| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 |
 |
0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 38 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:53 | |
Noah Laba (4) Taylor Raddysh (2), Matthew Robertson (1) · snap xG 0.09 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:04 | |
Shayne Gostisbehere (3)PP Sebastian Aho (14), Nikolaj Ehlers (11) · snap xG 0.15 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 18:56 | |
Artemi Panarin (7) Adam Fox (19), J.T. Miller (7) · snap xG 0.13 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:45 | |
Vincent Trocheck (5) Artemi Panarin (15), Mika Zibanejad (9) · slap xG 0.15 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 10:53 | |
Seth Jarvis (12) Shayne Gostisbehere (13), Sebastian Aho (15) · snap xG 0.09 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 18:17 | |
Will Cuylle (7)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.52 | 4–2 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.59 | Expected goals | 3.91 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.70 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.04 |
| 46 | Shot attempts | 78 |
| 35 | Unblocked attempts | 55 |
| 18 | Shots on goal | 38 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:33 | CAR | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CAR takes the lead, 61–39%
NYR had led since 6:26 of the 1st, by as much as 65% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:51 | CAR | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Andersen, down 3–2
With 2:09 left; NYR scored at 18:17 of the 3rd (4–2) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.24 | 4 | 2 | 22:31 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 22:00 |
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.22 | 2 | 2 | 18:59 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 18:00 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 6 | 0 | 15:49 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.84 | 2 | 1 | 15:08 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 13:41 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 |
| 37 | Brett Berard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.40 | 4 | 0 | 11:05 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 09:23 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 08:46 |
| 84 | Adam Edstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 1 | 07:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 27:07 |
| 23 | Adam Fox | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 23:08 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 19:14 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.05 | 3 | 6 | 19:00 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.04 | 1 | 4 | 17:26 |
| 18 | Urho Vaakanainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 38 | 2 | 36 | .947 | 3.91 | +1.91 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 24 | Seth Jarvis | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.39 | 4 | 1 | 20:10 |
| 37 | Andrei Svechnikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 12 | 0.47 | 5 | 0 | 19:31 |
| 20 | Sebastian Aho | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 9 | 0.47 | 1 | 0 | 19:23 |
| 53 | Jackson Blake | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.94 | 0 | 0 | 18:29 |
| 27 | Nikolaj Ehlers | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 17:46 |
| 22 | Logan Stankoven | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 |
| 71 | Taylor Hall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 15:19 |
| 77 | Mark Jankowski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 3 | 1 | 13:22 |
| 50 | Eric Robinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 13:08 |
| 48 | Jordan Martinook | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 11:04 |
| 28 | William Carrier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.27 | 1 | 1 | 10:18 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 19 | K'Andre Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.21 | 2 | 0 | 24:08 |
| 26 | Sean Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 23:21 |
| 4 | Shayne Gostisbehere | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 7 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 21:19 |
| 21 | Alexander Nikishin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 3 | 2 | 16:31 |
| 5 | Jalen Chatfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 15:32 |
| 64 | Joel Nystrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Andersen | 17 | 3 | 14 | .824 | 2.05 | -0.95 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | +1.91 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.91 | 60:00 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +1.35 | +0.75 | +0.55 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:08 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +1.31 | +1.45 | +0.08 | -0.07 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:00 |
| 23 Adam Fox D | +1.23 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:08 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +1.07 | +0.75 | +0.08 | +0.40 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:41 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | +1.03 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.26 | — | 19:00 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +0.99 | +0.75 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.06 | — | 22:31 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +0.75 | +0.55 | +0.14 | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 18:59 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | +0.48 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:23 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +0.44 | +0.55 | +0.07 | -0.03 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:00 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 27:07 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 11:50 |
| 65 Brett Berard L | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.11 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:05 |
| 84 Adam Edstrom C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 7:43 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:49 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 17:26 |
| 18 Urho Vaakanainen D | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:56 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 8:46 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 19:14 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sebastian Aho C | +1.50 | +1.25 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 19:23 |
| 4 Shayne Gostisbehere D | +0.94 | +1.45 | +0.15 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 21:19 |
| 27 Nikolaj Ehlers L | +0.91 | +0.55 | +0.06 | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 17:46 |
| 53 Jackson Blake R | +0.88 | 0.00 | +0.61 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:29 |
| 26 Sean Walker D | +0.79 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.53 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 23:21 |
| 24 Seth Jarvis C | +0.56 | +0.75 | +0.25 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 20:10 |
| 19 K'Andre Miller D | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 24:08 |
| 46 Justin Robidas C | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.16 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 9:25 |
| 48 Jordan Martinook L | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.24 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 11:04 |
| 28 William Carrier L | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:18 |
| 21 Alexander Nikishin D | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 16:31 |
| 5 Jalen Chatfield D | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 15:32 |
| 71 Taylor Hall L | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 15:19 |
| 77 Mark Jankowski L | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | — | 13:22 |
| 22 Logan Stankoven C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:48 |
| 37 Andrei Svechnikov R | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.31 | -0.32 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:31 |
| 50 Eric Robinson L | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:08 |
| 64 Joel Nystrom D | -0.29 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:21 |
| 31 Frederik Andersen G | -0.80 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.15 | — | — | -0.95 | 58:05 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.