| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 35 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:54 | Timo Meier (7) Stefan Noesen (2), Nico Hischier (11) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 16:33 | Alex DeBrincat (11) Patrick Kane (9), Moritz Seider (12) · backhand xG 0.20 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 17:58 | Nico Hischier (7) Jesper Bratt (17), Timo Meier (10) · snap xG 0.04 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 19:04 | Cody Glass (4) Luke Hughes (12), Connor Brown (2) · tip-in xG 0.13 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:30 | James van Riemsdyk (2)PP Andrew Copp (8), Emmitt Finnie (6) · backhand xG 0.27 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 8:38 | Connor Brown (6) Dawson Mercer (8) · wrist xG 0.13 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:12 | Dylan Larkin (13) Lucas Raymond (17), Moritz Seider (13) · wrist xG 0.26 | 3–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| DET | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.83 | Expected goals | 2.09 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.84 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.00 |
| 84 | Shot attempts | 50 |
| 62 | Unblocked attempts | 30 |
| 35 | Shots on goal | 20 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:38 | DET | Goalie | Goalie · Talbot −2.4 goals saved
4 goals on 1.59 xG, 13 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 19:00 | DET | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NJD 1.77–0.15
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:00 of the 3rd to the end of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.70 | 2 | 1 | 21:25 |
| 88 | Patrick Kane | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 8 | 0.43 | 0 | 1 | 20:52 |
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.89 | 1 | 0 | 20:40 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0.29 | 0 | 1 | 18:51 |
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 3 | 0 | 16:27 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.55 | 0 | 1 | 15:39 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.83 | 2 | 0 | 14:40 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 13:11 |
| 22 | Mason Appleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 12:09 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 4 | 0 | 11:58 |
| 29 | Jonatan Berggren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 10:58 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 9 | 0.19 | 1 | 7 | 25:04 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 22:12 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 20:23 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 |
| 52 | Travis Hamonic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 4 | 15:51 |
| 25 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 12:22 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Talbot | 20 | 4 | 16 | .800 | 2.09 | -1.91 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 3 | 21:15 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 17:42 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.49 | 4 | 2 | 17:16 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 17:15 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 16:20 |
| 33 | Evgenii Dadonov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 13:41 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 12:39 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.33 | 2 | 0 | 12:30 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 2 | 2 | 11:35 |
| 11 | Stefan Noesen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:05 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 10:50 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 23:27 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 4 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 22:50 |
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 22:07 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 21:25 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 |
| 6 | Colton White | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 11:24 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | 35 | 3 | 32 | .914 | 4.83 | +1.83 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Moritz Seider D | +2.42 | +1.10 | +0.12 | +0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.31 | — | 25:04 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +2.20 | +0.75 | +0.58 | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.02 | — | 20:40 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +1.79 | +0.70 | +0.19 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:51 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +1.70 | +0.75 | +0.54 | +0.43 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:40 |
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | +1.68 | +0.55 | +0.16 | +0.83 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:27 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +1.38 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.35 | +0.15 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 13:11 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +0.92 | +0.75 | +0.45 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:25 |
| 88 Patrick Kane R | +0.47 | +0.70 | +0.28 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:52 |
| 25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:22 |
| 48 Jonatan Berggren R | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:58 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:44 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 20:23 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.36 | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 | — | 15:39 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:12 |
| 22 Mason Appleton C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:09 |
| 29 Nate Danielson C | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.16 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 10:44 |
| 52 Travis Hamonic D | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 15:51 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.40 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 11:58 |
| 39 Cam Talbot G | -1.91 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.91 | 57:50 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jacob Markstrom G | +1.83 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.83 | 59:42 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | +1.50 | +1.30 | +0.10 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:42 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | +1.37 | +1.30 | +0.32 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:16 |
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +1.27 | +1.30 | +0.03 | -0.25 | +0.15 | -0.09 | +0.13 | — | 21:15 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +0.85 | +0.75 | +0.14 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:50 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | +0.81 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.03 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.02 | — | 16:20 |
| 11 Stefan Noesen R | +0.55 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:05 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | +0.55 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 22:07 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 11:35 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:30 |
| 45 Colton White D | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 11:24 |
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.07 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:31 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | -0.01 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:15 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 18:16 |
| 14 Luke Glendening C | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 12:39 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 22:50 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:27 |
| 33 Evgenii Dadonov L | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:41 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.22 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:25 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.