hockeystats.io

Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 2–1 Final/OT Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ

Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 0011 2 24
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 0010 1 36

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
13:30 CBJ Zach Werenski (8) Miles Wood (1) · snap xG 0.06 0–1 ▶
16:43 TOR Easton Cowan (2) William Nylander (20), John Tavares (16) · snap xG 0.05 1–1 ▶
Overtime
4:40 TOR William Nylander (11) Oliver Ekman-Larsson (14), Matthew Knies (18) · wrist xG 0.16 2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

TOR 31%Deserve to win69% CBJ
TORCBJ
2.70Expected goals3.91
2Goals (no shootout)1
1.92Expected goals, 5 on 52.75
53Shot attempts68
40Unblocked attempts53
24Shots on goal36

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
9:22 CBJ Deserve to win Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 63–37%
TOR had led since 3:40 of the 1st, by as much as 62%
3rd Period
5:45 TOR Goalie Goalie · Woll +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.04 xG, 20 shots on goal
11:50 CBJ Goalie Goalie · Greaves +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 18 shots on goal
18:20 TOR No shift No shift · Mermis, 11:43 on the bench
No shift after 6:15 of the 3rd; 17 shifts (11:47) before that

Shot map

TOR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CBJ shoots
Denton Mateychuk: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:53) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:03) Troy Stecher: wrist, 113 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:19) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:05) William Nylander: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 3:38) John Tavares: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 3:40) John Tavares: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:41) Kent Johnson: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:12) Miles Wood: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:01) Zach Werenski: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:08) Zach Werenski: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:40) Luca Pinelli: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:08) Adam Fantilli: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:13) Brendan Smith: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:30) Nicolas Roy: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 10:41) Auston Matthews: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:04) William Nylander: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:30) Zach Werenski: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:07) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:48) Scott Laughton: wrist, 118 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:47) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:31) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:40) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:55) Adam Fantilli: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 17:45) Bobby McMann: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:13) Dmitri Voronkov: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:46) Miles Wood: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:43) Isac Lundeström: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:38) Damon Severson: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:45) Auston Matthews: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:48) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:53) Nicolas Roy: tip-in, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:08) Sean Monahan: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:39) Damon Severson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:18) Damon Severson: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:25) Denton Mateychuk: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:35) Easton Cowan: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 7:06) Easton Cowan: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 7:25) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:27) Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 8:29) Adam Fantilli: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 9:22) Max Domi: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:09) Egor Chinakhov: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:07) Zachary Aston-Reese: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 11:28) Cole Sillinger: bat, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:12) Jake McCabe: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:30) Auston Matthews: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 13:32) Cole Sillinger: deflected, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:07) Damon Severson: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:04) Matthew Knies: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:22) Morgan Rielly: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:23) Matthew Knies: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:24) Auston Matthews: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:49) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:25) Scott Laughton: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:15) Steven Lorentz: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:24) John Tavares: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 3:04) Cole Sillinger: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:39) Adam Fantilli: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:45) Brendan Smith: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:20) Zachary Aston-Reese: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:31) Isac Lundeström: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:26) Adam Fantilli: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 8:06) Easton Cowan: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 8:30) Sean Monahan: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 9:10) Sean Monahan: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 10:32) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:41) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:47) Nicolas Roy: bat, 4 ft, xG 0.31 (P3 11:50) Cole Sillinger: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:18) Scott Laughton: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:00) Oliver Ekman-Larsson: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:14) Nick Robertson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:43) Kent Johnson: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:50) Zach Werenski: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:53) William Nylander: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:22) Miles Wood: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 17:06) Miles Wood: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:07) Morgan Rielly: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:55) Zach Werenski: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:05) Luca Pinelli: deflected, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:50) Auston Matthews: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (OT 0:16) Cole Sillinger: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 0:53) Easton Cowan: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:00) Luca Pinelli: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.15 (OT 1:13) Sean Monahan: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 1:30) Adam Fantilli: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:15) Adam Fantilli: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 2:45) Auston Matthews: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 3:12) Matthew Knies: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 4:20) Zach Werenski: GOAL, snap, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:30) Easton Cowan: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:43) William Nylander: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (OT 4:40)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Toronto Maple Leafs

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
34 Auston Matthews 000 0 90.57 1124:35
89 Matthew Knies 011 -1 40.20 3021:25
88 William Nylander 112 +2 50.38 0020:18
91 John Tavares 011 +1 30.30 2018:33
53 Easton Cowan 101 +1 60.43 2018:02
11 Max Domi 000 -1 10.01 1015:24
10 Nicolas Roy 000 0 30.51 2114:21
74 Bobby McMann 000 0 10.05 2012:57
21 Scott Laughton 000 0 30.04 1012:53
18 Steven Lorentz 000 0 10.05 1111:38
14 Nick Robertson 000 0 10.04 0210:33
19 Calle Jarnkrok 000 0 00.00 0008:15
Defense
22 Jake McCabe 000 +1 10.02 3325:12
44 Morgan Rielly 000 0 50.03 0124:55
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson 011 +1 90.08 1221:30
44 Simon Benoit 000 0 00.00 1020:45
28 Troy Stecher 000 -1 10.00 0215:09
36 Dakota Mermis 000 0 00.00 1011:47
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joseph Woll 36135 .972 3.91 +2.91

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
23 Sean Monahan 000 -1 40.57 2121:33
19 Adam Fantilli 000 -1 140.93 0020:21
3 Charlie Coyle 000 0 10.07 3018:29
91 Kent Johnson 000 0 40.10 0217:50
4 Cole Sillinger 000 0 50.41 3217:14
10 Dmitri Voronkov 000 0 30.30 0016:45
18 Miles Wood 011 0 40.31 2015:52
21 Isac Lundeström 000 0 20.13 1114:52
50 Brendan Gaunce 000 0 00.00 2211:30
21 Zachary Aston-Reese 000 0 20.24 2109:14
59 Egor Chinakhov 000 0 30.03 3008:59
Defense
8 Zach Werenski 101 -1 80.21 0128:40
9 Ivan Provorov 000 0 30.10 0028:29
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 0 20.03 0120:03
78 Damon Severson 000 0 60.14 0017:39
15 Dante Fabbro 000 0 10.00 0015:15
7 Brendan Smith 000 0 30.06 1010:55
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jet Greaves 24222 .917 2.70 +0.70

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
60 Joseph Woll G +2.91 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.91 64:28
88 William Nylander R +2.09 +1.45 +0.25 +0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:18
53 Easton Cowan R +1.35 +0.75 +0.28 +0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:02
91 John Tavares C +1.15 +0.55 +0.19 +0.38 0.00 +0.05 -0.02 — 18:33
95 Oliver Ekman-Larsson D +0.43 +0.70 +0.05 -0.21 -0.15 0.00 +0.04 — 21:30
55 Nicolas Roy C +0.40 0.00 +0.33 +0.15 -0.15 +0.02 +0.05 — 14:21
89 Nick Robertson L +0.01 0.00 +0.02 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 10:33
2 Simon Benoit D 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.17 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 20:45
22 Jake McCabe D -0.11 0.00 +0.01 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 25:12
44 Morgan Rielly D -0.16 0.00 +0.02 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:55
74 Bobby McMann C -0.18 0.00 +0.04 -0.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:57
24 Scott Laughton C -0.24 0.00 +0.02 -0.30 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 12:53
23 Matthew Knies L -0.30 +0.55 +0.13 -0.96 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:25
18 Steven Lorentz C -0.34 0.00 +0.03 -0.41 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 11:38
19 Calle Jarnkrok C -0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:15
34 Auston Matthews C -0.47 0.00 +0.37 -1.05 +0.15 +0.03 +0.03 — 24:35
36 Dakota Mermis D -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.33 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 11:47
11 Max Domi C -0.59 0.00 +0.01 -0.57 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 15:24
28 Troy Stecher D -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:09

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
8 Zach Werenski D +2.00 +0.75 +0.14 +1.11 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 28:40
19 Adam Fantilli C +1.50 0.00 +0.61 +0.94 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 20:21
10 Dmitri Voronkov L +1.13 0.00 +0.19 +0.94 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:45
91 Kent Johnson C +1.04 0.00 +0.07 +0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:50
73 Jet Greaves G +0.70 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.70 64:40
27 Zachary Aston-Reese L +0.61 0.00 +0.16 +0.31 +0.15 -0.03 +0.03 — 9:14
11 Miles Wood L +0.56 +0.70 +0.20 -0.27 -0.08 0.00 0.00 — 15:52
23 Sean Monahan C +0.48 0.00 +0.37 -0.01 0.00 +0.04 +0.09 — 21:33
5 Denton Mateychuk D +0.47 0.00 +0.02 +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:03
4 Cole Sillinger C +0.42 0.00 +0.27 +0.04 0.00 -0.01 +0.12 — 17:14
78 Damon Severson D +0.38 0.00 +0.09 +0.14 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 17:39
7 Brendan Smith D +0.35 0.00 +0.04 +0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:55
53 Luca Pinelli C +0.22 0.00 +0.18 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:20
21 Isac Lundeström C +0.20 0.00 +0.09 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:52
3 Charlie Coyle C +0.03 0.00 +0.05 -0.06 +0.08 -0.03 0.00 — 18:29
16 Brendan Gaunce C +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.02 +0.12 — 11:30
9 Ivan Provorov D -0.03 0.00 +0.06 +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.10 — 28:29
59 Egor Chinakhov R -0.21 0.00 +0.02 -0.08 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 8:59
15 Dante Fabbro D -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:15

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.