Dallas StarsDAL 3–2 Final Seattle KrakenSEA

Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Dallas StarsDAL 111 3 21
Seattle KrakenSEA 101 2 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:52 DAL Roope Hintz (7) Alexander Petrovic (5), Jamie Benn (3) · deflected xG 0.10 1–0 ▶
9:06 SEA Brandon Montour (5) Shane Wright (6), Berkly Catton (5) · wrist xG 0.02 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:13 DAL Esa Lindell (3) Justin Hryckowian (4), Tyler Seguin (9) · wrist xG 0.19 2–1 ▶
3rd Period
0:18 SEA Vince Dunn (4) Jared McCann (2) · wrist xG 0.05 2–2 ▶
14:16 DAL Vladislav Kolyachonok (1) Tyler Seguin (10), Kyle Capobianco (2) · wrist xG 0.01 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DAL 56%Deserve to win44% SEA
DALSEA
2.88Expected goals2.48
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.95Expected goals, 5 on 51.56
38Shot attempts52
30Unblocked attempts39
21Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
6:20 DAL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced SEA 1.33–0.26
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:20 of the 1st to 6:20 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
12:48 DAL Deserve to win Deserve to win · DAL takes the lead, 62–38%
SEA had led since 2:49 of the 1st, by as much as 75%
3rd Period
11:10 SEA No shift No shift · Schwartz, 15:23 on the bench
No shift after 16:33 of the 2nd; 15 shifts (11:26) before that
18:29 SEA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 3–2
With 1:31 left

Shot map

DAL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SEA shoots
Jaden Schwartz: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:55) Jared McCann: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 2:49) Jared McCann: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 2:57) Vince Dunn: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:23) Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:41) Mavrik Bourque: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:21) Tye Kartye: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 7:02) Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:02) Brandon Montour: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 9:02) Shane Wright: bat, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:03) Mikko Rantanen: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 12:32) Roope Hintz: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:04) Adam Larsson: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:22) Jared McCann: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:36) Alexander Petrovic: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:51) Mikko Rantanen: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 15:54) Matty Beniers: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.32 (P1 16:11) Jason Robertson: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:28) Jason Robertson: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:30) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:20) Adam Larsson: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:31) Wyatt Johnston: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 19:07) Roope Hintz: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.49 (P1 19:10) Roope Hintz: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 19:54) Miro Heiskanen: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:24) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 1:50) Adam Larsson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:06) Adam Larsson: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:20) Eeli Tolvanen: backhand, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:52) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:22) Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:55) Esa Lindell: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:11) Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:05) Vince Dunn: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:05) Brandon Montour: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:50) Jamie Benn: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:09) Wyatt Johnston: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 12:48) Wyatt Johnston: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:49) Shane Wright: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 13:44) Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:14) Brandon Montour: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 17:47) Adam Larsson: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:37) Mikko Rantanen: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:15) Alexander Petrovic: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:39) Miro Heiskanen: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:45) Mikko Rantanen: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 19:54) Tyler Seguin: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:50) Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:14) Kyle Capobianco: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 4:47) Tyler Seguin: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:39) Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:13) Alexander Petrovic: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:06) Tyler Seguin: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:11) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:56) Brandon Montour: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:18) Eeli Tolvanen: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:34) Eeli Tolvanen: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 16:02) Brandon Montour: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:06) Ryker Evans: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:11) Matty Beniers: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:33) Berkly Catton: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 18:31) Miro Heiskanen: wrist, 176 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:34) Brandon Montour: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:34) Jordan Eberle: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 19:48) Roope Hintz: GOAL, deflected, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 5:52) Brandon Montour: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:06) Esa Lindell: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 6:13) Vince Dunn: GOAL, wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:18) Vladislav Kolyachonok: GOAL, wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:16)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Dallas Stars

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
53 Wyatt Johnston 000 -1 50.54 1019:22
21 Jason Robertson 000 +2 30.10 0018:17
24 Roope Hintz 101 +2 40.82 0018:13
96 Mikko Rantanen 000 -1 50.54 1116:36
91 Tyler Seguin 022 +3 40.12 0116:03
10 Oskar Bäck 000 -1 00.00 2013:57
49 Justin Hryckowian 011 0 00.00 1113:39
18 Sam Steel 000 0 00.00 1013:34
12 Radek Faksa 000 0 00.00 1211:47
14 Jamie Benn 011 0 30.04 0011:01
22 Mavrik Bourque 000 -1 10.01 0010:55
11 Nathan Bastian 000 0 00.00 1006:32
Defense
4 Miro Heiskanen 000 -2 30.12 0229:07
23 Esa Lindell 101 -1 40.27 1228:16
6 Lian Bichsel 000 0 00.00 5118:55
36 Alexander Petrovic 011 +1 30.11 2317:57
18 Vladislav Kolyachonok 101 +2 10.01 1012:03
20 Kyle Capobianco 011 +2 20.19 0011:54
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Casey DeSmith 28226 .929 2.48 +0.48

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
7 Jordan Eberle 000 0 20.21 0022:04
9 Chandler Stephenson 000 0 30.03 0021:17
10 Matty Beniers 000 0 30.37 1021:14
27 Mason Marchment 000 0 00.00 3118:26
19 Jared McCann 011 +2 30.31 2017:53
17 Eeli Tolvanen 000 0 60.21 3015:43
89 Frederick Gaudreau 000 -2 10.00 2015:14
51 Shane Wright 011 -1 20.21 0114:31
27 Berkly Catton 011 0 20.11 0113:05
71 Jaden Schwartz 000 -1 30.14 0011:26
24 Tye Kartye 000 -1 20.18 3008:51
26 Ryan Winterton 000 0 00.00 1007:38
Defense
29 Vince Dunn 101 -2 50.11 0324:13
62 Brandon Montour 101 0 80.38 3122:14
6 Adam Larsson 000 -1 50.11 1020:00
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 +1 30.05 2116:19
41 Ryker Evans 000 0 20.01 1015:01
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 0 20.05 1012:22
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joey Daccord 21318 .857 2.79 -0.21

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Dallas Stars

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
91 Tyler Seguin C +2.56 +1.25 +0.08 +1.22 0.00 -0.04 +0.05 — 16:03
24 Roope Hintz C +2.13 +0.75 +0.53 +0.67 +0.15 +0.05 -0.02 — 18:13
20 Kyle Capobianco D +1.32 +0.55 +0.12 +0.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:54
44 Vladislav Kolyachonok D +1.32 +0.75 +0.01 +0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:03
23 Esa Lindell D +1.17 +0.75 +0.18 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 28:16
14 Jamie Benn L +0.85 +0.55 +0.03 +0.39 -0.15 +0.03 0.00 — 11:01
96 Mikko Rantanen R +0.80 0.00 +0.35 +0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:36
53 Wyatt Johnston C +0.75 0.00 +0.35 +0.43 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 19:22
28 Alexander Petrovic D +0.73 +0.70 +0.07 +0.29 -0.45 0.00 +0.11 — 17:57
21 Jason Robertson L +0.70 0.00 +0.07 +0.66 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:17
49 Justin Hryckowian C +0.56 +0.70 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:39
1 Casey DeSmith G +0.48 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.48 59:52
18 Sam Steel C -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:34
4 Miro Heiskanen D -0.11 0.00 +0.08 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 29:07
12 Radek Faksa C -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 11:47
11 Nathan Bastian R -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:32
6 Lian Bichsel D -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:55
10 Oskar Bäck C -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.63 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:57
22 Mavrik Bourque C -0.82 0.00 +0.01 -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 10:55

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
19 Jared McCann L +2.15 +0.70 +0.20 +0.95 +0.30 -0.02 +0.02 — 17:53
77 Berkly Catton C +1.27 +0.55 +0.07 +0.58 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 13:05
51 Shane Wright C +0.81 +0.70 +0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.02 -0.01 — 14:31
62 Brandon Montour D +0.64 +0.75 +0.25 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:14
41 Ryker Evans D +0.21 0.00 +0.01 +0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:01
7 Jordan Eberle R +0.11 0.00 +0.14 -0.20 +0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 22:04
10 Matty Beniers C +0.07 0.00 +0.24 -0.28 +0.15 +0.01 -0.04 — 21:14
6 Adam Larsson D +0.06 0.00 +0.07 +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:00
29 Vince Dunn D +0.02 +0.75 +0.07 -0.75 -0.15 0.00 +0.09 — 24:13
20 Eeli Tolvanen R -0.07 0.00 +0.14 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:43
55 Ryan Lindgren D -0.07 0.00 +0.03 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:19
24 Jamie Oleksiak D -0.07 0.00 +0.03 -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:22
27 Mason Marchment L -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:26
26 Ryan Winterton C -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 7:38
35 Joey Daccord G -0.21 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.21 58:29
9 Chandler Stephenson C -0.25 0.00 +0.02 -0.28 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 21:17
12 Tye Kartye L -0.30 0.00 +0.12 -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 8:51
17 Jaden Schwartz L -0.48 0.00 +0.09 -0.58 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 11:26
89 Frederick Gaudreau C -1.03 0.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 15:14

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.