46 Blake Lizotte C +0.73 0.00 +0.25 +0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:36
5 Ryan Shea D +0.67 0.00 +0.07 +0.31 +0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 18:24
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +0.65 0.00 +0.08 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:46
58 Kris Letang D +0.47 0.00 +0.15 +0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 24:49
15 Joona Koppanen L +0.47 0.00 +0.12 +0.12 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 10:31
43 Danton Heinen L +0.38 0.00 +0.13 +0.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:08
39 Anthony Mantha R +0.06 0.00 +0.20 -0.02 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 16:30
18 Tommy Novak C +0.05 0.00 +0.13 +0.10 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 17:04
13 Kevin Hayes R +0.02 0.00 +0.06 +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 15:32
24 Mathew Dumba D -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.28 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 13:28
27 Ryan Graves D -0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 12:47
22 Sam Poulin R -0.18 0.00 +0.12 -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:50
1 Sergei Murashov G -0.97 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.97 64:10

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.