| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 26 |
 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 39 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:11 | |
A.J. Greer (5) Carter Verhaeghe (9), Seth Jones (10) · wrist xG 0.06 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 5:42 | |
Evan Rodrigues (6) Uvis Balinskis (3), Sam Reinhart (7) · wrist xG 0.23 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 6:52 | |
Filip Forsberg (9) Luke Evangelista (9), Roman Josi (5) · wrist xG 0.05 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 10:32 | |
Fedor Svechkov (1) Ozzy Wiesblatt (3), Tyson Jost (2) · wrist xG 0.21 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 11:31 | |
Jesper Boqvist (3) Gustav Forsling (11), Sam Reinhart (8) · wrist xG 0.13 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 15:46 | |
Sam Bennett (5) Unassisted · deflected xG 0.29 | 4–2 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:24 | |
Gustav Forsling (1) Mackie Samoskevich (9), Brad Marchand (12) · deflected xG 0.11 | 5–2 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:11 | |
Nick Blankenburg (2)PP Michael Bunting (7), Erik Haula (8) · deflected xG 0.12 | 5–3 ▶ |
| 4:52 | |
A.J. Greer (6) Carter Verhaeghe (10), Uvis Balinskis (4) · snap xG 0.11 | 6–3 ▶ |
| 8:33 | |
Sam Reinhart (13) Evan Rodrigues (6), Aaron Ekblad (5) · wrist xG 0.21 | 7–3 ▶ |
| 12:49 | |
Carter Verhaeghe (3) A.J. Greer (3) · backhand xG 0.16 | 8–3 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| FLA | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.05 | Expected goals | 2.75 |
| 8 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.43 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.32 |
| 41 | Shot attempts | 67 |
| 35 | Unblocked attempts | 49 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 39 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:31 | NSH | Goalie | Goalie · Saros −2.3 goals saved
3 goals on 0.69 xG, 6 shots on goal |
| 17:24 | FLA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · FLA takes the lead, 61–39%
NSH had led since 10:32 of the 1st, by as much as 61% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 1:24 | NSH | Goalie change | Goalie change · Annunen in for Saros
1:24 of the 2nd; Saros had allowed 5 goals on 16 shots (1.62 xG) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Evan Rodrigues | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 18:54 |
| 13 | Sam Reinhart | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 0.63 | 0 | 0 | 17:21 |
| 9 | Sam Bennett | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 2 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 16:55 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.36 | 0 | 1 | 16:18 |
| 15 | Anton Lundell | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 16:08 |
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 3 | 0.18 | 2 | 0 | 16:08 |
| 18 | A.J. Greer | 2 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 4 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 15:42 |
| 63 | Brad Marchand | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.21 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 |
| 71 | Luke Kunin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 11:45 |
| 73 | Noah Gregor | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 08:41 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Seth Jones | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 22:28 |
| 77 | Niko Mikkola | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 22:26 |
| 5 | Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 21:36 |
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 19:07 |
| 26 | Uvis Balinskis | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.17 | 3 | 2 | 16:19 |
| 2 | Jeff Petry | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 15:57 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Tarasov | 39 | 3 | 36 | .923 | 2.75 | -0.25 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 77 | Luke Evangelista | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 20:11 |
| 90 | Ryan O'Reilly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 18:15 |
| 56 | Erik Haula | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:46 |
| 9 | Filip Forsberg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.25 | 2 | 0 | 16:32 |
| 58 | Michael Bunting | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 5 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 15:48 |
| 89 | Ozzy Wiesblatt | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 2 | 0 | 13:02 |
| 17 | Tyson Jost | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 12:59 |
| 81 | Jonathan Marchessault | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 12:51 |
| 91 | Steven Stamkos | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 12:50 |
| 9 | Fedor Svechkov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 3 | 0 | 12:35 |
| 71 | Matthew Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 12:10 |
| 47 | Michael McCarron | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.13 | 4 | 0 | 10:30 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 59 | Roman Josi | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 10 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 23:01 |
| 41 | Nicolas Hague | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 21:03 |
| 48 | Nick Perbix | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 20:51 |
| 76 | Brady Skjei | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 20:21 |
| 3 | Nick Blankenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 8 | 0.21 | 1 | 1 | 19:35 |
| 24 | Spencer Stastney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 13:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | 16 | 5 | 11 | .688 | 1.62 | -3.38 |
| Justus Annunen | 10 | 3 | 7 | .700 | 1.43 | -1.57 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 A.J. Greer L | +3.51 | +2.20 | +0.19 | +0.96 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 15:42 |
| 13 Sam Reinhart C | +3.01 | +1.85 | +0.41 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 17:21 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | +2.97 | +2.15 | +0.12 | +0.58 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:08 |
| 17 Evan Rodrigues C | +2.58 | +1.45 | +0.24 | +0.94 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 18:54 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | +2.13 | +0.75 | +0.24 | +1.13 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 16:18 |
| 26 Uvis Balinskis D | +2.09 | +1.25 | +0.11 | +0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 16:19 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | +2.08 | +1.45 | +0.07 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:07 |
| 9 Sam Bennett C | +1.56 | +0.75 | +0.20 | +0.61 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.04 | — | 16:55 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | +0.87 | +0.70 | +0.18 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:48 |
| 5 Aaron Ekblad D | +0.86 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:36 |
| 63 Brad Marchand L | +0.81 | +0.55 | +0.13 | +0.05 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 15:03 |
| 2 Jeff Petry D | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.77 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 15:57 |
| 3 Seth Jones D | +0.29 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 22:28 |
| 15 Anton Lundell C | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.08 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.02 | — | 16:08 |
| 77 Niko Mikkola D | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.07 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 22:26 |
| 40 Daniil Tarasov G | -0.25 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.25 | 59:38 |
| 71 Luke Kunin C | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.84 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 11:45 |
| 38 Jack Devine R | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:41 |
| 18 Noah Gregor L | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.82 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 8:41 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 77 Luke Evangelista R | +1.39 | +0.70 | +0.25 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:11 |
| 40 Fedor Svechkov C | +1.09 | +0.75 | +0.14 | +0.23 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.02 | — | 12:35 |
| 9 Filip Forsberg L | +1.09 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.06 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:32 |
| 89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C | +1.01 | +0.70 | +0.20 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:02 |
| 59 Roman Josi D | +0.99 | +0.55 | +0.13 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:01 |
| 17 Tyson Jost C | +0.90 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:59 |
| 37 Nick Blankenburg D | +0.39 | +0.75 | +0.14 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:35 |
| 24 Spencer Stastney D | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:40 |
| 90 Ryan O'Reilly C | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.02 | — | 18:15 |
| 58 Michael Bunting L | +0.16 | +0.70 | +0.18 | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:48 |
| 41 Nicolas Hague D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 21:03 |
| 56 Erik Haula L | +0.10 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.01 | — | 17:46 |
| 76 Brady Skjei D | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:21 |
| 71 Matthew Wood R | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.55 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:10 |
| 91 Steven Stamkos C | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 12:50 |
| 47 Michael McCarron C | -0.85 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.86 | -0.15 | +0.07 | 0.00 | — | 10:30 |
| 81 Jonathan Marchessault R | -0.93 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.96 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:51 |
| 48 Nick Perbix D | -1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:51 |
| 29 Justus Annunen G | -1.57 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.57 | 38:36 |
| 74 Juuse Saros G | -3.38 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.38 | 21:24 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.