| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 28 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:52 | Roope Hintz (7) Alexander Petrovic (5), Jamie Benn (3) · deflected xG 0.10 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 9:06 | Brandon Montour (5) Shane Wright (6), Berkly Catton (5) · wrist xG 0.02 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:13 | Esa Lindell (3) Justin Hryckowian (4), Tyler Seguin (9) · wrist xG 0.19 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:18 | Vince Dunn (4) Jared McCann (2) · wrist xG 0.05 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 14:16 | Vladislav Kolyachonok (1) Tyler Seguin (10), Kyle Capobianco (2) · wrist xG 0.01 | 3–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| DAL | SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.88 | Expected goals | 2.48 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.95 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.56 |
| 38 | Shot attempts | 52 |
| 30 | Unblocked attempts | 39 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 28 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:20 | DAL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced SEA 1.33–0.26
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:20 of the 1st to 6:20 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 12:48 | DAL | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · DAL takes the lead, 62–38%
SEA had led since 2:49 of the 1st, by as much as 75% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 11:10 | SEA | No shift | No shift · Schwartz, 15:23 on the bench
No shift after 16:33 of the 2nd; 15 shifts (11:26) before that |
| 18:29 | SEA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 3–2
With 1:31 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 53 | Wyatt Johnston | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.54 | 1 | 0 | 19:22 |
| 21 | Jason Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 18:17 |
| 24 | Roope Hintz | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.82 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 |
| 96 | Mikko Rantanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.54 | 1 | 1 | 16:36 |
| 91 | Tyler Seguin | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 16:03 |
| 10 | Oskar Bäck | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 13:57 |
| 49 | Justin Hryckowian | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 13:39 |
| 18 | Sam Steel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:34 |
| 12 | Radek Faksa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 11:47 |
| 14 | Jamie Benn | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 |
| 22 | Mavrik Bourque | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 |
| 11 | Nathan Bastian | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 06:32 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 4 | Miro Heiskanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 29:07 |
| 23 | Esa Lindell | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.27 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 |
| 6 | Lian Bichsel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 18:55 |
| 36 | Alexander Petrovic | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.11 | 2 | 3 | 17:57 |
| 18 | Vladislav Kolyachonok | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 12:03 |
| 20 | Kyle Capobianco | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey DeSmith | 28 | 2 | 26 | .929 | 2.48 | +0.48 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 22:04 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 21:17 |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.37 | 1 | 0 | 21:14 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 18:26 |
| 19 | Jared McCann | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.31 | 2 | 0 | 17:53 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.21 | 3 | 0 | 15:43 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 15:14 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 1 | 14:31 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 11:26 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.18 | 3 | 0 | 08:51 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 07:38 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 3 | 24:13 |
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.38 | 3 | 1 | 22:14 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 20:00 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.05 | 2 | 1 | 16:19 |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 15:01 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 12:22 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 21 | 3 | 18 | .857 | 2.79 | -0.21 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91 Tyler Seguin C | +2.56 | +1.25 | +0.08 | +1.22 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.05 | — | 16:03 |
| 24 Roope Hintz C | +2.13 | +0.75 | +0.53 | +0.67 | +0.15 | +0.05 | -0.02 | — | 18:13 |
| 20 Kyle Capobianco D | +1.32 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:54 |
| 44 Vladislav Kolyachonok D | +1.32 | +0.75 | +0.01 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:03 |
| 23 Esa Lindell D | +1.17 | +0.75 | +0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 28:16 |
| 14 Jamie Benn L | +0.85 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.39 | -0.15 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 11:01 |
| 96 Mikko Rantanen R | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.35 | +0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:36 |
| 53 Wyatt Johnston C | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.35 | +0.43 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 19:22 |
| 28 Alexander Petrovic D | +0.73 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.29 | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 17:57 |
| 21 Jason Robertson L | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:17 |
| 49 Justin Hryckowian C | +0.56 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:39 |
| 1 Casey DeSmith G | +0.48 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.48 | 59:52 |
| 18 Sam Steel C | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:34 |
| 4 Miro Heiskanen D | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 29:07 |
| 12 Radek Faksa C | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:47 |
| 11 Nathan Bastian R | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:32 |
| 6 Lian Bichsel D | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:55 |
| 10 Oskar Bäck C | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.63 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:57 |
| 22 Mavrik Bourque C | -0.82 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 10:55 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jared McCann L | +2.15 | +0.70 | +0.20 | +0.95 | +0.30 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 17:53 |
| 77 Berkly Catton C | +1.27 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 13:05 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.81 | +0.70 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.01 | — | 14:31 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +0.64 | +0.75 | +0.25 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:14 |
| 41 Ryker Evans D | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:01 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.20 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 22:04 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.24 | -0.28 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 21:14 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:00 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | +0.02 | +0.75 | +0.07 | -0.75 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 24:13 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:43 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:19 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:22 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:26 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 7:38 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | -0.21 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.21 | 58:29 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 21:17 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:51 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:26 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 15:14 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.