| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 28 | |
| 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 41 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:49 | Linus Karlsson (4) Max Sasson (2), Marcus Pettersson (4) · snap xG 0.47 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 11:47 | Evander Kane (4)PP Tom Willander (4), Filip Hronek (12) · snap xG 0.06 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 0:09 | Jackson LaCombe (3)PP Cutter Gauthier (14) · snap xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 9:04 | Conor Garland (6) Brock Boeser (7), Tom Willander (5) · backhand xG 0.08 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 16:19 | Leo Carlsson (12) Troy Terry (19), Olen Zellweger (5) · backhand xG 0.15 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 18:34 | Mason McTavish (5) Beckett Sennecke (10), Jackson LaCombe (9) · wrist xG 0.11 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:58 | Max Sasson (5) Filip Hronek (13), Quinn Hughes (20) · tip-in xG 0.12 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 18:08 | Drew O'Connor (7)EN Elias Pettersson (14) · wrist xG 0.62 | 5–3 ▶ | |
| 19:53 | Cutter Gauthier (14) Jackson LaCombe (10), Chris Kreider (6) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 5–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| VAN | ANA | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.43 | Expected goals | 5.07 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 3.01 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.07 |
| 66 | Shot attempts | 91 |
| 49 | Unblocked attempts | 72 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 41 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 19:28 | ANA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · ANA takes the lead, 63–37%
VAN had led since 2:36 of the 1st, by as much as 76% |
| 19:28 | VAN | Goalie | Goalie · Tolopilo +2.1 goals saved
0 goals on 2.07 xG, 13 shots on goal |
| 19:50 | ANA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.71–0.28
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:10 of the 1st to 0:10 of the 2nd; goals 1–1 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:04 | ANA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Mrazek, down 4–3
With 1:56 left; VAN scored at 18:08 of the 3rd (5–3) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 83 | Conor Garland | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.28 | 0 | 2 | 23:05 |
| 40 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.51 | 0 | 1 | 21:28 |
| 6 | Brock Boeser | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.78 | 2 | 1 | 20:52 |
| 74 | Jake DeBrusk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.40 | 0 | 1 | 18:20 |
| 91 | Evander Kane | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.24 | 2 | 0 | 16:25 |
| 64 | David Kampf | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.23 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 |
| 44 | Kiefer Sherwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.24 | 1 | 1 | 15:28 |
| 18 | Drew O'Connor | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 1.16 | 0 | 1 | 11:25 |
| 63 | Max Sasson | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 07:58 |
| 54 | Aatu Räty | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 07:16 |
| 94 | Linus Karlsson | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.57 | 1 | 0 | 06:49 |
| 13 | Arshdeep Bains | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 04:58 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Quinn Hughes | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.56 | 0 | 3 | 24:52 |
| 17 | Filip Hronek | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 24:25 |
| 26 | Marcus Pettersson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:08 |
| 57 | Tyler Myers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 20:37 |
| 5 | Tom Willander | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:48 |
| 25 | Elias Pettersson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 11:25 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Tolopilo | 41 | 4 | 37 | .902 | 5.07 | +1.07 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 91 | Leo Carlsson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0.55 | 0 | 1 | 23:02 |
| 19 | Troy Terry | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 8 | 0.66 | 0 | 1 | 19:23 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 18:47 |
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 18:33 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 1 | 1 | 17:18 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 17:10 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.59 | 1 | 1 | 15:27 |
| 22 | Ryan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 |
| 77 | Frank Vatrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 13:11 |
| 13 | Nikita Nesterenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 11:22 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 08:28 |
| 10 | Jansen Harkins | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.40 | 2 | 1 | 07:18 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 25:42 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 20:08 |
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.13 | 4 | 1 | 19:15 |
| 14 | Drew Helleson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.09 | 1 | 3 | 15:53 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.23 | 1 | 4 | 15:08 |
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.07 | 2 | 2 | 13:58 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek | 27 | 4 | 23 | .852 | 4.41 | +0.41 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Max Sasson C | +3.17 | +1.45 | +0.13 | +1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:58 |
| 17 Filip Hronek D | +2.43 | +1.25 | +0.03 | +1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:25 |
| 18 Drew O'Connor L | +1.84 | +0.75 | +0.76 | +0.44 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 11:25 |
| 6 Brock Boeser R | +1.81 | +0.70 | +0.50 | +0.56 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 20:52 |
| 43 Quinn Hughes D | +1.70 | +0.55 | +0.36 | +0.34 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 24:52 |
| 29 Marcus Pettersson D | +1.30 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:08 |
| 8 Conor Garland R | +1.23 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.04 | — | 23:05 |
| 60 Nikita Tolopilo G | +1.07 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.07 | 59:52 |
| 94 Linus Karlsson C | +0.91 | +0.75 | +0.37 | -0.06 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:49 |
| 5 Tom Willander D | +0.78 | +1.25 | 0.00 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:48 |
| 13 Arshdeep Bains L | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 4:58 |
| 44 Kiefer Sherwood L | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:28 |
| 64 David Kampf C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.19 | -0.15 | -0.02 | +0.10 | — | 16:14 |
| 40 Elias Pettersson C | +0.01 | +0.70 | +0.33 | -0.99 | -0.15 | +0.03 | +0.09 | — | 21:28 |
| 91 Evander Kane L | -0.43 | +0.75 | +0.16 | -1.16 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:25 |
| 57 Tyler Myers D | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:37 |
| 74 Jake DeBrusk L | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.26 | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 18:20 |
| 25 Elias Pettersson D | -0.65 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.89 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:25 |
| 54 Aatu Räty C | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.72 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 7:16 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | +2.99 | +2.00 | +0.16 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 25:42 |
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | +1.55 | +1.45 | +0.17 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:47 |
| 24 Jansen Harkins C | +1.24 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +0.78 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 7:18 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | +1.21 | +0.70 | +0.18 | -0.04 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 17:18 |
| 13 Nikita Nesterenko C | +1.06 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.95 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:22 |
| 91 Leo Carlsson C | +0.81 | +0.75 | +0.36 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.01 | — | 23:02 |
| 14 Drew Helleson D | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 15:53 |
| 34 Petr Mrazek G | +0.71 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.30 | — | — | +0.41 | 58:13 |
| 23 Mason McTavish C | +0.64 | +0.75 | +0.38 | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.05 | — | 15:27 |
| 77 Frank Vatrano R | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:11 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:28 |
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | +0.50 | +0.55 | +0.16 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:08 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 13:58 |
| 19 Troy Terry R | +0.11 | +0.70 | +0.43 | -0.92 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:23 |
| 16 Ryan Strome C | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:15 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.07 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:10 |
| 20 Chris Kreider L | -0.13 | +0.55 | +0.13 | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:33 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 15:08 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:15 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.