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St. Louis BluesSTL 2–3 Final/OT New Jersey DevilsNJD

Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
St. Louis BluesSTL 2000 2 23
New Jersey DevilsNJD 1101 3 29

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:16 STL Cam Fowler (1) Nathan Walker (5), Logan Mailloux (1) · wrist xG 0.01 1–0 ▶
11:02 NJD Timo Meier (8) Nico Hischier (12), Dougie Hamilton (4) · tip-in xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
14:37 STL Robert Thomas (4)PP Cam Fowler (10), Pavel Buchnevich (8) · wrist xG 0.07 2–1 ▶
2nd Period
8:49 NJD Nico Hischier (8)PP Timo Meier (11), Luke Hughes (13) · wrist xG 0.28 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
2:58 NJD Simon Nemec (5) Nico Hischier (13), Paul Cotter (3) · snap xG 0.22 2–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

STL 43%Deserve to win57% NJD
STLNJD
1.94Expected goals2.28
2Goals (no shootout)3
0.96Expected goals, 5 on 51.44
53Shot attempts59
34Unblocked attempts43
23Shots on goal29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
7:20 NJD No shift No shift · Lammikko, 22:41 on the bench
No shift after 12:39 of the 2nd; 9 shifts (7:26) before that

Shot map

STL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NJD shoots
Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:28) Nico Hischier: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:29) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 0:46) Brayden Schenn: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 3:07) Juho Lammikko: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:27) Arseny Gritsyuk: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:36) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:37) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:59) Jesper Bratt: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:50) Stefan Noesen: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:09) Philip Broberg: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 9:39) Justin Faulk: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:14) Timo Meier: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 10:49) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 168 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:12) Nico Hischier: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:35) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:37) Justin Faulk: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 13:46) Justin Faulk: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:47) Timo Meier: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:03) Paul Cotter: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:38) Stefan Noesen: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:41) Juho Lammikko: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:41) Paul Cotter: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:42) Dougie Hamilton: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:09) Timo Meier: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 18:38) Justin Faulk: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:50) Jake Neighbours: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:59) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:43) Cody Glass: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:02) Connor Brown: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:08) Nathan Walker: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:44) Logan Mailloux: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:11) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:16) Nico Hischier: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:59) Pius Suter: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:28) Oskar Sundqvist: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 6:09) Philip Broberg: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:30) Timo Meier: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:47) Simon Nemec: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:26) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 10:46) Simon Nemec: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:27) Justin Faulk: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:26) Jake Neighbours: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:28) Logan Mailloux: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:02) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:04) Nico Hischier: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:17) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:32) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:04) Jake Neighbours: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:29) Simon Nemec: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:16) Pavel Buchnevich: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:43) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 2:50) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 3:06) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:06) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:36) Nico Hischier: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:48) Robert Thomas: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:40) Jordan Kyrou: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 4:56) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:33) Timo Meier: backhand, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:18) Logan Mailloux: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:28) Paul Cotter: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:33) Brenden Dillon: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:28) Mathieu Joseph: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 13:13) Jesper Bratt: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:23) Ondrej Palat: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:38) Mathieu Joseph: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 15:58) Jonas Siegenthaler: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:41) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 82 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:09) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:29) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 1:31) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 1:48) Cam Fowler: GOAL, wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:16) Timo Meier: GOAL, tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:02) Robert Thomas: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 14:37) Nico Hischier: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 8:49) Simon Nemec: GOAL, snap, 11 ft, xG 0.22 (OT 2:58)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Robert Thomas 101 -1 40.10 0019:48
25 Jordan Kyrou 000 -1 50.22 0018:12
89 Pavel Buchnevich 011 0 20.21 0217:06
10 Brayden Schenn 000 -1 30.17 3016:59
15 Dalibor Dvorsky 000 -1 10.00 0016:19
81 Dylan Holloway 000 0 30.05 0116:08
22 Pius Suter 000 0 10.01 0015:39
63 Jake Neighbours 000 -1 40.04 2115:32
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 0 30.28 0114:26
26 Nathan Walker 011 +1 10.04 3213:38
21 Mathieu Joseph 000 +1 20.25 3013:29
70 Oskar Sundqvist 000 +1 10.13 1011:28
Defense
6 Philip Broberg 000 -1 50.19 0326:14
17 Cam Fowler 112 0 30.01 0122:57
72 Justin Faulk 000 0 70.19 1021:23
55 Colton Parayko 000 0 00.00 0321:18
75 Tyler Tucker 000 -1 40.02 0013:35
23 Logan Mailloux 011 +1 40.04 2011:24
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jordan Binnington 29326 .897 2.28 -0.72

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
28 Timo Meier 112 +1 80.45 3121:29
13 Nico Hischier 123 +2 90.43 1121:17
63 Jesper Bratt 000 +1 40.17 0021:15
91 Dawson Mercer 000 +1 30.12 1121:10
16 Connor Brown 000 -1 10.05 0115:40
81 Arseny Gritsyuk 000 0 50.10 1014:58
81 Ondrej Palat 000 0 10.07 3013:31
47 Paul Cotter 011 -1 40.10 4112:25
12 Cody Glass 000 -1 10.01 1012:24
41 Luke Glendening 000 0 10.00 0109:50
11 Stefan Noesen 000 0 20.06 1009:27
83 Juho Lammikko 000 0 20.18 2107:26
Defense
43 Luke Hughes 011 0 20.00 0226:45
71 Simon Nemec 101 +1 50.31 2024:19
7 Dougie Hamilton 011 +1 70.19 0321:18
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 000 +1 10.01 1218:57
5 Brenden Dillon 000 -1 20.02 5216:30
6 Colton White 000 -1 10.00 1212:24
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jacob Markstrom 23221 .913 1.94 -0.06

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
17 Cam Fowler D +1.29 +1.45 +0.01 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:57
26 Nathan Walker L +1.01 +0.70 +0.03 +0.32 -0.15 +0.01 +0.10 — 13:38
18 Robert Thomas C +0.80 +0.75 +0.06 +0.01 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 19:48
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +0.79 +0.55 +0.13 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 17:06
71 Mathieu Joseph R +0.68 0.00 +0.16 +0.37 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:29
70 Oskar Sundqvist C +0.59 0.00 +0.09 +0.55 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 11:28
23 Logan Mailloux D +0.58 +0.55 +0.02 -0.27 +0.30 0.00 -0.02 — 11:24
55 Colton Parayko D +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 21:18
25 Jordan Kyrou R +0.11 0.00 +0.14 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:12
72 Justin Faulk D +0.02 0.00 +0.12 +0.07 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 21:23
6 Philip Broberg D -0.06 0.00 +0.13 -0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 26:14
81 Dylan Holloway L -0.09 0.00 +0.03 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:08
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R -0.11 0.00 +0.18 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 14:26
75 Tyler Tucker D -0.39 0.00 +0.02 -0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:35
63 Jake Neighbours L -0.43 0.00 +0.03 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 15:32
54 Dalibor Dvorsky R -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.57 +0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 16:19
22 Pius Suter C -0.50 0.00 +0.01 -0.53 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 15:39
10 Brayden Schenn C -0.60 0.00 +0.11 -0.70 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:59
50 Jordan Binnington G -0.72 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.72 62:31

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Nico Hischier C +2.75 +2.15 +0.28 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:17
28 Timo Meier R +2.55 +1.45 +0.29 +0.62 +0.15 +0.03 +0.01 — 21:29
7 Dougie Hamilton D +1.25 +0.55 +0.12 +0.60 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 21:18
17 Simon Nemec D +0.87 +0.75 +0.20 -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 24:19
47 Paul Cotter L +0.76 +0.55 +0.07 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:25
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D +0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:57
63 Jesper Bratt L +0.56 0.00 +0.11 +0.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:15
43 Luke Hughes D +0.53 +0.55 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 26:45
11 Stefan Noesen R +0.33 0.00 +0.04 +0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:27
45 Colton White D +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 12:24
91 Dawson Mercer C +0.31 0.00 +0.08 +0.16 0.00 -0.01 +0.07 — 21:10
5 Brenden Dillon D +0.13 0.00 +0.01 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 16:30
14 Luke Glendening C +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.05 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 9:50
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R +0.10 0.00 +0.06 +0.04 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 14:58
25 Jacob Markstrom G -0.06 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.06 62:58
83 Juho Lammikko C -0.07 0.00 +0.12 -0.08 -0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 7:26
12 Cody Glass C -0.14 0.00 +0.01 -0.32 +0.15 +0.04 -0.02 — 12:24
18 Ondrej Palat L -0.17 0.00 +0.05 +0.08 -0.30 0.00 0.00 — 13:31
16 Connor Brown R -0.19 0.00 +0.03 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:40

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.