| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 42 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:39 | Ross Colton (5) Unassisted · snap xG 0.15 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 19:07 | Nathan MacKinnon (18)PP Cale Makar (21), Gabriel Landeskog (6) · slap xG 0.05 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:44 | Sam Malinski (2) Artturi Lehkonen (12), Martin Necas (16) · wrist xG 0.04 | 0–3 ▶ | |
| 4:51 | Josh Manson (2) Victor Olofsson (10), Parker Kelly (6) · wrist xG 0.05 | 0–4 ▶ | |
| 5:00 | Joel Kiviranta (1) Ivan Ivan (1), Zakhar Bardakov (4) · snap xG 0.13 | 0–5 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:15 | Artturi Lehkonen (9) Nathan MacKinnon (21), Martin Necas (17) · snap xG 0.11 | 0–6 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | COL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.09 | Expected goals | 4.13 |
| 0 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 1.36 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.88 |
| 62 | Shot attempts | 84 |
| 39 | Unblocked attempts | 62 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 42 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:51 | SJS | Goalie change | Goalie change · Nedeljkovic in for Askarov
4:51 of the 2nd; Askarov had allowed 4 goals on 19 shots (2.23 xG) |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:42 | COL | Goalie | Goalie · Blackwood +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.04 xG, 25 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:08 |
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 11 | 0.42 | 1 | 0 | 20:47 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 20:26 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 10 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 17:28 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.17 | 4 | 1 | 16:58 |
| 96 | Philipp Kurashev | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 12:47 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 12:46 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 12:12 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 11:55 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 09:27 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 07:04 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 22:45 |
| 27 | Timothy Liljegren | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 20:35 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.08 | 3 | 4 | 18:29 |
| 85 | Shakir Mukhamadullin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.34 | 1 | 1 | 16:55 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 3 | 15:52 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 19 | 4 | 15 | .789 | 2.23 | -1.77 |
| Alex Nedeljkovic | 23 | 2 | 21 | .913 | 1.90 | -0.10 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | Martin Necas | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.38 | 0 | 1 | 18:36 |
| 62 | Artturi Lehkonen | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.85 | 1 | 0 | 18:29 |
| 29 | Nathan MacKinnon | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | 18:19 |
| 11 | Brock Nelson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 16:15 |
| 92 | Gabriel Landeskog | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 16:00 |
| 18 | Jack Drury | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.60 | 1 | 5 | 15:28 |
| 79 | Ross Colton | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.29 | 2 | 1 | 14:55 |
| 17 | Parker Kelly | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.14 | 2 | 1 | 14:48 |
| 22 | Joel Kiviranta | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 2 | 0 | 13:19 |
| 95 | Victor Olofsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 12:24 |
| 93 | Zakhar Bardakov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 12:08 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Cale Makar | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 9 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 20:38 |
| 84 | Brent Burns | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 2 | 19:37 |
| 42 | Josh Manson | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.07 | 2 | 4 | 18:59 |
| 7 | Devon Toews | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 5 | 0.15 | 0 | 2 | 18:27 |
| 49 | Samuel Girard | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 18:18 |
| 70 | Sam Malinski | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Blackwood | 26 | 0 | 26 | 1.000 | 2.09 | +2.09 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:55 |
| 96 Philipp Kurashev C | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 12:47 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.20 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 17:28 |
| 33 Alex Nedeljkovic G | -0.10 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.10 | 35:06 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 21:08 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 18:29 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | -0.42 | 0.00 | +0.22 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 16:55 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.91 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.15 | — | 12:46 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 7:04 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.66 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 15:52 |
| 2 Will Smith C | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.97 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:06 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.56 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:12 |
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.99 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.02 | — | 20:47 |
| 85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:01 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | -0.79 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.98 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.01 | — | 16:58 |
| 37 Timothy Liljegren D | -0.84 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:35 |
| 72 William Eklund L | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:26 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.89 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 9:27 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | -0.98 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:45 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | -1.77 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.77 | 24:51 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nathan MacKinnon C | +3.49 | +1.45 | +0.31 | +1.41 | +0.30 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 18:19 |
| 62 Artturi Lehkonen L | +2.99 | +1.45 | +0.55 | +0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:29 |
| 88 Martin Necas C | +2.48 | +1.10 | +0.25 | +1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:36 |
| 39 Mackenzie Blackwood G | +2.09 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.09 | 60:00 |
| 8 Cale Makar D | +1.98 | +0.70 | +0.16 | +1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:38 |
| 95 Victor Olofsson L | +1.81 | +0.70 | +0.17 | +0.81 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:24 |
| 42 Josh Manson D | +1.78 | +0.75 | +0.05 | +0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 18:59 |
| 18 Jack Drury C | +1.72 | 0.00 | +0.39 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.25 | — | 15:28 |
| 20 Ross Colton C | +1.49 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:55 |
| 17 Parker Kelly C | +1.45 | +0.55 | +0.09 | +0.78 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 14:48 |
| 7 Devon Toews D | +1.32 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +1.25 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 18:27 |
| 70 Sam Malinski D | +1.22 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.31 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:48 |
| 84 Brent Burns D | +1.19 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:37 |
| 82 Ivan Ivan C | +0.91 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:32 |
| 94 Joel Kiviranta L | +0.85 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:19 |
| 92 Gabriel Landeskog L | +0.71 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.19 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:00 |
| 93 Zakhar Bardakov C | +0.62 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.13 | — | 12:08 |
| 49 Samuel Girard D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:18 |
| 11 Brock Nelson C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.12 | -0.15 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 16:15 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.