| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 18:21 | Cale Makar (9) Tristen Nielsen (1) · wrist xG 0.07 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| COL | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.51 | Expected goals | 2.28 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 0 |
| 1.75 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.73 |
| 56 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 43 | Unblocked attempts | 36 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 22 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:30 | CHI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced COL 1.09–0.01
In xG over 10 minutes, 7:30 to 17:30 of the 1st; neither team scored |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:13 | COL | Goalie | Goalie · Wedgewood +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.06 xG, 21 shots on goal |
| 17:32 | CHI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Knight, down 1–0
With 2:28 left |
| 18:00 | CHI | No shift | No shift · Lafferty, 10:01 on the bench
No shift after 7:57 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (6:43) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 29 | Nathan MacKinnon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 24:29 |
| 62 | Artturi Lehkonen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.64 | 0 | 0 | 22:48 |
| 88 | Martin Necas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.13 | 0 | 2 | 21:35 |
| 92 | Gabriel Landeskog | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.18 | 2 | 0 | 18:52 |
| 11 | Brock Nelson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 17:55 |
| 79 | Ross Colton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.50 | 7 | 1 | 16:00 |
| 18 | Jack Drury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 15:53 |
| 17 | Parker Kelly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.32 | 4 | 1 | 13:34 |
| 95 | Victor Olofsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 |
| 93 | Zakhar Bardakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 06:34 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Cale Makar | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.23 | 0 | 3 | 27:00 |
| 7 | Devon Toews | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 22:30 |
| 84 | Brent Burns | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 19:40 |
| 42 | Josh Manson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 6 | 0 | 15:29 |
| 49 | Samuel Girard | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 |
| 70 | Sam Malinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 14:26 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Wedgewood | 22 | 0 | 22 | 1.000 | 2.28 | +2.28 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 21:58 |
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:54 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.58 | 1 | 0 | 20:25 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 19:59 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 18:49 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 | 18:47 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 16:56 |
| 16 | Jason Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 16:23 |
| 11 | Oliver Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 12:14 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 08:26 |
| 18 | Sam Lafferty | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 06:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 20:31 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 |
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 19:07 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 14:55 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 14:15 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 12:53 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 26 | 1 | 25 | .962 | 2.08 | +1.08 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Scott Wedgewood G | +2.28 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.28 | 60:00 |
| 20 Ross Colton C | +1.28 | 0.00 | +0.32 | +0.61 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:00 |
| 57 Tristen Nielsen C | +1.10 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 6:52 |
| 8 Cale Makar D | +1.07 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 27:00 |
| 49 Samuel Girard D | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:10 |
| 92 Gabriel Landeskog L | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 18:52 |
| 70 Sam Malinski D | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:26 |
| 14 Jason Polin R | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 5:03 |
| 11 Brock Nelson C | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.48 | -0.15 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 17:55 |
| 93 Zakhar Bardakov C | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.37 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 6:34 |
| 17 Parker Kelly C | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.03 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 13:34 |
| 7 Devon Toews D | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:30 |
| 95 Victor Olofsson L | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:10 |
| 18 Jack Drury C | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:53 |
| 62 Artturi Lehkonen L | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.41 | -0.83 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:48 |
| 84 Brent Burns D | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:40 |
| 29 Nathan MacKinnon C | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.45 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.03 | — | 24:29 |
| 88 Martin Necas C | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:35 |
| 42 Josh Manson D | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.56 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:29 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Spencer Knight G | +1.08 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.08 | 57:32 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.43 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:47 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:07 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 21:58 |
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 21:54 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.38 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:25 |
| 6 Sam Rinzel D | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.31 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:03 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:56 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 20:10 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 14:15 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:49 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 8:26 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:55 |
| 24 Sam Lafferty C | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:43 |
| 11 Oliver Moore C | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:14 |
| 16 Jason Dickinson C | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.11 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:23 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.57 | +0.15 | +0.04 | +0.01 | — | 19:59 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:53 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 20:31 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.