| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 34 | |
| 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 23 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:54 | Dylan Guenther (9) Logan Cooley (8), Nate Schmidt (8) · snap xG 0.12 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 16:11 | Logan Cooley (10) Dylan Guenther (8), Nate Schmidt (9) · wrist xG 0.15 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:24 | Ivan Barbashev (8) Jack Eichel (20), Braeden Bowman (2) · backhand xG 0.30 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:19 | Logan Cooley (11) Unassisted · deflected xG 0.26 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 15:41 | Logan Cooley (12)EN Ian Cole (8) · snap xG 0.47 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 17:43 | Logan Cooley (13)SHEN Unassisted · snap xG 0.47 | 1–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| VGK | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.71 | Expected goals | 3.81 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 3.22 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.45 |
| 74 | Shot attempts | 53 |
| 55 | Unblocked attempts | 41 |
| 34 | Shots on goal | 23 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:24 | VGK | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · VGK takes the lead, 67–33%
UTA had led since 10:49 of the 1st, by as much as 66% |
| 10:30 | VGK | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.31–0.12
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:30 to 10:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 17:10 | UTA | Goalie | Goalie · Vejmelka +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.03 xG, 23 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:00 | VGK | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.57–0.19
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:10 of the 2nd to 4:10 of the 3rd; neither team scored |
| 15:16 | VGK | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Lindbom, down 3–1
With 4:44 left; UTA scored at 15:41 of the 3rd (1–4) |
| 16:44 | VGK | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Lindbom, down 4–1
With 3:16 left; UTA scored at 17:43 of the 3rd (1–5) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Jack Eichel | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 11 | 0.64 | 1 | 0 | 21:02 |
| 93 | Mitch Marner | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 6 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 20:10 |
| 42 | Braeden Bowman | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 6 | 1.05 | 0 | 0 | 18:49 |
| 16 | Pavel Dorofeyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.55 | 1 | 1 | 17:52 |
| 48 | Tomas Hertl | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 17:50 |
| 20 | Brandon Saad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 13:58 |
| 15 | Colton Sissons | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 13:25 |
| 21 | Brett Howden | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 13:21 |
| 49 | Ivan Barbashev | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.86 | 3 | 0 | 13:10 |
| 19 | Reilly Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 |
| 55 | Keegan Kolesar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.15 | 5 | 0 | 12:02 |
| 29 | Cole Reinhardt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 11:42 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 27 | Shea Theodore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 9 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 20:46 |
| 15 | Noah Hanifin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 20:13 |
| 3 | Brayden McNabb | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 20:02 |
| 28 | Zach Whitecloud | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 17:15 |
| 17 | Ben Hutton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 16:59 |
| 6 | Kaedan Korczak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.11 | 2 | 3 | 15:49 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carl Lindbom | 21 | 3 | 18 | .857 | 2.87 | -0.13 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 67 | Lawson Crouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.22 | 4 | 2 | 17:44 |
| 22 | Jack McBain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 3 | 1 | 17:11 |
| 10 | JJ Peterka | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 16:38 |
| 92 | Logan Cooley | 4 | 1 | 5 | +4 | 5 | 1.49 | 1 | 0 | 15:20 |
| 11 | Dylan Guenther | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.26 | 2 | 1 | 15:04 |
| 9 | Clayton Keller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.37 | 0 | 2 | 14:56 |
| 82 | Kevin Stenlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 14:50 |
| 8 | Nick Schmaltz | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 14:38 |
| 27 | Barrett Hayton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 14:14 |
| 53 | Michael Carcone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 12:56 |
| 56 | Kailer Yamamoto | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 12:07 |
| 13 | Brandon Tanev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 11:47 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 98 | Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 7 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 22:15 |
| 88 | Nate Schmidt | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 21:22 |
| 6 | John Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 21:21 |
| 57 | Nick DeSimone | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 20:54 |
| 28 | Ian Cole | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 18:53 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | 34 | 1 | 33 | .971 | 4.71 | +3.71 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49 Ivan Barbashev L | +2.56 | +0.75 | +0.56 | +1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:10 |
| 42 Braeden Bowman R | +2.48 | +0.55 | +0.68 | +1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:49 |
| 9 Jack Eichel C | +1.96 | +0.70 | +0.41 | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.08 | — | 21:02 |
| 27 Shea Theodore D | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:46 |
| 6 Kaedan Korczak D | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 15:49 |
| 48 Tomas Hertl C | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.17 | +0.15 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 17:50 |
| 17 Ben Hutton D | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:59 |
| 23 Cole Reinhardt L | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.15 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:42 |
| 16 Pavel Dorofeyev R | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.35 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:52 |
| 2 Zach Whitecloud D | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.14 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:15 |
| 3 Brayden McNabb D | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:02 |
| 55 Keegan Kolesar R | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:02 |
| 10 Colton Sissons C | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.13 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:25 |
| 20 Brandon Saad L | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:58 |
| 30 Carl Lindbom G | -0.13 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.13 | 58:36 |
| 15 Noah Hanifin D | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 20:13 |
| 21 Brett Howden C | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.36 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 13:21 |
| 93 Mitch Marner R | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 20:10 |
| 19 Reilly Smith R | -1.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.89 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:59 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 Logan Cooley C | +5.07 | +3.70 | +0.97 | +0.40 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.04 | — | 15:20 |
| 70 Karel Vejmelka G | +3.71 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +3.71 | 59:54 |
| 11 Dylan Guenther R | +1.59 | +1.45 | +0.17 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:04 |
| 88 Nate Schmidt D | +1.51 | +1.10 | +0.01 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:22 |
| 6 John Marino D | +0.96 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.65 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:21 |
| 28 Ian Cole D | +0.69 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:53 |
| 67 Lawson Crouse L | +0.50 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 17:44 |
| 77 JJ Peterka R | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:38 |
| 22 Jack McBain C | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.07 | — | 17:11 |
| 56 Kailer Yamamoto R | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:07 |
| 53 Michael Carcone L | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:56 |
| 8 Nick Schmaltz C | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.45 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:38 |
| 13 Brandon Tanev L | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:47 |
| 9 Clayton Keller R | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -0.41 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:56 |
| 27 Barrett Hayton C | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.41 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 14:14 |
| 98 Mikhail Sergachev D | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 22:15 |
| 26 Dmitri Simashev D | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:56 |
| 82 Kevin Stenlund C | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | -0.30 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 14:50 |
| 57 Nick DeSimone D | -0.97 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:54 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.