| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 35 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 31 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:53 | Shakir Mukhamadullin (1) Mario Ferraro (5), Barclay Goodrow (2) · wrist xG 0.04 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 11:45 | Macklin Celebrini (14)PP Dmitry Orlov (13), Tyler Toffoli (7) · snap xG 0.08 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:02 | Morgan Geekie (17) David Pastrnak (18), Henri Jokiharju (5) · wrist xG 0.08 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 18:53 | Collin Graf (3)EN William Eklund (9), Macklin Celebrini (20) · wrist xG 0.37 | 1–3 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | SJS | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.51 | Expected goals | 3.16 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.72 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.08 |
| 70 | Shot attempts | 50 |
| 54 | Unblocked attempts | 40 |
| 35 | Shots on goal | 31 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:14 | BOS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · BOS takes the lead, 60–40%
SJS had led since 1:47 of the 1st, by as much as 65% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:00 | BOS | No shift | No shift · Tufte, 15:03 on the bench
No shift after 2:21 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (8:01) before that |
| 18:41 | BOS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Swayman, down 2–1
With 1:19 left; SJS scored at 18:53 of the 3rd (1–3) |
| 19:00 | BOS | Shortened bench | Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Steeves and Kuraly: no shift after 8:24 of the 3rd |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0.54 | 1 | 1 | 21:29 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.22 | 1 | 1 | 21:11 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.44 | 2 | 1 | 16:08 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 16:01 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 15:41 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.22 | 4 | 0 | 15:19 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 14:07 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.34 | 2 | 0 | 12:52 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 12:06 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 11:38 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 09:42 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 27:21 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 22:12 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 4 | 3 | 19:32 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 18:51 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 14:21 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 13:14 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 30 | 2 | 28 | .933 | 2.29 | +0.29 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 | 19:32 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 18:58 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.54 | 0 | 0 | 18:56 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 1 | 2 | 17:31 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 4 | 1 | 16:36 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.74 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 13:17 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 13:09 |
| 96 | Philipp Kurashev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 13:05 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 12:05 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 08:01 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 22:05 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:54 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 2 | 19:18 |
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 18:12 |
| 85 | Shakir Mukhamadullin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 4 | 17:06 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 2 | 13:46 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 35 | 1 | 34 | .971 | 2.51 | +1.51 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +1.88 | +0.70 | +0.35 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 21:29 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +1.64 | +0.75 | +0.29 | +0.42 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 16:08 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | +1.36 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.89 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:51 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.95 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 27:21 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.58 | -0.15 | -0.05 | +0.03 | — | 21:11 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:52 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.02 | — | 15:19 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:12 |
| 10 Riley Tufte L | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:01 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.16 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 11:38 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | +0.29 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.29 | 59:48 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.11 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:01 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 14:07 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 19:32 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.22 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:41 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:06 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:14 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:42 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:21 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +2.22 | +1.30 | +0.24 | +0.55 | +0.15 | -0.05 | +0.03 | — | 19:32 |
| 72 William Eklund L | +1.60 | +0.70 | +0.35 | +0.40 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:56 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | +1.51 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.51 | 59:50 |
| 2 Will Smith C | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.48 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:25 |
| 85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D | +0.63 | +0.75 | +0.03 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 17:06 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +0.62 | +0.75 | +0.26 | -0.70 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:14 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +0.46 | +0.55 | +0.17 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 13:09 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +0.46 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:05 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | +0.29 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:12 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | +0.24 | +0.55 | +0.15 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:31 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:46 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 19:18 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:01 |
| 96 Philipp Kurashev C | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 13:05 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.18 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:17 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.28 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.01 | — | 12:05 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.49 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 18:58 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.07 | — | 16:36 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 19:54 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.