| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 37 | |
| 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 21 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 3:28 | Artemi Panarin (8) Will Cuylle (8) · snap xG 0.09 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 12:02 | Carson Soucy (2) Vincent Trocheck (5), Artemi Panarin (16) · slap xG 0.09 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 14:22 | Mika Zibanejad (8)PP Artemi Panarin (17), Adam Fox (20) · slap xG 0.10 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 15:07 | Mika Zibanejad (9)PP Artemi Panarin (18), Adam Fox (21) · tip-in xG 0.05 | 4–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:07 | Casey Mittelstadt (5) Elias Lindholm (6) · snap xG 0.24 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 5:49 | Morgan Geekie (18) Henri Jokiharju (6), Elias Lindholm (7) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 4–2 ▶ | |
| 16:36 | Alexis Lafrenière (6)EN Scott Morrow (1) · wrist xG 0.63 | 5–2 ▶ | |
| 17:02 | Vladislav Gavrikov (4) Vincent Trocheck (6), Adam Fox (22) · tip-in xG 0.22 | 6–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.12 | Expected goals | 2.20 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.41 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.04 |
| 62 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 52 | Unblocked attempts | 37 |
| 37 | Shots on goal | 21 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:50 | NYR | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.71–0.15
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:20 to 19:20 of the 2nd; goals 2–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 16:02 | BOS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Korpisalo, down 4–2
With 3:58 left; NYR scored at 16:36 of the 3rd (5–2) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 0.79 | 3 | 0 | 18:24 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 17:45 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 17:33 |
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.23 | 7 | 2 | 17:32 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 1.00 | 3 | 0 | 16:34 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.34 | 4 | 0 | 14:14 |
| 84 | Adam Edstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.26 | 4 | 0 | 14:08 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.18 | 3 | 0 | 13:52 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.25 | 2 | 1 | 13:15 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:00 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 12:38 |
| 37 | Brett Berard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.26 | 1 | 2 | 10:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.23 | 1 | 3 | 23:24 |
| 23 | Adam Fox | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 22:24 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 2 | 20:58 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.03 | 2 | 2 | 20:33 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 15:24 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 21 | 2 | 19 | .905 | 2.20 | +0.20 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 3 | 0 | 19:34 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.21 | 3 | 0 | 16:30 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 16:00 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.21 | 2 | 0 | 15:46 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 15:10 |
| 21 | Alex Steeves | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.15 | 6 | 0 | 13:38 |
| 92 | Marat Khusnutdinov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.35 | 0 | 0 | 13:35 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 13:13 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 22:50 |
| 27 | Hampus Lindholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.13 | 0 | 3 | 22:47 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 21:15 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 20:51 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 16:37 |
| 45 | Jonathan Aspirot | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 13:48 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo | 36 | 5 | 31 | .861 | 3.49 | -1.51 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +2.83 | +2.70 | +0.09 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:45 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +2.44 | +1.50 | +0.51 | +0.44 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:24 |
| 23 Adam Fox D | +2.25 | +1.65 | +0.07 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:24 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +1.76 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 23:24 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +1.64 | +1.40 | +0.15 | -0.16 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.08 | — | 17:32 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +1.62 | +0.75 | +0.65 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:34 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | +1.52 | +0.75 | +0.09 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:58 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +1.02 | +0.70 | +0.22 | +0.26 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:14 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:33 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.01 | +0.30 | +0.01 | +0.03 | — | 13:15 |
| 65 Brett Berard L | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 10:21 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.35 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:52 |
| 84 Adam Edstrom C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:08 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | — | 17:33 |
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | +0.20 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.20 | 60:00 |
| 60 Scott Morrow D | +0.17 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:52 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:00 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:38 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | -0.70 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.61 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:24 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +1.26 | +1.25 | +0.06 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:51 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +1.18 | +0.75 | +0.21 | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 17:14 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | +0.84 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:51 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.58 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:34 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:15 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 15:46 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.12 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 15:10 |
| 27 Hampus Lindholm D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.10 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 22:47 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:00 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:13 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 22:50 |
| 92 Marat Khusnutdinov C | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.15 | -0.15 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 13:35 |
| 42 Georgii Merkulov C | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:35 |
| 21 Alex Steeves C | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:38 |
| 10 Riley Tufte L | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:28 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.63 | 0.00 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 16:30 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 16:37 |
| 45 Jonathan Aspirot D | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 13:48 |
| 70 Joonas Korpisalo G | -1.51 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.51 | 59:26 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.