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Colorado AvalancheCOL 2–3 Final/SO Minnesota WildMIN

Friday, November 28, 2025

Final/SO 1st2nd3rdOTSO T SOG
Colorado AvalancheCOL 10101 2 41
Minnesota WildMIN 02002 3 39

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
14:54 COL Nathan MacKinnon (19) Artturi Lehkonen (13) · snap xG 0.22 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
12:00 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (15) Zeev Buium (9), Mats Zuccarello (8) · deflected xG 0.12 1–1 ▶
18:03 MIN Kirill Kaprizov (16) Ryan Hartman (4), Yakov Trenin (5) · snap xG 0.22 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
11:08 COL Gabriel Landeskog (3) Nathan MacKinnon (22), Cale Makar (22) · wrist xG 0.08 2–2 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
MIN Mats Zuccarello vs Scott Wedgewood Goal
COL Martin Necas vs Jesper Wallstedt Goal
MIN Kirill Kaprizov vs Scott Wedgewood Saved
COL Nathan MacKinnon vs Jesper Wallstedt Saved
MIN Matt Boldy vs Scott Wedgewood Goal
COL Cale Makar vs Jesper Wallstedt Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

COL 59%Deserve to win41% MIN
COLMIN
3.96Expected goals3.34
2Goals (no shootout)2
3.26Expected goals, 5 on 53.21
83Shot attempts69
60Unblocked attempts54
41Shots on goal39

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
12:36 COL Deserve to win Deserve to win · COL takes the lead, 60–40%
MIN had led since 3:00 of the 1st, by as much as 63%
2nd Period
8:30 MIN xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced COL 1.30–0.19
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:10 of the 1st to 9:10 of the 2nd; neither team scored
10:17 COL Goalie Goalie · Wedgewood +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.03 xG, 21 shots on goal
17:29 MIN Deserve to win Deserve to win · MIN takes the lead, 62–38%
COL had led since 12:36 of the 1st, by as much as 71%
3rd Period
10:57 MIN Goalie Goalie · Wallstedt +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.04 xG, 35 shots on goal

Shot map

COL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ MIN shoots
Matt Boldy: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:20) Brent Burns: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:54) Danila Yurov: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:09) Ross Colton: wrist, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:24) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:45) Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 3:00) Jack Drury: snap, 145 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:43) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:38) Cale Makar: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 5:00) Gabriel Landeskog: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:26) Gabriel Landeskog: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:22) Cale Makar: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:29) Brent Burns: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:11) Ross Colton: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:12) Victor Olofsson: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:32) Ryan Hartman: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:53) Ryan Hartman: poke, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:54) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:55) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:02) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:15) Jake Middleton: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:32) Gabriel Landeskog: wrist, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:50) Parker Kelly: bat, 10 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 8:53) Gabriel Landeskog: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:58) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:12) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:30) Gabriel Landeskog: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:52) Samuel Girard: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:03) Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:36) Cale Makar: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:01) Devon Toews: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:17) Victor Olofsson: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:26) Sam Malinski: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:23) Parker Kelly: tip-in, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:43) Yakov Trenin: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:39) Mats Zuccarello: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:04) Devon Toews: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:18) Brock Faber: deflected, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:07) Samuel Girard: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:33) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:23) Danila Yurov: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 1:34) Tyler Pitlick: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:06) Josh Manson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:37) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:26) Matt Boldy: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 4:51) Matt Boldy: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:52) Parker Kelly: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:01) Parker Kelly: poke, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 6:09) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:32) Matt Boldy: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:14) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 7:49) Zach Bogosian: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:23) Ben Jones: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.33 (P2 8:25) Tyler Pitlick: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:53) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:10) Sam Malinski: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:56) Parker Kelly: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 10:02) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:17) Josh Manson: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:13) Brent Burns: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:24) Sam Malinski: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:12) Jack Drury: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:43) Devon Toews: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:02) Ryan Hartman: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:32) Brock Faber: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:48) Matt Boldy: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:09) Matt Boldy: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 15:00) Sam Malinski: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:49) Nico Sturm: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:08) Liam Ohgren: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:25) Liam Ohgren: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 17:29) Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:36) Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:42) Brock Faber: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:33) Matt Boldy: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:50) Devon Toews: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:25) Brock Nelson: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:52) Brock Nelson: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:59) Brock Nelson: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 1:13) Martin Necas: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 2:16) Artturi Lehkonen: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 2:31) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 2:45) Danila Yurov: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 4:56) Danila Yurov: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:57) Danila Yurov: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:58) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:59) Cale Makar: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:13) Ross Colton: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:17) Cale Makar: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:39) Mats Zuccarello: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:58) Brock Faber: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:32) Cale Makar: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:21) Samuel Girard: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:26) Ben Jones: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:42) Ben Jones: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:58) Devon Toews: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:28) Parker Kelly: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 10:39) Gabriel Landeskog: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:57) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:37) Cale Makar: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:00) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:30) Ross Colton: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:16) Gabriel Landeskog: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:37) Artturi Lehkonen: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.34 (P3 17:40) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:17) Kirill Kaprizov: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:15) Artturi Lehkonen: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:54) Gabriel Landeskog: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 0:47) Sam Malinski: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 2:16) Nathan MacKinnon: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.13 (OT 4:53) Nathan MacKinnon: GOAL, snap, 10 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 14:54) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 12:00) Kirill Kaprizov: GOAL, snap, 18 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 18:03) Gabriel Landeskog: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 11:08)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Colorado Avalanche

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
29 Nathan MacKinnon 112 +2 60.54 0223:58
62 Artturi Lehkonen 011 +2 40.43 1023:35
88 Martin Necas 000 +1 20.16 3021:35
92 Gabriel Landeskog 101 0 110.64 1221:13
11 Brock Nelson 000 -1 40.29 0019:56
18 Jack Drury 000 -1 20.05 1015:51
79 Ross Colton 000 -1 50.15 3115:51
17 Parker Kelly 000 -1 60.72 1014:07
95 Victor Olofsson 000 -1 30.14 0013:58
93 Zakhar Bardakov 000 0 00.00 1007:05
22 Joel Kiviranta 000 0 00.00 0007:05
Defense
8 Cale Makar 011 +1 120.33 0027:50
7 Devon Toews 000 0 70.18 1125:36
84 Brent Burns 000 -1 40.11 0118:40
70 Sam Malinski 000 0 90.14 0018:28
42 Josh Manson 000 0 40.04 0316:38
49 Samuel Girard 000 0 40.05 0215:54
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Scott Wedgewood 39237 .949 3.34 +1.34

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 202 +1 80.38 1025:25
12 Matt Boldy 000 -1 80.43 0123:36
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 000 -1 60.17 1022:25
90 Marcus Johansson 000 -1 00.00 0019:33
36 Mats Zuccarello 011 0 40.13 1019:28
22 Danila Yurov 000 0 60.45 0218:16
13 Yakov Trenin 011 +1 50.39 6214:35
38 Ryan Hartman 011 +1 70.43 2114:04
92 Liam Ohgren 000 0 20.19 3010:08
78 Nico Sturm 000 0 10.07 1007:08
19 Tyler Pitlick 000 0 20.17 2106:48
Defense
7 Brock Faber 000 -2 60.10 0128:30
25 Jonas Brodin 000 -2 20.00 0324:32
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 +1 30.04 1321:33
55 Jake Middleton 000 +1 30.03 3220:23
8 Zeev Buium 011 +1 20.00 1115:14
24 Zach Bogosian 000 +1 10.01 1013:58
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jesper Wallstedt 41239 .951 3.96 +1.96

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Colorado Avalanche

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
29 Nathan MacKinnon C +3.00 +1.45 +0.35 +1.12 0.00 +0.06 +0.02 — 23:58
8 Cale Makar D +1.64 +0.55 +0.21 +0.91 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 27:50
62 Artturi Lehkonen L +1.61 +0.70 +0.28 +0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:35
41 Scott Wedgewood G +1.34 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.34 64:37
92 Gabriel Landeskog L +1.13 +0.75 +0.41 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:13
7 Devon Toews D +0.88 0.00 +0.11 +0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 25:36
17 Parker Kelly C +0.85 0.00 +0.47 +0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:07
88 Martin Necas C +0.78 0.00 +0.11 +0.70 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 21:35
49 Samuel Girard D +0.42 0.00 +0.03 +0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:54
70 Sam Malinski D +0.24 0.00 +0.09 +0.30 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:28
94 Joel Kiviranta L -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:05
18 Jack Drury C -0.24 0.00 +0.03 -0.31 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 15:51
11 Brock Nelson C -0.26 0.00 +0.19 -0.59 +0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 19:56
20 Ross Colton C -0.27 0.00 +0.09 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:51
93 Zakhar Bardakov C -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.34 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 7:05
82 Ivan Ivan C -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:03
95 Victor Olofsson L -0.49 0.00 +0.09 -0.56 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:58
42 Josh Manson D -0.76 0.00 +0.03 -0.96 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 16:38
84 Brent Burns D -1.07 0.00 +0.07 -1.17 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:40

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
30 Jesper Wallstedt G +1.96 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.96 65:00
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +1.50 +1.50 +0.24 -0.33 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 25:25
38 Ryan Hartman R +1.49 +0.70 +0.28 +0.52 0.00 -0.02 +0.01 — 14:04
13 Yakov Trenin C +1.47 +0.55 +0.25 +0.57 0.00 +0.01 +0.08 — 14:35
39 Ben Jones C +0.86 0.00 +0.24 +0.64 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 7:24
19 Tyler Pitlick C +0.82 0.00 +0.11 +0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 6:48
78 Nico Sturm C +0.66 0.00 +0.05 +0.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:08
8 Zeev Buium D +0.56 +0.70 0.00 -0.04 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 15:14
12 Matt Boldy L +0.36 0.00 +0.28 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 23:36
24 Zach Bogosian D +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:58
46 Jared Spurgeon D +0.18 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 21:33
7 Brock Faber D +0.13 0.00 +0.06 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 28:30
5 Jake Middleton D +0.08 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:23
90 Marcus Johansson L +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:33
22 Danila Yurov R -0.20 0.00 +0.29 -0.56 0.00 -0.05 +0.12 — 18:16
25 Jonas Brodin D -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 24:32
36 Mats Zuccarello R -0.44 +0.55 +0.08 -1.09 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 19:28
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C -0.54 0.00 +0.11 -0.62 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 22:25
28 Liam Ohgren L -0.56 0.00 +0.12 -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:08

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.