Nashville PredatorsNSH 6–3 Final Detroit Red WingsDET

Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Nashville PredatorsNSH	1	0	5	6	29
Detroit Red WingsDET	0	2	1	3	31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
15:48	NSH	Michael Bunting (5)PP Nick Blankenburg (6), Erik Haula (9) · tip-in xG 0.13	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
5:30	DET	Alex DeBrincat (12)PP Dylan Larkin (13), Lucas Raymond (18) · snap xG 0.18	1–1 ▶
16:34	DET	James van Riemsdyk (3)PP Patrick Kane (10), Nate Danielson (3) · snap xG 0.10	1–2 ▶
3rd Period
2:05	NSH	Nick Blankenburg (3) Ryan O'Reilly (8) · backhand xG 0.29	2–2 ▶
2:20	NSH	Roman Josi (2) Michael Bunting (8), Michael McCarron (4) · snap xG 0.05	3–2 ▶
3:04	DET	Ben Chiarot (3) Mason Appleton (6), J.T. Compher (4) · wrist xG 0.01	3–3 ▶
14:14	NSH	Ryan O'Reilly (7) Luke Evangelista (10), Steven Stamkos (2) · snap xG 0.36	4–3 ▶
14:42	NSH	Erik Haula (4) Filip Forsberg (8), Jonathan Marchessault (3) · snap xG 0.24	5–3 ▶
18:45	NSH	Steven Stamkos (5)EN Ryan O'Reilly (9), Luke Evangelista (11) · snap xG 0.69	6–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NSH 46%Deserve to win54% DET

NSH		DET
3.55	Expected goals	3.07
6	Goals (no shootout)	3
2.20	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.37
64	Shot attempts	55
43	Unblocked attempts	46
29	Shots on goal	31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:53	DET	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 60–40% NSH had led since 18:13 of the 1st, by as much as 60%
3rd Period
14:42	DET	Goalie	Goalie · Talbot −2.1 goals saved 5 goals on 2.85 xG, 28 shots on goal
16:03	DET	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Talbot, down 5–3 With 3:57 left; NSH scored at 18:45 of the 3rd (6–3)

Shot map

NSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DET shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Nashville Predators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Filip Forsberg	0	1	1	+1	8	0.28	3	0	21:21
90	Ryan O'Reilly	1	2	3	+3	1	0.36	0	0	20:02
91	Steven Stamkos	1	1	2	+2	5	0.79	1	1	18:28
77	Luke Evangelista	0	2	2	+3	4	0.15	0	0	16:55
56	Erik Haula	1	1	2	0	6	0.52	3	1	16:27
81	Jonathan Marchessault	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	0	0	16:26
47	Michael McCarron	0	1	1	+1	4	0.17	5	2	15:45
58	Michael Bunting	1	1	2	0	6	0.29	1	0	15:24
9	Fedor Svechkov	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	2	0	14:54
89	Ozzy Wiesblatt	0	0	0	+1	2	0.21	2	0	09:53
71	Matthew Wood	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	0	09:52
Defense
59	Roman Josi	1	0	1	+2	7	0.24	0	0	23:57
48	Nick Perbix	0	0	0	+1	4	0.03	1	0	19:45
76	Brady Skjei	0	0	0	+1	4	0.02	0	1	18:42
41	Nicolas Hague	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	1	17:06
3	Nick Blankenburg	1	1	2	+1	4	0.34	1	1	16:12
24	Spencer Stastney	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	0	0	10:28
2	Adam Wilsby	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	1	09:56

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Justus Annunen	31	3	28	.903	3.07	+0.07

Detroit Red Wings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
71	Dylan Larkin	0	1	1	-3	6	0.60	0	1	22:46
23	Lucas Raymond	0	1	1	-2	3	0.01	1	1	21:33
93	Alex DeBrincat	1	0	1	-1	9	0.75	0	0	19:32
88	Patrick Kane	0	1	1	-2	6	0.61	0	1	19:04
58	Emmitt Finnie	0	0	0	-1	4	0.16	1	1	16:12
92	Marco Kasper	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	0	13:32
37	J.T. Compher	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	2	13:01
22	Mason Appleton	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	1	0	12:46
18	Andrew Copp	0	0	0	-2	2	0.02	0	0	12:01
25	Elmer Soderblom	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	1	0	11:18
21	James van Riemsdyk	1	0	1	-3	4	0.31	0	0	09:53
Defense
53	Moritz Seider	0	0	0	-3	4	0.06	0	5	27:00
8	Ben Chiarot	1	0	1	-1	4	0.05	6	2	21:16
44	Axel Sandin-Pellikka	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	0	1	19:00
20	Albert Johansson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	1	15:14
52	Travis Hamonic	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	1	13:28

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Cam Talbot	28	5	23	.821	2.85	-2.15

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Nashville Predators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
90 Ryan O'Reilly C	+3.30	+2.15	+0.24	+0.89	0.00	+0.01	+0.02	—	20:02
77 Luke Evangelista R	+2.34	+1.25	+0.10	+0.99	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:55
91 Steven Stamkos C	+2.14	+1.30	+0.51	+0.42	-0.15	+0.01	+0.05	—	18:28
37 Nick Blankenburg D	+2.03	+1.45	+0.22	+0.46	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	16:12
56 Erik Haula L	+1.71	+1.30	+0.34	+0.04	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	16:27
58 Michael Bunting L	+1.70	+1.45	+0.19	+0.06	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:24
9 Filip Forsberg L	+1.20	+0.70	+0.18	+0.19	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	21:21
47 Michael McCarron C	+1.11	+0.55	+0.11	+0.33	0.00	+0.01	+0.10	—	15:45
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C	+1.10	0.00	+0.14	+0.96	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:53
59 Roman Josi D	+1.02	+0.75	+0.16	+0.26	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	23:57
48 Nick Perbix D	+0.59	0.00	+0.02	+0.59	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:45
41 Nicolas Hague D	+0.52	0.00	0.00	+0.49	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	17:06
76 Brady Skjei D	+0.47	0.00	+0.01	+0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	18:42
24 Spencer Stastney D	+0.40	0.00	+0.01	+0.42	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	10:28
40 Fedor Svechkov C	+0.34	0.00	+0.02	+0.33	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	14:54
83 Adam Wilsby D	+0.33	0.00	0.00	+0.13	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	9:56
81 Jonathan Marchessault R	+0.30	+0.55	+0.03	-0.24	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	—	16:26
71 Matthew Wood R	+0.13	0.00	+0.03	+0.12	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	9:52
29 Justus Annunen G	+0.07	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.07	60:00

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
93 Alex DeBrincat R	+1.31	+0.75	+0.49	+0.23	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	19:32
37 J.T. Compher L	+1.12	+0.55	+0.03	+0.24	+0.15	+0.03	+0.12	—	13:01
22 Mason Appleton C	+0.88	+0.70	+0.02	+0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:46
88 Patrick Kane R	+0.81	+0.70	+0.40	-0.30	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:04
21 James van Riemsdyk L	+0.44	+0.75	+0.20	-0.66	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	9:53
92 Marco Kasper C	+0.34	0.00	+0.11	+0.29	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	—	13:32
85 Elmer Soderblom L	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	+0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	11:18
23 Lucas Raymond L	+0.03	+0.55	+0.01	-0.56	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	21:33
71 Dylan Larkin C	-0.01	+0.70	+0.39	-1.15	0.00	+0.02	+0.03	—	22:46
56 Erik Gustafsson D	-0.11	0.00	+0.02	-0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:23
52 Travis Hamonic D	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	-0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:28
58 Emmitt Finnie C	-0.23	0.00	+0.11	-0.56	+0.15	0.00	+0.07	—	16:12
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D	-0.25	0.00	+0.08	-0.33	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:00
8 Ben Chiarot D	-0.32	+0.75	+0.03	-1.03	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	21:16
29 Nate Danielson C	-0.37	+0.55	0.00	-0.75	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	9:09
20 Albert Johansson D	-0.49	0.00	+0.02	-0.54	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:14
53 Moritz Seider D	-0.64	0.00	+0.04	-0.90	0.00	0.00	+0.23	—	27:00
18 Andrew Copp C	-0.68	0.00	+0.01	-0.72	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	12:01
39 Cam Talbot G	-2.15	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.15	57:13

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.